No 22 Tulane Green Wave will be looking to revalidate their AAC title when they play host to the 10-2 SMU Mustangs Saturday afternoon.
With a chance for a spot in the New Year’s Six Bowl game on the line, Tulane is entering the game as a slight favorite on our NCAAF lines riding a 10-game winning streak. SMU will also be riding into battle with an eight-game win streak of its own.
So, who’s taking the AAC Title this year?
Let’s take a look.
SMU Ready for Title Run
SMU has been a well-oiled football machine this season. The Mustangs have shown incredible depth on both sides of the ball, making it almost impossible not to see them as the strongest team in this conference title game.
The level of balance that this team brings to the table is something that Tulane, even with the better season record, can’t brag about having.
Even without QB Preston Stone, who was sidelined with a broken leg in last week’s win against Navy, this team’s attacking corps looks more than ready to step up to the challenge and give Tulane’s defense hell come Saturday.
With an evenly distributed attack, which averages 292.5 passing yards and 180.1 rushing yards per game, the Mustangs can attack Tulane from all sides.
And on defense?
Between SMU’s elite secondary, and its dominant pass rush unit up front, Tulane’s QB Michael Pratt could fall victim to a beating from beginning to end in this game, with his offensive line proving not enough to get through such a strong defense.
Can Green Wave Stop Mustangs? Nah
Whoever feels the need to continue shutting down SMU just because they’ll be entering this game without its starting QB, please stop.
Backup QB Kevin Jennings has done well enough, and considering how good his team’s defense has performed along their overall dominance on offense, it’s easy to back the Mustangs as a top college football pick for Saturday.
Even if Tulane is the favorite on our NCAAF odds, all signs point towards SMU’s defense becoming the biggest factors for the Mustangs to leave NOLA with the conference title.
If Tulane continues to focus its offense on a pass heavy strategy like it has for the majority of the season, it will be on SMU’s secondary, one of the best in the country, to get the job done easy and fast.
I say take SMU ATS to pull off the upset and win the AAC title.
College Football Pick: SMU +3½ (-115)
With SMU’s Offense Play, Bet Over
After scoring 55, 69, 36, 45, 38, and 59 points in its last six games, give me a good reason why taking the over in this game isn’t one of the best college football bets for this weekend?
SMU’s season average is 41.8 points per game; that’s a touchdown less than the total slated for this game in our sportsbook. Now I don’t know about you guys, but if you take that, and add in Tulane’s 27.9 points per game, I think it’s very clear that betting the over is a definite must.
So, if you need an NCAAF betting pick that feels too good to pass up, don’t think twice and go for the over in the AAC title game.
College Football Pick: SMU, Tulane Over 47
SMU vs Tulane Betting Lines
SMU vs Tulane AAC Title Game Information
- Game: SMU (10-2, 8-0 AAC) vs Tulane (11-1, 8-0)
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
- Day/Time: Saturday, Dec. 2, 3:00 p.m. ET
- SMU vs Tulane Live Stream TV: ABC, ESPN
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.