Five ranked teams lost in Week 9 with no outcome more surprising than Oklahoma suffering its first defeat of the 2023 season at the hands of Kansas. It could have been worse with other title contenders having some close shaves. The upset options are not as obvious going into Week 10 but we are still proceeding with some college football upset picks.
There are five matchups between ranked teams in Week 10 with the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State matchup making an appearance in this week’s list of possible upsets.
There are eight Football Bowl Subdivision teams still holding perfect records and five come from Power-5 conferences. Keep that in mind when making NCAA football picks this week.
Other than a no-show performance by Duke, the ACC was kind to us last week with Virginia and North Carolina State coming through as underdogs and the Wolfpack also winning outright. More ACC matchups are part of the Week 10 upset specials.
Florida State is the only ACC team in the Top 10 in the odds to win the national title so that makes ACC games not involving the undefeated Seminoles good options for upsets every week.
We have highlighted five games in Week 10 where it would be wise to keep tabs on the underdog as part of the NCAAF free picks and parlays to consider.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+105) at Virginia Cavaliers
- Saturday, Nov. 4, 2 p.m. ET (CW Network)
This is one of those “why not?” picks. There isn’t much to separate Georgia Tech and Virginia.
Both teams have pulled off some upsets and also suffered some humbling losses.
Georgia Tech has recent wins against Miami and North Carolina but also head-scratching efforts in defeats to Bowling Green and Boston College. Virginia is 1-4 in one-score games and the Cavaliers almost followed up a win over North Carolina with another victory last week at the expense of Miami.
Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+6)
- Saturday, Nov. 4, 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Emotions should be riding high in what might be the final matchup between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma is headed off to the SEC after the conclusion of the 2023 season and Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy has already said that he doesn’t plan on adding the Sooners to the non-conference opponents moving forward.
Kansas didn’t do the Cowboys any favors with last week’s upset of Oklahoma. Expect the Sooners to be ready to go on Saturday.
It is concerning that Oklahoma is sixth in the Big 12 in rushing defense going up against Oklahoma State’s Ollie Gordon. Gordon has rushed for 282 and 271 yards in the last two weeks.
Oklahoma State running back Ollie Gordon II ran for a season Division I FBS single-game best 282 yards and four touchdowns in a 48-34 win over West Virginia. pic.twitter.com/qr47g37fkD
— Doak Walker Award (@DoakWalkerAward) October 24, 2023
Look for Oklahoma to win outright. We liked the line much better when it was sitting at 8½ but it could be worth going with the Cowboys to cover as six-point dogs even though the Cowboys have covered in just one of the last eight meetings.
Auburn Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores (+12½)
- Saturday, Nov. 4, 4 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
It is hard to justify Auburn being listed by the college football betting lines as a double-digit favorite against anybody right now and especially in a road game in the SEC.
Vanderbilt has dropped its last seven games and allowed at least 33 points in each of those contests so this might be the week for the Tigers to take care of business. We feel like things could head in the other direction.
The teams haven’t played since 2016 so there are no recent betting trends to help those who bet online.
In SEC play, Auburn and Vanderbilt are two of the three teams to average less than 300 yards of offense per game.
Auburn did put up 416 yards against Mississippi State to pick up its first SEC win of the 2023 season.
Auburn has covered in just one of its last five games when listed by the college football betting lines as a double-digit favorite. Can the Tigers mount enough offense to reverse that trend?
Brigham Young Cougars (+10) at West Virginia Mountaineers
- Saturday, Nov. 4, 7 p.m. ET (FOX)
With the way these teams have been struggling to string together consecutive strong showings, this has the feel of a Pick’em or at least a one-score game.
BYU has dropped its last three road games by 11, 33 and 29 points. However, those contests were against two ranked teams and a TCU squad that played for the national title a season ago.
This is a chance for BYU to bounce back from a disappointing effort in a loss to Texas.
Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina State Wolfpack (+4½)
- Saturday, Nov. 4, 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network)
Why not go back to the unpredictable Hurricanes?
Miami failed to cover a week ago when favored against Virginia even though they did come away with the win.
Now, the Hurricanes are favored on the road against North Carolina State. Dating back to the 2021 season, Miami has covered in two of its last five games as a road favorite.
This is not a typical North Carolina State team as the Wolfpack is tied with Miami for sixth in the ACC standings but it might be worth rolling with North Carolina State to hang around in this matchup.
Questions Of The Day
Which team is the best value bet upsetting a highly ranked team in Week 10 of the NCAAF season?
Something will have to give when LSU plays Alabama and Missouri faces Georgia with all four teams ranked in the top 15 in the national polls.
Whose defense is the most likely to be vulnerable in Week 10?
Oklahoma just gave up at least 30 points in two of its last three games and now the Sooners face the top rusher in the Big 12.