A purse of $5 million is up for grabs in the Grade I Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp on Sunday.
Some of the world’s best Thoroughbreds are in action in France, including current betting online favorite Tarnawa.
He is followed closely by Adayar, with connections paying a $130,000 late entry fee to get their pride and joy into the famous race.
There are five runners at single-figure odds, so we’re expecting a close race in wet conditions.
Jockey Confident with Favorite
Christophe Soumillon has won just about everything there is to win in horse racing, so when he’s confident, bettors should take notice.
The local hero rides current +250 favorite Tarnawa, who looks to have more class than most runners in this field. She has already won twice at Longchamp, and although beaten last start, the distance didn’t suit.
“I was really pleased with her first run this season and last time she ran really great. Unfortunately, she got beat probably by the distance (10 furlongs) and the winner hung a bit towards her,” Soumillon told RacingTV.
“Dermot Weld is probably one of the greatest trainers in the world and I’m sure he focussed on that race (the Arc) 200 percent.”
Big news! Christophe Soumillon will ride Tarnawa in the Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe… pic.twitter.com/fQxee9XYkU
At The Races (@AtTheRaces) September 21, 2021
Favorites have a good record in the Arc, and the 5-year-old only needs to be on her best behavior to go close. She doesn’t always want to enter the gates without putting on a show, which is a cause for concern.
“My filly, she’s a superstar,” Soumillon added. “There is nothing bad to say about her, although she can give us some stress in front of the gates when she does not want to go in. [Once racing] she’s very honest and it’s amazing how she can finish her races.”
Bettors get a fair price with horse racing betting markets. Tarnawa has a bright future and winning the Arc would put her above the rest.
Adayar Searching for 3 Straight
Bettors should never overlook a Charlie Appleby-trained runner, especially when connections pay a huge late entry fee.
Godolphin is hardly short of a dime, but the 3-year-old is a serious winning hope after scoring wins in the Cazoo Derby and King George IV. Those wins hold the son of Frankel in good stead for the Arc, which is reflected in betting markets.
It’s never easy for a 3-year-old to win the French classic, but he looks to have class on his side.
“He has resumed full training, and as a Derby and King George winner he fully deserves to be running in what’s shaping up to be a vintage Arc,” Appleby said before leaving for France.
Stablemate Hurricane Lane is another strong chance at +600 odds. He went into the St Leger as the favorite and didn’t disappoint, scoring by 2¾ lengths, so we wouldn’t overlook his chances.
Conditions look ideal for Hurricane Lane, so Appleby’s concerns about a hard track should have abated.
“We’re excited, with this being the 100th Arc, having two colts going into it with the profiles they have,” Appleby said.
“There is a bit of rain forecast during the week, and that will suit us. The only negative I can give regarding Hurricane Lane’s participation is were it to become fast ground.”
Godolphin has been winning races all around the world, so winning an Arc is well within its reach.
Adayar could firm into outright favoritism after attracting attention at +275. The sportsbook has taken plenty of money for the colt, who fits the mould.
Chrono Genesis Represents Japan
The Japanese are built tough and Chrono Genesis could be the next Asian superstar.
The 5-year-old daughter of Bago owns 6 wins from 13 starts, including Takarazuka Kinen at Hanshin last start, which is a notoriously tough race to win.
She also finished second in the Dubai Sheema Classic at Meydan, so she has been around the top horses in the world.
Racing Post (@RacingPost) September 29, 2021
Chrono Genesis showed her class early on when running third behind champion Almond Eye in the Tenno Sho, which is Japan’s biggest race. She has been backed into the fifth line of betting at +900 in Arc betting markets, so there has been solid betting support.
Trainer Takashi Saito isn’t concerned about the conditions.
“It’s an eternal debate about Japanese horses in the Arc and if the ground has something to do with it. Chrono Genesis adapts herself to all different ground. She’s very brave and courageous so I’m not worried about the ground.”
We expect Chrono Genesis to be fighting out the finish.