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Sunday, 29 September, 2024
3:20 PM

MLB Matchups

Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves

Royals vs Braves Prediction, Picks and Odds 09-29-2024

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Marcell Ozuna is only one home run away from hitting 40 this season, and will try to get to that milestone when his Atlanta Braves (88-71) host the Kansas City Royals (85-76) at Truist Park on Sunday, starting at 3:20 p.m. ET. The Braves are favored (-204) in the contest against the Royals (+174). Charlie Morton takes the mound first for Atlanta, and Alec Marsh is Kansas City's choice to start.

Royals vs. Braves Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
  • Time: 3:20 p.m. ET
  • TV: BSSE
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park

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Royals vs. Braves Betting Info

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -204 +174 8 -115 -105

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves are 69-51 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 57.5% of those games).
  • In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -204 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 23-11 (67.6%).
  • The Braves have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.1% in this contest.
  • Atlanta has had an over/under set by bookmakers 151 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 54 of those games (54-90-7).
  • The Braves have a 71-80-0 record ATS this season (covering 47% of the time).

Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Royals have been the underdog 72 times and won 30, or 41.7%, of those games.
  • Kansas City is 1-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +174 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 36.5% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of its 149 opportunities.
  • The Royals are 81-68-0 against the spread in their 149 chances this season.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Charlie Morton (ATL) Pitcher Alec Marsh (KC)
8 - 9 W/L 8 - 9
161 IP 124
4.08 ERA 4.65
1.317 WHIP 1.266
9.2 K/9 8.8
3.5 BB/9 2.8

Royals vs Braves Betting Odds

Royals vs Braves Player Props

Jorge Soler Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Kansas City Royals

On Saturday, Jorge Soler (.613 slugging percentage in past 10 games, including three home runs) and the Atlanta Braves play the Kansas City Royals, whose starting pitcher will be Seth Lugo. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET.

Braves vs. Royals Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Jorge Soler Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -200)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +141)

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Jorge Soler Betting Stats

  • Soler has collected a hit in 82 of 138 games this year, with multiple hits in 28 of them.
  • He has hit a long ball in 20 of 138 games in 2024 (14.5%), which is 3.8% of his trips to the plate.
  • Soler has scored in 44.9% of his 138 games this season. That includes two or more runs scored in 11.6% of those contests (16).
  • In 31.2% of his contests this year (43 of 138), he has picked up at least one RBI. In 11 of those games (8.0%) he recorded more than one RBI, while accounting for three or more of his team's runs in seven games.
  • Soler has fanned 88 times this year in 138 games played (63.8%), including 40 times punching out multiple times (29.0%).

Last 5 Games vs. Royals

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Brady Singer 1-for-2 0 0 0 0 1/1 0
6/6/2023 Zack Greinke 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 0/1 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Seth Lugo

  • The Royals will hand the ball to Lugo (16-9) for his 33rd start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • The 34-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (3.03), 14th in WHIP (1.090), and 41st in K/9 (7.8) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • He has 22 quality starts in 32 chances this season.
  • In 32 starts, Lugo has pitched through or past the fifth inning 30 times. He has a season average of 6.4 frames per outing.

Bobby Witt Jr. Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Atlanta Braves

Bobby Witt Jr., with a slugging percentage of .500 in his past 10 games -- including one home run -- will be in action for the Kansas City Royals against the Atlanta Braves, with Reynaldo Lopez on the mound, Sept. 28 at 7:20 PM ET.

Royals vs. Braves Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Bobby Witt Jr. Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 1.5 hits (Over odds: +144)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: -114)

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Bobby Witt Jr. Betting Stats

  • Witt has collected a hit in 79.4% of his 160 games this year, with more than one hit in 38.1% of those games (61).
  • He has gone deep in 28 of 160 games in 2024 (17.5%), which is 4.5% of his trips to the dish.
  • Witt has touched home plate at least one time 88 times this year in 160 contests (55%), including scoring multiple runs in 15.6% of games (25 times).
  • He has driven in at least one run 66 times this season in 160 games played (41.3%), including 21 times plating multiple runs (13.1%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in 12 contests.
  • Witt has fanned 82 times this year in 160 games played (51.3%), including 21 times striking out multiple times (13.1%).

Last 5 Games vs. Braves

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Max Fried 1-for-3 0 0 0 0 0/1 0
4/16/2023 Kyle Wright 0-for-5 0 0 0 1 2/0 0
4/15/2023 Bryce Elder 3-for-5 2 0 0 2 1/0 0
4/14/2023 Charlie Morton 3-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Reynaldo López

  • Lopez (8-5) will take the mound for the Braves, his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Sept. 10 against the Washington Nationals, throwing one inning without allowing a run.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.03, a 3.26 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.150 in 24 games this season.
  • In 24 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in 13 of them.
  • López has made 20 starts of five or more innings in 24 chances this season, and averages 5.3 frames when he pitches.

Maikel Garcia Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Atlanta Braves

The Kansas City Royals, including Maikel Garcia (.192 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 89 points below season-long percentage), take on starter Reynaldo Lopez and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park, Saturday at 7:20 PM ET.

Royals vs. Braves Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Maikel Garcia Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -200)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -192)

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Maikel Garcia Betting Stats

  • In 60.4% of his games this season (93-of-154), Garcia has posted a hit. In 36 of those games (23.4%), he's recorded more than one hit.
  • He has homered in seven games this season, leaving the ballpark in 1.1% of his trips to home plate.
  • Garcia has scored at least one run 63 times this year in 154 contests (40.9%), including scoring multiple runs in 12.3% of games (19 times).
  • In 44 of 154 games this year (28.6%), he has picked up an RBI, and in 11 of those games (7.1%) he knocked in multiple runs. He has also been responsible for three or more of his team's runs in three contests.
  • Garcia has struck out one or more times in 77 of 154 games this season (50.0%), while fanning multiple times in 19 of those games (12.3%).

