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NCAAB | Mar 18

March Madness Bracket Picks 2024: An Amateur’s Guide to Crushing the Competition

This Is the Perfect Guide to Beat Your Annoying Uncle Who Thinks He Knows It All

March Madness Bracket Picks 2024: An Amateur's Guide to Crushing the Competition
Mason Plumlee #5 of the Duke Blue Devils/Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP

Let the Madness Begin 🏀

Worst case scenario just light your bracket on fire and listen to Future’s “March Madness” on repeat…

With March Madness games around the corner, it’s time to fill out our brackets. As we all know, life is short but bracket pool wins are forever.

You can go full random mode by picking based on mascot or jersey color. Sometimes a little more science can help increase your chances of sticking it to your frenemy over in accounting.

Ready for unfiltered sports madness? Telegram is the place. Join us!

Here’s what you need to know to crush it with your bracket picks.

 

The Vegas Odds Are Your Friend

Look, we all know it’s amateur hour for most people filling out their brackets. But not for you, because you are reading this extraordinary piece of literature outlining how to fill out a winning bracket.


People are going to cycle through their bracket and make picks quicker than a DoorDash order. Take an extra few minutes and look at the March Madness BetUS odds for each matchup. Not all No. 5 versus No. 12 matchups are created equal.


One way to find the potential upsets is to follow the upsets. You may be surprised to learn that several lower seeds are actually favored in the game. If you want to pick a few double-digit seeds to win, take a look at the games where the odds are close.

 

Know the Size of Your Bracket Pool

Everyone loves picking crazy upsets, but doing that in a bracket pool with 12 people is a guaranteed way to lose. The level of risk should be comparable to the size of your bracket pool.

So, if you are in a massive contest then you need to have extremely unique picks. For most of us picking against family, friends, and co-workers, we’ll want to get most of our upsets out of the way in the first round.


Despite all the March Madness rumors of upsets, your Final Four should mostly be made up of No. 1, No. 2, and maybe No. 3 seeds.

 

Pick a Double-Digit Seed to Go to the Sweet 16

This is where you can have some fun. Recent years have seen a double-digit seed advance to the Sweet 16. Go ahead and identify a team you like to pull off a couple of upsets.

Everyone knows to pick a No.12 seed to upset a No. 5. The new 12-5 matchup is a No. 13 seed topping a No. 4 seed. It is consistently happening at least once per NCAAB tournament in recent years.

 

Get Your Upsets Out of the Way Early

The annual March Madness news would have you thinking that the NCAA tournament is only full of upsets. The truth is there are usually a few crazy upsets each year, and most of these happen on the first two days of the tournament.

 

As we get closer to the Final Four, the field of teams is likely going to be full of favorites. I wish I knew which team could be this year’s surprise Final Four team like FAU.

I don’t know, and chances are you don’t either. For the majority of bracket pools, you’ll want to pick one of the favorites to win your bracket.

Go ahead and advance the top two seeds all to the Sweet 16. Trying to pick the right upset is likely to cost you valuable points and potentially eliminate one of the title contenders way too early.

 

Pick One Favorites to Win the Champ (But Maybe Not THE Favorite)

This is not shocking but a good portion of your points comes from nailing the correct champion. Only about seven to eight teams have a legitimate chance to win the national championship.

I’d try to pick one of the favorites, but maybe avoid the two or three teams that everyone is picking. I really like UConn, but I have a feeling that everyone is going to be picking the Huskies.

On the other hand, fellow No. 1 seed Purdue has a history of crushing our hopes with an early exit. The Boilermakers offer much more value since not as many people will be riding with Purdue because of past heartbreaks.


Worst case scenario just light your bracket on fire and listen to Future’s “March Madness” on repeat.

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