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Home » Golf » Golf Picks » PGA Championship Matchups: Internationals Reign Supreme

PGA Championship Matchups: Internationals Reign Supreme

Head-to-Head Golf-Betting Predictions

Daryl Curnow by Daryl Curnow
May 18, 2021, 11:50am ET
in Golf Picks
Robert MacIntyre of Scotland plays his shot from the seventh tee during the third round of the Masters at Augusta National Golf Club

Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images/AFP

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All eyes are on the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island this week. There are hundreds of matchup markets to dive into and the international golfers are worth following.

Headlining the field is Rory McIlroy, who we feature in our tournament preview. The Northern Irishman should have an excellent tournament, but there are many other overseas players to watch out for.

The online sportsbook has a wealth of options and we have found the best value plays.

Rory McIlroy vs Jon Rahm

It could be an oversight, but Rory McIlroy is paying +110 to beat Jon Rahm.

Given that McIlroy is now the favorite to win the PGA Championship, bettors are getting incredible value with this market.

Most wins since 2008:

24 – Dustin Johnson
21 – Tiger Woods
19 – Rory McIlroy
14 – Justin Thomas
12 – Jordan Spieth
12 – Phil Mickelson
12 – Bubba Watson
12 – Jason Day
10 – Justin Rose pic.twitter.com/ltguLoDqtZ

— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 10, 2021

McIlroy is in much better form than the Spaniard, and getting better than even money is a steal.

We are confident McIlroy will follow up his win at the Wells Fargo Championship with another top performance and he suits the Ocean Course more than Rahm.

  • Pick: Rory McIlroy +110

Collin Morikawa vs Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama backed up his win at The Masters with a T39 performance at ATT Bryson Nelson.

Given the whirlwind month he has had, it was a solid performance from the Japanese superstar.

His win at Augusta in April was one of Japan’s finest sporting moments and the weight of that pressure can take its toll. However, he’s a consummate professional and we think he’ll get the better of Collin Morikawa.

The American enters as the defending champion, but that doesn’t always equal another top performance. Morikawa talked to Golf Week about his journey to becoming a champion.

“It takes a lot of luck, support from people around you and I’m fortunate to have that in my corner,” he said. I never took anything for granted. Everything I did had a purpose and everything I do has a purpose. I put full effort into everything.”

Bettors get value odds with Matsuyama and winning The Masters is arguably harder than the PGA Championship, so we’re giving him the nod.

  • Pick: Hideki Matsuyama +115

Tommy Fleetwood vs Matthew Fitzpatrick

Brits go head-to-head and there is excellent value with Tommy “Mac” Fleetwood, who shouldn’t be paying +135.

He is one of the most consistent golfers that has yet to win a major. The 30-year-old finished T14 at the Wells Fargo Championship behind  McIlroy, and there is little wrong with that form.

An ACE at No. 16 for Tommy Fleetwood ✍️

🎥: @TheMasterspic.twitter.com/VPjTNDN06p

— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) April 8, 2021

It’s much better form than Matthew Fitzpatrick, who is the -155 favorite. He missed the cut at the Bryson Nelson, so we don’t understand the market support for the 26-year-old.

His form earlier this year was good, but Fleetwood is the man to back.

  • Pick: Tommy Fleetwood +135

Paul Casey vs Will Zalatoris

Paul Casey is a guy we’d all love to see win the PGA Championship and his results this season have been good enough.

He recorded top-five finishes at The Players and ATT Pebble Beach, so he has been knocking on the door.

Casey doesn’t need to win the tournament, he only needs to beat Will Zalatoris, who has had people talking. His performance at The Masters was incredible but he followed it up with a T42 at The Heritage and a missed cut at the Wells Fargo.

He played better last week, but given his experience edge, we’re going with Paul Casey in an upset.

  • Pick: Paul Casey -105

Garrick Higgo vs Robert MacIntyre

Garrick Higgo is a relative unknown in the PGA Championship field, but he comes off a win at the Tenerife Championship.

He faces a sizable rise in class but he has the ability to shoot low scores, which is why he’s being respected in golf betting markets.

However, we’re going with Robert MacIntyre, who comes off a tidy T8 finish at the British Masters last week. MacIntyre finished T12 at The Masters in April as well, so he’s a man in form.

Adjusting to conditions in the US isn’t easy, so to play well at Augusta is a credit to his ability. He might be young, but MacIntyre is someone you want on your ticket.

  • Pick: Robert MacIntyre -150

BET THIS PICK: Robert MacIntyre (-150)
Tags: Collin MorikawaGolfHideki MatsuyamaPGA Championship
Daryl Curnow

Daryl Curnow

Daryll has been involved in the gambling industry since birth. He was born into a horse racing family and his love for all things sport took off from there. Becoming a professional handicapper in 2002, he has since provided his expert analysis for websites around the world. When he's not researching for his next play, you could find Daryll on the golf course in his native New Zealand, where he plays off a scratch handicap.

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