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Thursday, 19 September, 2024
1:10 PM

MLB Matchups

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Twins vs Guardians Prediction, Picks and Odds 09-19-2024

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The Minnesota Twins (65-51) host the Cleveland Guardians (68-49) on Sunday at Target Field, beginning at 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are favored on the moneyline (-117), while the Guardians are +107 underdogs. The Guardians are the spread favorite (1.5) with +160 odds, despite being the moneyline underdog. Minnesota's David Festa and Cleveland's Tanner Bibee will take the mound first.

Guardians vs. Twins Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSGL
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Field

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Guardians vs. Twins Betting Info

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -117 +107 8 -110 -110

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 63.5% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (47-27).
  • Minnesota has a 38-24 record (winning 61.3% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -117 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Twins have an implied win probability of 53.9%.
  • In the 107 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for Minnesota, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 55 times (55-48-4).
  • The Twins have covered 48.6% of their games this season, going 52-55-0 against the spread.

Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been the underdog 38 times and won 19, or 50%, of those games.
  • Cleveland is 13-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +107 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 48.3%.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of its 106 opportunities.
  • In 106 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 55-51-0 ATS.

Probable Starting Pitchers

David Festa (MIN) Pitcher Tanner Bibee (CLE)
2 - 2 W/L 9 - 4
24.1 IP 121.2
5.55 ERA 3.48
1.274 WHIP 1.093
11.1 K/9 9.8
2.2 BB/9 2.3

Twins vs Guardians Betting Odds

Twins vs Guardians Player Props

Ryan Jeffers Props for Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17 vs. the Cleveland Guardians

The Minnesota Twins, including Ryan Jeffers (.229 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 78 points below season-long percentage), take on starter Gavin Williams and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.

Twins vs. Guardians Game Details

  • Day: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • TV Channel: BSGL

Ryan Jeffers Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -179)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +155)

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Ryan Jeffers Betting Stats

  • Jeffers has reached base with a base hit 63 times this year in 113 games played (55.8%), including multiple knocks in 19.5% of them (22 times).
  • He has hit a home run in 19 of 113 games in 2024 (16.8%), which is 4.6% of his trips to the dish.
  • Jeffers has touched home plate at least one time 44 times this year in 113 contests (38.9%), including scoring multiple runs in 8.0% of games (nine times).
  • In 33.6% of his 113 games this season, he has tallied an RBI (38 times). Also, he's notched 16 games with multiple RBI in 2024 (14.2%) and produced three or more of his team's runs in six contests.
  • Jeffers has fanned 61 times this season in 113 tries (54.0%), including punching out on multiple occasions in 19.5% of games (22 times).

Last 5 Games vs. Guardians

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/16/2024 Matthew Boyd 0-for-3 0 0 0 1 2/1 0
8/10/2024 Gavin Williams 1-for-3 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
8/9/2024 Joey Cantillo 1-for-3 1 1 1 1 0/0 0
5/19/2024 Tanner Bibee 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
5/18/2024 Logan Allen 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 3/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Gavin Williams

  • The Guardians' Williams (3-9) will make his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with a 5.23 ERA, 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .249.
  • In 14 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in three of them.
  • In 14 starts this season, Williams has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 4.7 innings per appearance.

Willi Castro Props for Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17 vs. the Cleveland Guardians

Willi Castro -- .172 average over his past 10 games -- will be in action for the Minnesota Twins against the Cleveland Guardians, with Gavin Williams on the hill, on Sept. 17 at 6:40 PM ET.

Twins vs. Guardians Game Details

  • Day: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • TV Channel: BSGL

Willi Castro Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -137)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -130)

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Willi Castro Betting Stats

  • In 61.1% of his 144 games this season, Castro has recorded a base hit (88 times). He's also collected 31 multi-hit games in 2024 (21.5%).
  • He has hit a long ball in 7.6% of his games this season (144 contests), going yard in 1.9% of his trips to the dish.
  • Castro has scored at least one run 64 times this year in 144 games played (44.4%), including 18 times when he tallied multiple runs (12.5%).
  • He has tallied at least one RBI 36 times this season in 144 games played (25.0%), including 14 times plating multiple runs (9.7%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in five contests.
  • Castro has gone down on strikes at least once 102 times this year in 144 games (70.8%), including 37 games with more than one strikeout (25.7%).

Last 5 Games vs. Guardians

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/16/2024 Matthew Boyd 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
8/11/2024 Tanner Bibee 1-for-5 0 0 0 0 2/0 0
8/10/2024 Gavin Williams 1-for-4 1 0 0 1 1/0 0
8/9/2024 Alex Cobb 2-for-4 0 0 0 2 0/0 1
8/9/2024 Joey Cantillo 1-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/0 1

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Gavin Williams

  • The Guardians will hand the ball to Williams (3-9) for his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.23, 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .249 in 14 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start three times in 14 starts this season.
  • Williams has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 14 chances. He averages 4.7 innings per outing.

Carlos Santana Props for Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17 vs. the Cleveland Guardians

Carlos Santana -- with a slugging percentage of .583 in his past 10 games, including three home runs -- will be in action for the Minnesota Twins versus the Cleveland Guardians, with Gavin Williams on the mound, on Sept. 17 at 6:40 PM ET.

