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Monday, 08 July, 2024
12:35 PM

MLB Matchups

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Mets vs Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds 07-08-2024

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (42-47) host the New York Mets (44-44) on Monday at 12:35 PM ET. The Pirates are favored on the moneyline (-115) against the underdog Mets (+105). Pittsburgh has Mitch Keller set to start, while New York counters with Christian Scott.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Date: Monday, July 8, 2024
  • Time: 12:35 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park

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Mets vs. Pirates Betting Info

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Pirates -115 +105 8.5 -105 -115

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won 16 of the 34 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (47.1%).
  • In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -115 or shorter, Pittsburgh has gone 12-16 (42.9%).
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Pirates have an implied win probability of 53.5%.
  • Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 87 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 38 of those games (38-47-2).
  • The Pirates are 47-40-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been underdogs in 36 games this season and won 18 (50%) of those contests.
  • New York has entered 28 games this season as the underdog by +105 or more and is 14-14 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 48.8%.
  • Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 44 of 81 chances this season.
  • The Mets are 41-40-0 against the spread this season.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Mitch Keller (PIT) Pitcher Christian Scott (NYM)
9 - 5 W/L 0 - 2
103.1 IP 33.1
3.48 ERA 4.32
1.248 WHIP 1.140
8.4 K/9 7.3
2.4 BB/9 2.2

Mets vs Pirates Betting Odds

Mets vs Pirates Player Props

Andrew McCutchen Props for Today: Friday, July 5 vs. the New York Mets

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Andrew McCutchen (.343 slugging percentage over his past 10 games, including two homers), battle starting pitcher Luis Severino and the New York Mets at PNC Park, Friday at 6:40 PM ET.

Pirates vs. Mets Game Details

  • Day: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Andrew McCutchen Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -169)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -172)

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Andrew McCutchen Betting Stats

  • McCutchen has picked up a hit in 57.5% of his 73 games this year, with multiple hits in 23.3% of those games (17).
  • He has hit a home run in 12 games this season, leaving the ballpark in 3.8% of his trips to the dish.
  • McCutchen has scored at least one run 33 times this season in 73 games played (45.2%), including nine times when he tallied multiple runs (12.3%).
  • He has tallied at least one RBI in 20 of 73 games this season (27.4%). He has collected two or more RBI in three of those contests (4.1%).
  • McCutchen has struck out at least once 54 times this season in 73 games (74%), including 21 games with more than one strikeout (28.8%).

Last 5 Games vs. Mets

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
4/16/2024 José Quintana 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
4/15/2024 Adrian Houser 1-for-3 0 0 1 1 1/1 0
8/16/2023 Tylor Megill 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/1 0
8/15/2023 David Peterson 0-for-2 0 0 0 1 2/2 0
6/11/2023 Carlos Carrasco 1-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/1 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Luis Severino

  • The Mets' Severino (5-2) will make his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.42), 34th in WHIP (1.161), and 58th in K/9 (6.8) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.
  • He has earned a quality start seven times in 16 starts this season.
  • Severino has 16 starts in a row of five innings or more.

Brandon Nimmo Props for Today: Friday, July 5 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

Brandon Nimmo -- with a slugging percentage of .583 in his past 10 games, including three home runs -- will be in action for the New York Mets against the Pittsburgh Pirates, with Paul Skenes on the mound, on July 5 at 6:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Details

  • Day: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Brandon Nimmo Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -208)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +132)

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Brandon Nimmo Betting Stats

  • Nimmo has collected a hit in 49 out of 80 games this season (61.3%), with multiple base hits in 19 of those contests (23.8%).
  • He has homered in 15% of his games this season (80 contests), going yard in 3.7% of his trips to home plate.
  • Nimmo has scored a run in 46.3% of his 80 games this year. That includes two or more runs scored in 18.8% of those contests (15).
  • He has driven in at least one run 28 times this year in 80 tries (35%), including plating more than one run in 20% of games (16 times) and producing three or more of his team's runs on five occasions.
  • In 66.3% of his 80 games this season, Nimmo has been set down on strikes (53 times). He's also had 24 games with multiple Ks in 2024 (30%).

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
4/17/2024 Bailey Falter 2-for-5 0 0 2 0 1/0 0
4/16/2024 Jared Jones 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0
4/15/2024 Martín Pérez 0-for-5 0 0 1 0 0/0 0
8/16/2023 Johan Oviedo 1-for-3 0 0 1 0 0/2 0
8/15/2023 Bailey Falter 2-for-4 1 1 1 1 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Skenes

  • The Pirates will send Skenes (4-0) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on six hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 22-year-old has pitched to a 2.06 ERA this season with 12 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across nine games.
  • He's going for his fifth straight quality start.
  • Skenes has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.

