The Nongshim RedForce Disjunctive
It’s somewhat disheartening to see a team with the likes of Canna, BDD, and Ghost play like a team that is completely new to the competitive scene. We all expected that, after the additions of Shin “Coco” Jin-Yeong and Heo “Irean” Yeong-Cheol to the coaching staff, the team would show a new face in a positive way, but it’s actually the opposite.
What instead we’re seeing is a team made up of veterans and successful players play in a very disjointed way. It seems that a mixture of lack of cohesiveness + very hard-to-execute drafts is costing this team a lot of games, which is strange considering that all of them are very skilled players and they also have a lot of experience under their belt.
The dream of seeing this team reach 2022 Worlds is fading away with every game they play. This is quite surprising considering that Ghost played a Worlds grand final last year, while Canna and BDD reached the worlds semifinals. But if this team is so good, then what’s exactly going wrong for them? Well, let’s talk about it because there is a lot to dissect as they arrive into this series on a 4-game losing streak.
Drafting Seems to be an Issue for the RedForce
One would think that with the caliber of player that this team has, drafting shouldn’t be much of an issue. What the Red Force has shown throughout the past couple of weeks is that they tend to prefer drafts based around late-game scaling and complex team fights in order to execute their win condition. While this might not be the end of the world for the very best teams in the world, this team is far from being in a comfortable position to pull off this kind of stunt.
For example, let’s take a look at their drafts against Damwon, one of the most early-game-oriented teams in the LCK this split. In the first game, NS went for an Ornn, Viego, Azir, Twitch, and Yuumi composition, which you can tell from the get-go isn’t that strong during the first 20 minutes of the game. This type of team comp might not be bad against weaker teams, but if you are facing someone like DK, then you better not make a single mistake. As expected, Damwon took total control over the game early on, and by minute 20 they were 5k up, and they were able to close out the game 10 minutes later with a 14k gold lead.
In-game 2, we saw another NS-like draft consisting of champions that succeed in the team fights but don’t necessarily have the strongest laning phases. They answered Damwon’s Zeri/Yuumi bot lane with a Senna/Seraphine combo, which is one used mostly by teams who aim to scale late into the game. NS finished their draft with questionable solo laners in Yone and Morde. This was strange considering that they had almost no lockdown against Zeri, one of the most mobile ADCs in the game.
Another thing that raised some question marks was BDD’s Yone build. He went for the Sunfire and Blade of the Ruined King build, and this might sound crazy, but it’s actually rising in popularity, BrokenBlade being the first one that saw big success with this. The thing is that this build is primarily used when you have enough damage in your composition and Yone is going to be the one in charge for initiating, which in this case wasn’t appropriate.
Nongshim is clearly struggling, and not only against stronger teams but against weak teams too. I think that if they don’t find a way to find a reliable and easy-to-execute draft, then they’re going to keep facing the same issues. Luckily for them, they have already played against the Big-3 in the LCK, which means they should have an easier time picking up wins in the next couple of weeks.
KT Rolster’s Lack of Identity
If we talk about Nongshim, yes, they might have a lot of issues, but a lack of identity is not of them as they have stronger players and sometimes they have clear win conditions. On the other hand, KT Rolster is struggling to find the right way to play around their players, especially because they recently made a player swap. Lee “Aria” Ga-eul was dropped out of the main roster and was replaced by Lee “VicLa” Dae-kwang, which is the exact same move they made late in the spring split.
While Vicla isn’t exactly a bad player at all, KT Rolster was looking better with Aria, and even in their losses against Gen.G, T1 and LSB, he looked much better. In the spring split, Aria was the one that started the split for KT, but after losing 3 series in a row, he ended up being swapped. In the end, Aria won one more match than Vicla in the spring split, and while it’s still too early into the summer split to tell who is better, KT objectively saw more success with Aria.
In a more positive light, Kim “Aiming” Ha-ram has been playing very well recently. In their series against Damwon, he ended up having the highest DPM of all the KT lineup, and he also had a decent 4 KDA in game 2. KT also has a positive [email protected] (+134), which is something rare to see in teams that have a negative win rate. To put things in perspective, Nongshim is sitting on a -656 [email protected], the 4th lowest of the whole league.
Nongshim RedForce vs KT Rolster
- Date: Wednesday, July 6
- Time: 4:00am ET
- Nongshim RedForce vs KT Rolster Live Stream: LCK – Twitch
Nongshim RedForce vs KT Rolster Predictions
Both of these teams have already played against the 3 strongest teams in the league, which is why they are on a 2-4 record, though KT has won 1 more game than NS and it was against T1.
Nongshim’s main issue is their draft, and that’s why the lol odds constantly lean towards their opponents. It’s hard to trust a team that leaves Zeri open for free against Deokdam, one of the best Zeri players in the world.
On the other side, KT’s lack of individual firepower is what costs them most of their games. They seem to have a decent understanding of the game and they don’t try to pull off anything crazy in their drafts.
In the end, I think that Nongshim has the upper hand in this matchup. While they might seem a bit disjointed, finding a good draft is the last missing piece for this team. And even if they don’t get to find it, they are still a stronger team overall than KT Rolster, which is enough to score a win in their books.
We’re 5-1 so far in our LCK 2022 Summer Split esports picks so far, and Nongshim RedForce was the only team that upset our prediction, so we aren’t making the same mistake again!