Twins vs. Guardians Game Details

  • Day: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • TV Channel: BSGL

Carlos Santana Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -189)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +120)

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Carlos Santana Betting Stats

  • In 58.4% of his 137 games this season, Santana has recorded a base hit (80 times). He's also collected 31 multi-hit games in 2024 (22.6%).
  • He has homered in 16.1% of his games in 2024 (22 of 137), which amounts to 4.1% of his trips to the dish.
  • In 50 of 137 contests this season (36.5%), Santana has scored, and eight of those games (5.8%) included a performance that produced more than one run scored.
  • He has notched at least one RBI 43 times this year in 137 tries (31.4%), including driving in more than one run in 10.9% of games (15 times) and producing three or more of his team's runs on five occasions.
  • Santana has gone down on strikes at least once in 71 out of 137 games this season (51.8%), while fanning multiple times in 21 of those contests (15.3%).

Last 5 Games vs. Guardians

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/16/2024 Matthew Boyd 1-for-5 0 0 0 0 2/0 0
8/10/2024 Gavin Williams 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
8/9/2024 Alex Cobb 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
8/9/2024 Joey Cantillo 2-for-4 1 1 1 1 1/0 0
5/19/2024 Tanner Bibee 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Gavin Williams

  • The Guardians will send Williams (3-9) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with a 5.23 ERA, 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .249.
  • In 14 starts this season, he's earned three quality starts.
  • Williams has eight starts of five or more innings this season in 14 chances. He averages 4.7 innings per outing.

Josh Naylor Props for Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17 vs. the Minnesota Twins

Josh Naylor -- with a slugging percentage of .342 in his past 10 games (including zero home runs) -- will be in action for the Cleveland Guardians versus the Minnesota Twins, with Zebby Matthews on the mound, on Sept. 17 at 6:40 PM ET.

Guardians vs. Twins Game Details

  • Day: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • TV Channel: BSGL

Josh Naylor Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -204)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +146)

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Josh Naylor Betting Stats

  • Naylor has reached base with a base hit 87 times this year in 142 games played (61.3%), including multiple knocks in 25.4% of them (36 times).
  • In 27 of 142 games this season, he has homered (19.0%). He's gone deep in 4.9% of his trips to the dish.
  • Naylor has scored at least a run in 63 out of 142 games this year (44.4%), which includes more than one run scored in 14 of those games (9.9%).
  • He has notched an RBI in 58 of 142 games this season, including multiple RBI in 28 of them. He has also driven in three or more of his team's runs in 12 contests.
  • Naylor has struck out one or more times 79 times this season in 142 games (55.6%), including 15 games with more than one strikeout (10.6%).

Last 5 Games vs. Twins

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
9/16/2024 Pablo Lopez 1-for-4 1 0 0 1 1/0 0
8/11/2024 David Festa 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/1 0
8/10/2024 Simeon Woods Richardson 2-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/1 0
8/9/2024 Louie Varland 1-for-4 1 1 3 1 0/0 0
8/9/2024 Bailey Ober 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Zebby Matthews

  • The Twins will send Matthews (1-3) to the mound for his seventh start this season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 7.11, a 5.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.658 in six games this season.
  • In six starts this season, Matthews has not yet earned a quality start.
  • Matthews has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.

Steven Kwan Props for Today: Tuesday, Sept. 17 vs. the Minnesota Twins

Tuesday, Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians square off against the Minnesota Twins and Zebby Matthews, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET.

Guardians vs. Twins Game Details

  • Day: Tuesday, September 17, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • TV Channel: BSGL

Steven Kwan Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -256)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +136)

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Steven Kwan Betting Stats

  • Kwan has tallied a hit 85 times this season in 120 games played (70.8%), with 38 multi-hit efforts (31.7%).
  • In 10.8% of his games this season, he has hit a long ball (13 of 120). He's hit a round-tripper in 2.4% of his trips to the dish during the 2024 campaign.
  • Kwan has touched home plate at least one time 59 times this season in 120 games played (49.2%), including 20 times when he tallied multiple runs (16.7%).
  • He has picked up an RBI in 33 of 120 games this season, including multiple RBI in 10 of them.
  • In 43 of 120 games this season (35.8%), Kwan has been set down on strikes. Plus, seven of those games (5.8%) included a performance that resulted in two or more strikeouts.

Last 5 Games vs. Twins

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/11/2024 David Festa 1-for-4 0 0 1 0 0/1 0
8/10/2024 Simeon Woods Richardson 1-for-4 1 1 1 1 1/0 0
8/9/2024 Louie Varland 1-for-5 0 0 0 1 0/0 0
8/9/2024 Bailey Ober 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
4/6/2024 Joe Ryan 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Zebby Matthews

  • Matthews (1-3) will take the mound for the Twins, his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 3 1/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 7.11, a 5.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.658 in six games this season.
  • Matthews has not earned a quality start in six starts this season.
  • Matthews has started six games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.

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Guardians vs Twins Win Probability

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