Francisco Lindor Props for Today: Friday, July 5 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

On Friday, Francisco Lindor (.587 slugging percentage in past 10 games, including three home runs) and the New York Mets face the Pittsburgh Pirates, whose starting pitcher will be Paul Skenes. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Details

  • Day: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Francisco Lindor Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -227)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +118)

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Francisco Lindor Betting Stats

  • In 61.2% of his games this season (52-of-85), Lindor has recorded a hit. In 27 of those games (31.8%), he's recorded at least two hits.
  • Out of the 85 games he has played in this season, he's hit a home run in 14 contests (16.5%), leaving the yard in 3.9% of his plate appearances.
  • Lindor has scored at least one run in 45 out of 85 games this year (52.9%), which includes more than one run scored in 11 of those contests (12.9%).
  • He has picked up at least one RBI 27 times this season in 85 tries (31.8%), including driving in more than one run in 14.1% of games (12 times) and producing three or more of his team's runs on two occasions.
  • Lindor has struck out one or more times 48 times this year in 85 games (56.5%), including 14 games with more than one strikeout (16.5%).

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
4/17/2024 Bailey Falter 1-for-4 0 0 0 1 0/0 0
4/16/2024 Jared Jones 0-for-3 0 0 0 1 2/1 0
4/15/2024 Martín Pérez 2-for-4 1 0 0 1 0/1 0
8/16/2023 Johan Oviedo 1-for-5 0 0 2 0 0/0 0
8/15/2023 Bailey Falter 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Skenes

  • The Pirates' Skenes (4-0) will make his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in six innings against the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 2.06, a 7 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.032 in nine games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he'll earn his fifth consecutive quality start.
  • Skenes has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.

Bryan Reynolds Props for Today: Friday, July 5 vs. the New York Mets

On Friday, Bryan Reynolds (.548 slugging percentage in past 10 games, including three home runs) and the Pittsburgh Pirates play the New York Mets, whose starting pitcher will be Luis Severino. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET.

Pirates vs. Mets Game Details

  • Day: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Bryan Reynolds Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -256)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +103)

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Bryan Reynolds Betting Stats

  • Reynolds has collected a hit in 63 of 86 games this season (73.3%), with at least two hits in 27 of those games (31.4%).
  • He has hit a long ball in 16.3% of his games this season (86 contests), going yard in 3.6% of his plate appearances.
  • Reynolds has touched home plate at least once 35 times this season in 86 games played (40.7%), including one game with more than one run scored.
  • He has picked up at least one RBI in 33 out of 86 games this season (38.4%). He has collected more than one RBI in 12 of those contests (14%).
  • Reynolds has gone down on strikes one or more times in 73.3% of his games this year (63 of 86), striking out multiple times in 20 of those games (23.3%).

Last 5 Games vs. Mets

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
4/17/2024 Luis Severino 1-for-3 0 0 1 0 1/1 0
4/16/2024 José Quintana 1-for-3 0 0 1 0 1/1 0
4/15/2024 Adrian Houser 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
8/16/2023 Tylor Megill 1-for-5 1 1 2 1 1/0 0
8/15/2023 David Peterson 1-for-6 1 0 1 0 1/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Luis Severino

  • Severino (5-2) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the Houston Astros, giving up four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.42), 34th in WHIP (1.161), and 58th in K/9 (6.8) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.
  • In 16 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in seven of them.
  • Severino has 16 starts in a row of five innings or more.

Pete Alonso Props for Today: Friday, July 5 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

Pete Alonso, with a slugging percentage of .417 in his past 10 games -- including two home runs -- will be in action for the New York Mets versus the Pittsburgh Pirates, with Paul Skenes on the mound, July 5 at 6:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Pirates Game Details

  • Day: Friday, July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Pete Alonso Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -158)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -156)

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Pete Alonso Betting Stats

  • Alonso has reached base with a base hit 51 times this year in 85 games played (60%), including multiple knocks in 30.6% of them (26 times).
  • He has homered in 17 games this season, leaving the ballpark in 4.9% of his chances at the plate.
  • In 44.7% of his 85 games this season, Alonso has touched home plate (38 times). Also, he's notched nine games with multiple runs in 2024 (10.6%).
  • He has produced at least one run in 35.3% of his games this season (30 of 85), including two or more RBI in 12 of those contests (14.1%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in four contests.
  • Alonso has gone down on strikes one or more times 54 times this season in 85 games (63.5%), including 18 games with more than one strikeout (21.2%).

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
4/17/2024 Bailey Falter 0-for-2 0 0 0 2 0/2 0
4/16/2024 Jared Jones 2-for-4 1 0 0 1 0/0 0
4/15/2024 Martín Pérez 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
8/16/2023 Johan Oviedo 1-for-4 1 1 1 1 2/1 0
8/15/2023 Bailey Falter 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Skenes

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Skenes (4-0) for his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on six hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 22-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with a 2.06 ERA, 12 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .228.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he'll earn his fifth consecutive quality start.
  • Skenes has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.

Mets vs Pirates Records

Mets vs Pirates Injuries

Mets ROI

Pirates ROI

Mets Stats

Pirates Stats

Pirates vs Mets Win Probability

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