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Sunday, 25 August, 2024
4:10 PM

MLB Matchups

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Mets vs Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds 08-25-2024

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Mark Vientos takes a 10-game hitting streak into the New York Mets' (67-61) matchup with the San Diego Padres (72-57). The Padres are the moneyline favorite (-140) for this matchup with the Mets (+125), which starts at 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday at PETCO Park. San Diego has Joe Musgrove starting things off, while New York counters with Paul Blackburn.

Mets vs. Padres Game Info

  • Date: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • TV: SNY
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park

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Mets vs. Padres Betting Info

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Padres -140 +125 8 -105 -115

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have a 44-34 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 56.4% of those games).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -140 or shorter, San Diego has a record of 26-18 (59.1%).
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Padres' implied win probability is 58.3%.
  • San Diego has played in 125 games with a set over/under, and have combined with its opponents to go over the total 68 times (68-55-2).
  • The Padres have gone 66-59-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have entered the game as underdogs 44 times this season and won 21, or 47.7%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when it's set as an underdog of +125 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 44.4% chance of a victory for the Mets.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of its 118 games with a total.
  • In 118 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 60-58-0 ATS.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Joe Musgrove (SD) Pitcher Paul Blackburn (NYM)
3 - 4 W/L 5 - 3
58 IP 73
4.97 ERA 4.19
1.397 WHIP 1.192
7.9 K/9 7.2
2.8 BB/9 2.6

Mets vs Padres Betting Odds

Mets vs Padres Player Props

Jackson Merrill Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the New York Mets

On Friday, Jackson Merrill (hitting .237 in his past 10 games) and the San Diego Padres face the New York Mets, whose starting pitcher will be Paul Blackburn. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Mets Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Jackson Merrill Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -270)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +105)

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Jackson Merrill Betting Stats

  • Merrill has reached base with a base hit 80 times this year in 122 games played (65.6%), including multiple knocks in 27.0% of them (33 times).
  • In 13.1% of his games this season, he has homered (16 of 122). He's taken the pitcher deep in 3.8% of his trips to the dish during the 2024 campaign.
  • Merrill has scored at least one run 52 times this season in 122 contests (42.6%), including scoring multiple runs in 7.4% of games (nine times).
  • He has notched at least one RBI 47 times this year in 122 games played (38.5%), including 18 times plating multiple runs (14.8%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in five contests.
  • Merrill has fanned 65 times this year in 122 tries (53.3%), including striking out on multiple occasions in 13.1% of games (16 times).

Last 5 Games vs. Mets

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Luis Severino 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0
6/16/2024 Tylor Megill 1-for-3 0 0 1 0 1/1 0
6/15/2024 José Quintana 1-for-3 1 1 1 1 1/0 0
6/14/2024 Sean Manaea 1-for-3 1 1 1 1 0/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Blackburn

  • Blackburn (5-3) will take the mound for the Mets, his 14th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.19, a 2.76 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.192 in 13 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start seven times in 13 starts this season.
  • Blackburn has 10 starts of five or more innings this season in 13 chances. He averages 5.6 innings per outing.

Luis Arraez Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the New York Mets

Luis Arraez -- 2-for-5 in his most recent game -- will be in action for the San Diego Padres against the New York Mets, with Paul Blackburn on the hill, on August 23 at 9:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Mets Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Luis Arraez Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 1.5 hits (Over odds: +164)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +112)

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Luis Arraez Betting Stats

  • In 91 of 120 games this year (75.8%), Arraez has gotten a hit, and he collected more than one hit in 48 of those contests (40.0%).
  • In 2.5% of his games this season, he has hit a long ball (three of 120). He's gone deep in 0.6% of his trips to the plate during the 2024 campaign.
  • Arraez has scored at least one run 54 times this year in 120 contests (45.0%), including scoring multiple runs in 8.3% of games (10 times).
  • He has notched at least one RBI 27 times this year in 120 games played (22.5%), including six times driving in multiple runs (5.0%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in one contest.
  • Arraez has fanned 23 times this year in 120 games played (19.2%), including three times punching out multiple times (2.5%).

