MLB Matchups
Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox
Twins vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds 09-22-2024
The Minnesota Twins (81-73) visit the Boston Red Sox (76-78) on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are favored on the moneyline (-152) against the underdog Red Sox (+137). Minnesota's Pablo Lopez gets the start against Boston's Kutter Crawford.
Twins vs. Red Sox Game Info
- Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- TV: BSN
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
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Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Info
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -152 | +137 | 7.5 | -115 | -105 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 60.6% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (57-37).
- Minnesota has gone 32-12 (winning 72.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -152 or shorter.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Twins' implied win probability is 60.3%.
- Minnesota has played in 138 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-61-7).
- The Twins have a 63-75-0 record against the spread this season (covering 45.7% of the time).
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won 33, or 46.5%, of the 71 games they've played as underdogs this season.
- Boston has entered 16 games this season as the underdog by +137 or more and is 6-10 in those contests.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 42.2% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Boston's games have gone over the total in 72 of its 141 chances.
- The Red Sox are 65-76-0 ATS in their 141 games with a spread this season.
Probable Starting Pitchers
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | Pitcher | Kutter Crawford (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 15 - 8 | W/L | 8 - 15 |
| 175.2 | IP | 171.2 |
| 3.84 | ERA | 4.19 |
| 1.150 | WHIP | 1.101 |
| 9.6 | K/9 | 8.5 |
| 1.9 | BB/9 | 2.5 |
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Odds
Twins vs Red Sox Player Props
Carlos Santana Props for Today: Sunday, Sept. 22 vs. the Boston Red Sox
The Minnesota Twins, including Carlos Santana (hitting .275 in his past 10 games, with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI), battle starter Kutter Crawford and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, Sunday at 5:35 PM ET.
Twins vs. Red Sox Game Details
- Day: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 5:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Carlos Santana Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -185)
- Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +139)
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Carlos Santana Betting Stats
- Santana has reached base with a base hit 82 times this season in 141 games played (58.2%), including multiple knocks in 22.0% of them (31 times).
- He has homered in 15.6% of his games this season (141 contests), going yard in 3.9% of his chances at the plate.
- In 35.5% of his 141 games this season, Santana has scored a run (50 times). Also, he's notched eight games with multiple runs in 2024 (5.7%).
- He has notched at least one RBI 43 times this year in 141 tries (30.5%), including plating more than one run in 10.6% of games (15 times) and producing three or more of his team's runs on five occasions.
- Santana has been set down on strikes in 52.5% of his 141 games this season, while fanning more than once in 15.6% of them (22).
Last 5 Games vs. Red Sox
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | Richard Fitts | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 |
| 5/5/2024 | Cooper Criswell | 2-for-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1/0 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Brennan Bernardino | 0-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1/0 | 0 |
| 5/3/2024 | Tanner Houck | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
| 4/5/2023 | Corey Kluber | 2-for-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Kutter Crawford
- The Red Sox will send Crawford (8-15) to the mound for his 32nd start this season.
- The right-hander's last start was on Sunday, Sept. 15, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 28-year-old's 4.19 ERA ranks 47th, 1.101 WHIP ranks 14th, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 30th.
- In 31 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in 14 of them.
- Crawford has started 31 games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings 25 times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
Carlos Correa Props for Today: Sunday, Sept. 22 vs. the Boston Red Sox
The Minnesota Twins, including Carlos Correa (.371 batting average in his past 10 games), take on starting pitcher Kutter Crawford and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, Sunday at 5:35 PM ET.
Twins vs. Red Sox Game Details
- Day: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 5:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Carlos Correa Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 1.5 hits (Over odds: +174)
- Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +106)
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Carlos Correa Betting Stats
- Correa has recorded a hit in 57 of 80 games this year, with multiple hits in 23 of them.
- In 15.0% of his games this season, he has hit a home run (12 of 80). He's hit a round-tripper in 3.8% of his trips to the dish during the 2024 campaign.
- In 47.5% of his 80 games this season, Correa has scored a run (38 times). Also, he's put up 13 games with multiple runs in 2024 (16.3%).
- He has driven in at least one run in 33 of 80 games this season (41.3%). He has collected two or more RBI in 12 of them (15.0%).