Last 5 Games vs. Braves

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Max Fried 0-for-1 0 0 0 0 1/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Reynaldo López

  • Lopez (8-5) will take the mound for the Braves, his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Sept. 10 against the Washington Nationals, throwing one inning without allowing a run.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.03, a 3.26 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.150 in 24 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start 13 times in 24 starts this season.
  • In 24 starts this season, López has lasted five or more innings 20 times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.

Matt Olson Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Kansas City Royals

Matt Olson and his .558 on-base percentage over his past 10 games (226 points higher than his season-long percentage), will be in action for the Atlanta Braves versus the Kansas City Royals and Seth Lugo on Sept. 28 at 7:20 PM ET.

Braves vs. Royals Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Matt Olson Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -204)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +130)

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Matt Olson Betting Stats

  • Olson has recorded a hit in 62.7% of his 158 games this season, with multiple base hits in 24.1% of those contests (38).
  • He has gone yard in 25 games this season, going deep in 4.3% of his plate appearances.
  • Olson has scored at least one run 62 times this season in 158 games played (39.2%), including 13 times when he tallied multiple runs (8.2%).
  • He has driven in at least one run in 60 out of 158 games this year (38%). He has collected more than one RBI in 20 of those contests (12.7%).
  • Olson has struck out one or more times 107 times this season in 158 games (67.7%), including 45 games with more than one strikeout (28.5%).

Last 5 Games vs. Royals

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Brady Singer 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 2/1 0
4/16/2023 Zack Greinke 1-for-4 1 0 2 1 1/0 0
4/15/2023 Kris Bubic 2-for-4 0 0 1 1 1/1 0
4/14/2023 Brady Singer 2-for-5 1 1 2 2 2/0 0
9/16/2021 Daniel Lynch 1-for-4 1 0 0 0 1/1 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Seth Lugo

  • Lugo (16-9) will take the mound for the Royals, his 33rd start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • The 34-year-old's 3.03 ERA ranks 10th, 1.090 WHIP ranks 14th, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 41st among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • In 32 starts this season, he's earned 22 quality starts.
  • Lugo has started 32 games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings 30 times. He averages 6.4 innings per appearance.

Marcell Ozuna Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Kansas City Royals

On Saturday, Marcell Ozuna (.442 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 58 points above season-long percentage) and the Atlanta Braves face the Kansas City Royals, whose starting pitcher will be Seth Lugo. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET.

Braves vs. Royals Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Marcell Ozuna Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -263)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +107)

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Marcell Ozuna Betting Stats

  • Ozuna has reached base with a base hit 121 times this year in 158 games played (76.6%), including multiple knocks in 32.3% of them (51 times).
  • He has homered in 35 games this season, leaving the ballpark in 5.8% of his trips to the plate.
  • Ozuna has scored in 74 of 158 games this season, including multiple runs scored in 21 of them.
  • He has tallied at least one RBI in 36.7% of his games this year (58 of 158), including more than one RBI in 28 of those games (17.7%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in 12 contests.
  • Ozuna has fanned 110 times this season in 158 tries (69.6%), including punching out on multiple occasions in 29.1% of games (46 times).

Last 5 Games vs. Royals

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Brady Singer 0-for-3 0 0 0 1 0/1 1
4/15/2023 Kris Bubic 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/1 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Seth Lugo

  • The Royals' Lugo (16-9) will make his 33rd start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Sunday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • The 34-year-old's 3.03 ERA ranks 10th, 1.090 WHIP ranks 14th, and 7.8 K/9 ranks 41st among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • In 32 starts this season, he's earned 22 quality starts.
  • Lugo has made 30 starts of five or more innings in 32 chances this season, and averages 6.4 frames when he pitches.

Salvador Pérez Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. the Atlanta Braves

On Saturday, Salvador Perez (hitting .220 in his past 10 games) and the Kansas City Royals play the Atlanta Braves, whose starting pitcher will be Reynaldo Lopez. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET.

Royals vs. Braves Game Details

  • Day: Saturday, September 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • TV Channel: BSKC

Salvador Pérez Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -238)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +124)

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Salvador Pérez Betting Stats

  • Perez has reached base with a base hit 107 times this year in 157 games played (68.2%), including multiple knocks in 27.4% of them (43 times).
  • He has left the yard in 26 of 157 games in 2024 (16.6%), which is 4.2% of his trips to the dish.
  • Perez has scored at least a run 51 times this year in 157 contests (32.5%), including scoring multiple runs in 3.8% of games (six times).
  • He has driven in at least one run in 36.9% of his games this year (58 of 157), including two or more RBI in 28 of them (17.8%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in 11 contests.
  • Perez has gone down on strikes one or more times 88 times this year in 157 games (56.1%), including 31 games with more than one strikeout (19.7%).

Last 5 Games vs. Braves

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/27/2024 Max Fried 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
4/16/2023 Kyle Wright 1-for-4 0 0 0 1 1/0 0
4/15/2023 Bryce Elder 2-for-5 1 0 1 0 2/0 0
4/14/2023 Charlie Morton 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Reynaldo López

  • Lopez (8-5) will take the mound for the Braves, his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Sept. 10, when he threw one inning against the Washington Nationals without allowing a run.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 2.03 ERA this season with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 24 games.
  • In 24 starts this season, he's earned 13 quality starts.
  • In 24 starts this season, López has lasted five or more innings 20 times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.

Royals vs Braves Records

Royals vs Braves Injuries

Royals ROI

Braves ROI

Royals Stats

Braves Stats

Braves vs Royals Win Probability

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