Last 5 Games vs. Mets

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Luis Severino 2-for-5 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
6/16/2024 Tylor Megill 2-for-5 1 0 0 0 0/0 0
6/15/2024 José Quintana 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
6/14/2024 Sean Manaea 2-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
9/18/2023 Jose Butto 2-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Blackburn

  • Blackburn (5-3) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 14th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with a 4.19 ERA, 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .241.
  • He has earned a quality start seven times in 13 starts this season.
  • In 13 starts, Blackburn has pitched through or past the fifth inning 10 times. He has a season average of 5.6 frames per outing.

Jurickson Profar Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the New York Mets

The San Diego Padres, including Jurickson Profar (.293 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 95 points below season-long percentage), take on starter Paul Blackburn and the New York Mets at PETCO Park, Friday at 9:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Mets Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Jurickson Profar Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -196)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -196)

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Jurickson Profar Betting Stats

  • Profar has tallied a hit 93 times this season in 127 games played (73.2%), with 31 multi-hit efforts (24.4%).
  • He has gone yard in 15.0% of his games in 2024 (19 of 127), which amounts to 3.8% of his trips to the plate.
  • Profar has scored at least one run 55 times this year in 127 contests (43.3%), including scoring multiple runs in 14.2% of games (18 times).
  • In 35.4% of his 127 games this season, he has notched an RBI (45 times). Also, he's notched 19 games with multiple RBI in 2024 (15.0%) and plated three or more of his team's runs in nine contests.
  • Profar has gone down on strikes in 48.8% of his 127 games this season, while fanning more than once in 10.2% of them (13).

Last 5 Games vs. Mets

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Luis Severino 2-for-4 0 0 1 0 1/1 0
6/16/2024 Tylor Megill 1-for-4 0 0 1 2 0/1 0
6/15/2024 José Quintana 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 1/1 0
6/14/2024 Sean Manaea 2-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
5/28/2023 Tylor Megill 1-for-5 0 0 0 1 1/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Paul Blackburn

  • Blackburn (5-3) will take the mound for the Mets, his 14th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.19, a 2.76 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.192 in 13 games this season.
  • He has seven quality starts in 13 chances this season.
  • Blackburn has started 13 games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.6 innings per appearance.

Francisco Lindor Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the San Diego Padres

Francisco Lindor and his .435 on-base percentage over his past 10 games (94 points higher than his season-long percentage), will be in action for the New York Mets versus the San Diego Padres and Joe Musgrove on August 23 at 9:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Padres Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Francisco Lindor Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -192)
  • Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +135)

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Francisco Lindor Betting Stats

  • Lindor has recorded a hit 86 times this year in 128 games played (67.2%), with 44 multi-hit efforts (34.4%).
  • In 22 of 128 games this season, he has hit a home run (17.2%). He's taken the pitcher deep in 4.3% of his trips to the plate.
  • Lindor has scored a run in 53.9% of his 128 games this year. That includes more than one run scored in 13.3% of those contests (17).
  • In 34.4% of his contests this year (44 of 128), he has produced at least one run. In 20 of those games (15.6%) he recorded two or more RBI, while he was responsible for three or more of his team's runs in five games.
  • In 74 of 128 games this season (57.8%), Lindor has gone down on strikes. Plus, 23 of those games (18%) included a performance that resulted in two or more strikeouts.

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Dylan Cease 2-for-4 1 0 0 2 0/1 0
6/16/2024 Dylan Cease 1-for-3 1 1 2 2 0/1 0
6/15/2024 Adam Mazur 1-for-3 1 0 0 1 1/2 1
6/14/2024 Matt Waldron 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
7/9/2023 Joe Musgrove 1-for-4 0 0 0 0 2/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Joe Musgrove

  • The Padres will hand the ball to Musgrove (3-4) for his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 4.97, a 2.83 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.397.
  • He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
  • Musgrove has six starts of five or more innings this season in 12 chances. He averages 4.8 innings per outing.