- Correa has fanned 43 times this year in 80 games played (53.8%), including nine times punching out multiple times (11.3%).
Last 5 Games vs. Red Sox
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | Richard Fitts | 2-for-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 |
| 5/5/2024 | Cooper Criswell | 1-for-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Brennan Bernardino | 0-for-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1/0 | 0 |
| 5/3/2024 | Tanner Houck | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/0 | 0 |
| 6/22/2023 | Justin Garza | 1-for-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Kutter Crawford
- The Red Sox's Crawford (8-15) will make his 32nd start of the season.
- The right-hander's last appearance was on Sunday, Sept. 15, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up four earned runs while allowing six hits.
- The 28-year-old's 4.19 ERA ranks 47th, 1.101 WHIP ranks 14th, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 30th among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
- He has started 31 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 14 of them.
- Crawford has started 31 games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings 25 times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
Willi Castro Props for Today: Sunday, Sept. 22 vs. the Boston Red Sox
On Sunday, Willi Castro (.425 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 88 points above season-long percentage) and the Minnesota Twins face the Boston Red Sox, whose starting pitcher will be Kutter Crawford. First pitch is at 5:35 PM ET.
Twins vs. Red Sox Game Details
- Day: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 5:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Willi Castro Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -200)
- Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +139)
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Willi Castro Betting Stats
- Castro has collected a base hit 91 times this season in 148 games played (61.5%), including multiple knocks on 32 occasions (21.6%).
- He has homered in 12 of 148 games in 2024 (8.1%), which is 2% of his trips to the plate.
- Castro has scored a run in 67 of 148 games this year, including multiple runs scored in 19 of them.
- In 25.7% of his 148 games this season, he has picked up an RBI (38 times). Also, he's put up 15 games with multiple RBI in 2024 (10.1%) and produced three or more of his team's runs in five contests.
- Castro has struck out at least once 105 times this season in 148 games (70.9%), including 37 games with more than one strikeout (25.0%).
Last 5 Games vs. Red Sox
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | Richard Fitts | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0 |
| 5/5/2024 | Cooper Criswell | 0-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1/0 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Brennan Bernardino | 2-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1/0 | 1 |
| 5/3/2024 | Tanner Houck | 2-for-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0/0 | 0 |
| 6/22/2023 | Justin Garza | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Kutter Crawford
- Crawford (8-15) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 32nd start of the season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday, Sept. 15 in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- The 28-year-old ranks 47th in ERA (4.19), 14th in WHIP (1.101), and 30th in K/9 (8.5) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
- In 31 starts this season, he's earned 14 quality starts.
- Crawford has 25 starts of five or more innings this season in 31 chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
Jarren Duran Props for Today: Sunday, Sept. 22 vs. the Minnesota Twins
On Sunday, Jarren Duran (.283 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 59 points below season-long percentage) and the Boston Red Sox play the Minnesota Twins, whose starting pitcher will be Zebby Matthews. First pitch is at 5:35 PM ET.
Red Sox vs. Twins Game Details
- Day: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 5:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Jarren Duran Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 1.5 hits (Over odds: +174)
- Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: -110)
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Jarren Duran Betting Stats
- Duran has collected a hit in 113 of 152 games this season, with multiple hits in 48 of them.
- Out of the 152 games he has had a plate appearance in this season, he's homered in 21 contests (13.8%), homering in 3% of his plate appearances.
- Duran has touched home plate at least one time 78 times this season in 152 games played (51.3%), including 23 times when he tallied multiple runs (15.1%).
- He has driven in a run in 35.5% of his 152 games this season, with more than one RBI in 9.9% of them (15). He has also knocked in three or more runs in three contests.
- In 66.4% of his 152 games this season, Duran has gone down on strikes (101 times). He's also had 42 games with multiple Ks in 2024 (27.6%).
Last 5 Games vs. Twins
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | David Festa | 2-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2 |
| 5/5/2024 | Joe Ryan | 2-for-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0/0 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Pablo Lopez | 0-for-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0 |
| 5/3/2024 | Chris Paddack | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1/0 | 0 |
| 6/22/2023 | Joe Ryan | 0-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/0 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Zebby Matthews
- The Twins will hand the ball to Matthews (1-3) for his eighth start of the season.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- The 24-year-old has pitched to a 6.30 ERA this season with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across seven games.
