The turf races at the Breeders’ Cup offer a unique handicapping challenge due to horses coming over from Europe, and sometimes beyond, while often accompanied by unknown trainers. The Mile is no different as five of the horses entered spent their entire careers in Europe and another spent his career there prior to running his last race at Keeneland.
|Pogo||James Doyle||Charlie Hills||20-1|
|Shirl’s Speight||Luis Saez||Roger Attfield||30-1|
|Dreamloper||Kieran Shoemark||Ed Walker||6-1|
|Modern Games||William Buick||Charles Appleby||7/2|
|Smooth Like Straight||John Velazquez||Michael McCarthy||10-1|
|Ivar||Javier Castellano||Paulo Lobo||15-1|
|Beyond Brilliant||Victor Espinoza||John Sherriffs||20-1|
|Regal Glory||Jose Ortiz||Chad Brown||6-1|
|Malavath||Tyler Gaffalione||Francis-Henri Graffard||15-1|
|Order of Australia||Ryan Moore||Aidan O’Brien||12-1|
|Annapolis||Irad Ortiz||Todd Pletcher||10-1|
|King Cause||Juan Hernandez||Michael Maker||30-1|
|Kinross||Lanfranco Dettori||Ralph Beckett||9/2|
|Domestic Spending||Flavien Prat||Chad Brown||8-1|
|Front Run the Fed (AE)||Francisco Arrieta||Caio Caramori||30-1|
|Gear Jockey (AE)||Luis Saez||George Arnold||30-1|
Modern Games Rightful Favorite
Modern Games has twice raced in America, winning both times. The first came in 2021 in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf while the other occurred two months ago at Woodbine in Canada. The 3-year-old shows one race since, a second in Grade 1 at Ascot in Great Britain.
Order of Australia won this race two years ago on this course but isn’t in the best of form having won twice in 12 starts over the last two years. The 5-year-old was third in his last race behind a pair of horses in here — Annapolis and Ivar — and was no match for Modern Games in July.
Regal Glory is as consistent as they come, finishing in the top two in 9 of his last 10 races, and figures to get a nice stalking trip behind the three or four-speed horses in the race.
Domestic Spending has the talent to win, as his three Grade 1 wins attest, but the 5-year-old is coming off a layoff of more than a year and is saddled with the outside post.
Dreamloper is the most likely winner among the Europeans, several of whom have distance and form questions. Dreamloper defeated Order of Australia emphatically in France in September.
How the Breeders’ Cup Mile Could Unfold
With clean breaks, Smooth Like Straight and Beyond Brilliant will be vying for the lead with Annapolis and King Cause possibly alongside. Of the quartet, Smooth Like Straight has the best chance to hold on for a piece, but more likely than not, they will all finish out of the money.
Kinross, Regal Glory, and Pogo will be among those stalking the pace, and of the three, Regal Glory has the best chance to make that a winning trip. Kinross is a bit of a wild card as all of his best races in Europe were in sprints, but he has the class if he can get the distance.
After that, it is the closers and in the case of the Mile, all of the best horses. The likely winner will come from this group, which includes Modern Games, Order of Australia, Ivar, Dreamloper, and Domestic Spending. From there, it will all come down to racing luck and who gets the best trip.
Breeders’ Cup Mile Race Information
- Race: Breeders’ Cup Mile
- Location: Keeneland, Lexington, KY
- Day, Post Time: Saturday, Nov 05, 3:10 ET (Race 8)
- Breeders’ Cup Mile Live Stream: TVG
- 3 to win
- 3 across the board
- 3, 4,14 exactas
- 3, 4, 14 with 3, 4,14 with 3, 4,14,6 trifectas
- 3, 4, 14 with 3, 4,14 with 3, 4,14,6 with 3, 4,14,6,5 superfectas