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Frenemies Top Picks at Valspar Championship

Full Swing Stars Top Betting Markets

Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth, stars of Episode 1 of Full Swing on Netflix, headline Valspar Championship golf lines this week.

The friendly rivalry is one of the best on the PGA Tour, and although Thomas is the +1000 favorite at the sportsbook, Spieth is ready to show why he deserves to be favored.

Justin Thomas of the United States
Justin Thomas of the United States - Richard Heathcote/Getty Images/AFP

Confidence Needed for Thomas

Thomas is one of the world’s best players, and his record shows that. However, after a disappointing effort at The Players, he needs to justify his golf odds this week.

His +1000 odds could be seen as slightly too short given his recent form, but the American is the best player in the field, and his confidence levels could return with a big performance.

As The Masters nears, he will want his form to get back to its best. Playing well at the Valspar Championship is vital, but we think he can handle that pressure and are confident enough to include him in our golf picks.

He was in contention at Bay Hill before shooting a +2 final round. If he can play well for all four rounds, he could have too much class for this field.

  • Pick: Justin Thomas +1000

Spieth Nearing Win

Jordan Spieth of the United States
Jordan Spieth of the United States – Sam Greenwood/Getty Images/AFP

Spieth finished T6 at the Phoenix Open before missing the cut at the Genesis Open, but his performances since have been good enough to warrant attention.

The major winner finished T4 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational before adding a top-20 finish at The Players last week, so there’s nothing wrong with his game at the moment.

He continues to be one of the more creative short-game players on the PGA Tour, which delights the crowds. His creativity makes him a worthwhile pick at the Valspar Championship, which is an easier course than TPC Sawgrass.

He lamented his driver at Sawgrass, according to golf news, so we’re hoping he gets that sorted.

I actually have been swinging it fine,” Spieth said. “I just got behind a couple of drives.

I told a couple of drives early and it really messed me up because then I got to a couple of holes where you couldn’t hit it left. So I shoved them out.”

Sport betting markets have Spieth on the second line of betting at +1200. Those odds are generous enough to snap up.

  • Pick: Jordan Spieth +1200

It’s Time for Fleetwood

Tommy Fleetwood is one of the more frustrating golfers to pick every week, but we’re giving the Englishman another chance.

There’s no doubt that he’s a quality player, but we question his animal instincts. Does he really want to win and become a top-flight golfer?

We are hoping the answer is yes, so the +2200 with online betting markets could be worth taking.

The 32-year-old is a winner on the DP World Tour, but he has yet to win on the PGA Tour, despite countless attempts. However, his T27 finish at The Players was enough of a form guide to consider.

  • Pick: Tommy Fleetwood +2200

Suh Comes Off Big Effort

Justin Suh finished T6 at Sawgrass last week, so he could use that momentum to win his first PGA Tour tournament.

The 25-year-old is still growing in the sport. He won the 2022 Korn Ferry Tour Championship and has beaten quality fields throughout his amateur and professional career.

The future is bright for the University of Southern California alumni, and he hasn’t been missed in betting markets.

Bookmakers have the young American at +3500 to win, shorter than Nate Lashley and Luke List.

He is highly regarded, so we’re happy to have him in our selections.

  • Pick: Justin Suh +3500

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