Brandon Nimmo Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the San Diego Padres

The New York Mets, including Brandon Nimmo (.162 batting average in his past 10 games), battle starter Joe Musgrove and the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park, Friday at 9:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Padres Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Brandon Nimmo Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -156)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -154)

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Brandon Nimmo Betting Stats

  • In 59.7% of his games this season (71-of-119), Nimmo has posted a hit. In 24 of those games (20.2%), he's recorded at least two hits.
  • He has hit a home run in 17 of 119 games in 2024 (14.3%), which is 3.4% of his trips to the dish.
  • In 52 of 119 contests this year (43.7%), Nimmo has scored a run, and 17 of those games (14.3%) included an effort that produced more than one run scored.
  • In 33.6% of his contests this year (40 of 119), he has produced at least one run. In 21 of those games (17.6%) he recorded more than one RBI, while accounting for three or more of his team's runs in eight games.
  • Nimmo has gone down on strikes in 83 of 119 games this season, including multiple Ks in 38 of them.

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Dylan Cease 1-for-5 0 0 0 0 1/0 0
6/16/2024 Dylan Cease 3-for-5 0 0 1 2 0/0 0
6/15/2024 Adam Mazur 2-for-5 1 0 2 1 1/0 0
6/14/2024 Matt Waldron 2-for-3 0 0 0 1 0/0 0
7/9/2023 Joe Musgrove 0-for-3 0 0 0 1 1/1 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Joe Musgrove

  • The Padres will hand the ball to Musgrove (3-4) for his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander's last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 4.97 ERA this season with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • He has earned a quality start four times in 12 starts this season.
  • Musgrove has six starts of five or more innings this season in 12 chances. He averages 4.8 innings per outing.

Pete Alonso Props for Today: Friday, August 23 vs. the San Diego Padres

Pete Alonso -- batting .333 in his past 10 games -- will be in action for the New York Mets against the San Diego Padres, with Joe Musgrove on the mound, on August 23 at 9:40 PM ET.

Mets vs. Padres Game Details

  • Day: Friday, August 23, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Venue: PETCO Park
  • TV Channel: SNY

Pete Alonso Props and Betting Odds

  • Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -139)
  • Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -141)

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Pete Alonso Betting Stats

  • Alonso has collected a base hit 78 times this season in 128 games played (60.9%), including multiple knocks on 36 occasions (28.1%).
  • He has homered in 19.5% of his games this season (128 contests), going yard in 4.9% of his trips to home plate.
  • Alonso has scored at least one run 58 times this year in 128 games played (45.3%), including 12 times when he tallied multiple runs (9.4%).
  • In 32.8% of his 128 games this season, he has driven in a run (42 times). Also, he's put up 20 games with multiple RBI in 2024 (15.6%) and driven in three or more of his team's runs in six contests.
  • Alonso has fanned 85 times this year in 128 games played (66.4%), including 32 times punching out multiple times (25.0%).

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Date Opp. SP H/AB XBH HR RBI R K/BB SB
8/22/2024 Dylan Cease 3-for-5 0 0 1 1 1/0 0
6/16/2024 Dylan Cease 2-for-5 1 1 5 1 1/0 0
6/15/2024 Adam Mazur 1-for-5 1 0 0 0 3/0 0
6/14/2024 Matt Waldron 0-for-4 0 0 0 0 0/0 0
7/9/2023 Joe Musgrove 0-for-3 0 0 0 0 0/0 0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove (3-4) will take the mound for the Padres, his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.97, a 2.83 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.397 in 12 games this season.
  • In 12 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in four of them.
  • In 12 starts this season, Musgrove has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.8 innings per appearance.

Mets vs Padres Records

Mets vs Padres Injuries

Mets ROI

Padres ROI

Mets Stats

Padres Stats

Padres vs Mets Win Probability

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