- In seven starts this season, Matthews has not yet earned a quality start.
- Matthews has four starts of five or more innings this season in seven chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
Tyler O'Neill Props for Today: Sunday, Sept. 22 vs. the Minnesota Twins
The Boston Red Sox, including Tyler O'Neill (.083 batting average in his past 10 games), battle starting pitcher Zebby Matthews and the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park, Sunday at 5:35 PM ET.
Red Sox vs. Twins Game Details
- Day: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Time: 5:35 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Tyler O'Neill Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -164)
- Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -167)
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Tyler O'Neill Betting Stats
- O'Neill has collected a hit in 66 of 109 games this year, with multiple hits in 24 of them.
- He has homered in 24 games this season, going deep in 6.7% of his plate appearances.
- O'Neill has scored at least a run in 50 out of 109 games this season (45.9%), which includes more than one run scored in 19 of them (17.4%).
- In 33.0% of his contests this season (36 of 109), he has plated at least one run. In 15 of those games (13.8%) he recorded two or more RBI, while accounting for three or more of his team's runs in eight games.
- O'Neill has struck out one or more times 82 times this year in 109 games (75.2%), including 46 games with more than one strikeout (42.2%).
Last 5 Games vs. Twins
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | David Festa | 0-for-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4/1 | 0 |
| 5/5/2024 | Joe Ryan | 1-for-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/0 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Pablo Lopez | 1-for-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3/0 | 0 |
| 5/3/2024 | Chris Paddack | 0-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3/0 | 0 |
| 8/2/2023 | Joe Ryan | 1-for-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/0 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Zebby Matthews
- Matthews (1-3) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his eighth start of the season.
- The right-hander's last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
- The 24-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 6.30, a 5.33 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.600.
- In seven starts this season, Matthews has not yet earned a quality start.
- Matthews has four starts of five or more innings this season in seven chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
Rafael Devers Props for Today: Saturday, Sept. 21 vs. the Minnesota Twins
On Saturday, Rafael Devers (.147 slugging percentage in past 10 games, with zero home runs) and the Boston Red Sox face the Minnesota Twins, whose starting pitcher will be Pablo Lopez. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET.
Red Sox vs. Twins Game Details
- Day: Saturday, September 21, 2024
- Time: 4:10 PM ET
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Venue: Fenway Park
- TV Channel: BSN
Rafael Devers Props and Betting Odds
- Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -222)
- Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +117)
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Rafael Devers Betting Stats
- In 68.8% of his 138 games this season, Devers has recorded a base hit (95 times). He's also collected 38 multi-hit games in 2024 (27.5%).
- Out of the 138 games he has appeared in this season, he's homered in 26 contests (18.8%), leaving the yard in 4.7% of his plate appearances.
- In 47.8% of his games this season (66 of 138), Devers has scored at least one run. In 20 of those games (14.5%), he tallied more than one run scored.
- He has driven in at least one run 48 times this season in 138 games played (34.8%), including 29 games with more than one RBI (21.0%). He has also been responsible for three or more of his team's runs in five contests.
- In 69.6% of his 138 games this season, Devers has gone down on strikes (96 times). He's also had 39 games with multiple Ks in 2024 (28.3%).
Last 5 Games vs. Twins
| Date | Opp. SP | H/AB | XBH | HR | RBI | R | K/BB | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/20/2024 | David Festa | 1-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3/1 | 0 |
| 5/5/2024 | Joe Ryan | 2-for-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2/0 | 0 |
| 5/4/2024 | Pablo Lopez | 0-for-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2/0 | 0 |
| 5/3/2024 | Chris Paddack | 2-for-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1/1 | 0 |
| 6/22/2023 | Joe Ryan | 1-for-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Opposing Pitcher Stats: Pablo Lopez
- The Twins will hand the ball to Lopez (15-8) for his 31st start of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
- Among qualified major league pitchers this season, the 28-year-old's 3.84 ERA ranks 36th, 1.150 WHIP ranks 24th, and 9.6 K/9 ranks 13th.
- If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he'll earn his eighth consecutive quality start.
- Lopez will look to finish five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
