Black-Eyed Susan Predictions and Picks, 5/16: Reply a Must for This Bet
- Runnin N Gunnin is the betting favorite to win the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes.
- Reply is a live longshot to score the upset in the Black-Eyed Susan.
- Make bank with our 2025 Horse Racing picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.
The biggest Black-Eyed Susan Stakes news at Pimlico on Friday involves a local trainer who benched her jockey husband. Reply, conditioned by Brittany Russell, will be ridden by five-time Eclipse Award winning jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. instead of Brittany’s hubbie Sheldon. Reply is a longshot in the horse racing odds.

Black-Eyed Susan Predictions Today, May 16
Winning Reply: Trainer Puts Victory Ahead of Husband
Sheldon Russell rode Reply for his first two career races, a win and a close second in her first stakes try. But business is business, and with Ortiz available, the trainer made the change. Sheldon is an accomplished jockey on the Eastern Seaboard, but Ortiz – the nation’s top rider in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2023 – is a future Hall of Famer.
The bigger the race, the better it is to have a top jockey. Ortiz must be aggressive out of the gate and not be too far behind the expected pacesetters in Paris Lily and Liam in the Dust. Black-Eyed Susan predictions start with Reply on top.
Runnin N Gunnin Top Threat to Choice
Runnin N Gunnin has a similar running style to Reply, so she too would benefit from a meltdown up front. Runnin N Gunnin, the only three-time winner in the field, comes off a third-place finish in the Grade 2 Fantasy Stakes at Oaklawn. Jose Ortiz, Irad’s younger brother and 2017 Eclipse Award winner, has the mount. It is quite possible that a sibling rivalry ensues down the stretch with the elder prevailing.
Bet This Exacta: Reply with Runnin N Gunnin
Two-Speed Number Could Be Tough to Run Down
Paris Lily and Liam in the Dust finished 1-2 in a race at Keeneland next month. Here’s a horse racing news flash: They will try to do it again as the top early speed runners in the nine-horse field. Some horse racing predictions will take into consideration the Keeneland race and decide it could happen again, but this a tougher field and a couple others could join the fray immediately out of the gate. The faster they go at the beginning, the easier it will be for Reply to run them down.
Bet These Trifectas: Reply with Runnin N Gunnin with Paris Lily and Liam in the Dust
Black-Eyed Susan Stakes How to Watch
- Race: Black-Eyed Susan Stakes
- Date/Time: Friday, May 16, 5:44 p.m. ET (Race 13)
- Location: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore, Md.
- Black-Eyed Susan Stakes Live Stream: Fubo TV
Get the latest Black-Eyed Susan odds here.
Questions of the Day
When and where is the 2025 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes?
The Black-Eyed Susan Stakes is Friday, May 16 at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Md.
Who is the favorite to win the 2025 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes?
Runnin N Gunnin is the morning-line favorite to win the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.