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Eyes Fluttering for Nashwa in Filly & Mare Turf

It’s Another Case of Europe vs USA

The Europeans have come in full force for the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. They have the likes of Nashwa, Above the Curve, and Tuesday, who are all top winning chances.

However, the Americans come strong with In Italian, who could spoil the international party at 7-2 odds with Breeders’ Cup betting markets.

Jockey Umberto Rispoli aboard Smooth Like Strait leads the field to the first turn during the Breeders' Cup Mile at Del Mar Race Track on November 06, 2021 in Del Mar, California.
Rob Carr - Getty Images - AFP

Let’s check the latest Horse Racing odds, stats, injury reports and Horse Racing lines for Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. We’ve plenty of Horse Racing betting odds for you to consider.

The Field

PP HORSE, JOCKEY, TRAINER, ODDS

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS
Lady Speightspeare Luis Saez Roger Attfield 20/1
Going to Vegas Umberto Rispoli Philip D’Amato 20/1
Nashwa Hollie Doyle John Gosden 5/2
Above the Curve John Velazquez Joseph O’Brien 9/2
Tuesday Ryan Moore Aidan O’Brien 8/1
Mise En Scene Cieren Fallon James Ferguson 30/1
Toy Wayne Lordan Aidan O’Brien 20/1
Family Way Tyler Gaffalione Brendan Walsh 20/1
Rougir Flavien Prat Chad Brown 12/1
Virginia Joy Irad Ortiz Chad Brown 10/1

Nashwa Could Be Special

We think 3-year-old European filly Nashwa could be much better than average and we would be surprised if she didn’t figure in the finish.

The well-bred daughter of Frankel won the Grade I Prix de Diane at Chantilly before adding the Grade I Nassau Stakes to her record. The Nassau Stakes is one of the better turf form guides and we’re not surprised by the sportsbook odds for the 5-2 favorite.

She comes off a second placing in the Prix de L’Opera when beating Above the Curve, so that’s another good form guide.

“She hasn’t been over-raced this season and we always planned to go to Longchamp and then here at the end of the year,” trainer John Gosden told BloodHorse. “At Breeders’ Cup—European trainers learn the hard way—you can’t come as an afterthought. That rarely works.

“You really have to plan it from a long way out. A lot of people do that now, where they used to not do that in the old days.”

Nashwa could be the dominant filly of the year and she maps better than second favorite In Italian, who won the First Lady Stakes at Keeneland last start. Take nothing away from the Brown-trained filly, she’s a nice American type, but the European turf horses are clearly superior.

In her favor is her European breeding, so while she’s raced locally, she is a daughter of Dubawi and that’s good to see. She is good enough to push Nashwa close in what should be a tough battle to the line.

Tuesday is also good enough to win on Saturday. She defeated Nashwa in the Epsom Oaks and has yet to win in four subsequent starts. However, she got the better of champion Emily Upjohn in the Oaks, so the form has stacked up well.

If the O’Brien-trained daughter of Galileo can find her best, she’s a threat at generous horse racing odds.

How the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Could Unfold

Nashwa should get every hope in the run from barrier three. She has the ability to settle on the speed and still have something in the tank over the concluding stages. We expect her to be winding up approaching the home turn. Tuesday is likely to settle behind the favorite and warm up late. She could flash home for either the win or a minor placing.

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Race Information

  • Race: Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf
  • Day, Post Time: Saturday, Nov. 5th, 1:50 ET (Race 6)
  • Location: Keeneland, Lexington, KY
  • Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Live Stream: TVG

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Betting Odds

TO WIN THE 2022 JUVENILE PHILLIES Moneyline
Lady Speightspeare +3000
Going To Vegas +1600
Nashwa +175
Above The Curve +500
Tuesday +650
Mise And Scene +3000
Toy +2200
Family Way +3300
Rougir +1200
Virginia Joy +1200

The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.

The Play

We are confident with Nashwa, who is likely to shorten on race day. Her form is clearly superior and we’re anchoring her around the likes of Tuesday, Above the Curve, and In Italian.

  • No. 3 to win
  • No. 3 with 5, 11 exactas
  • No. 43 with 4, 5, 11 trifectas

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