Pirates

Wednesday, 14 August, 2024
4:10 PM

Padres

Wednesday, 14 August, 2024
4:10 PM

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Contents

1. Start
2. Betting Odds
3. Records
4. Injuries
5. Teams ROI
6. Teams Stats
7. Trends
8. Win Probability

MLB Matchups

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

Pirates vs Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds 08-14-2024

The San Diego Padres (61-52) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-55) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Padres are favored on the moneyline (-165) against the underdog Pirates (+145). Dylan Cease starts for San Diego while Pittsburgh will counter with Bailey Falter.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Info

Date: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: SportsNet PT
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park

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Padres vs. Pirates Betting Info

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Padres	-165	+145	7.5	-110	-110

Padres Betting Insights

The Padres have a 34-29 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54% of those games).
San Diego has a record of 9-7 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -165 or shorter (56.2% winning percentage).
The Padres have an implied moneyline win probability of 62.3% in this matchup.
San Diego has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 109 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 58 of those games (58-50-1).
The Padres have gone 58-51-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 63 times and won 31, or 49.2%, of those games.
Pittsburgh is 7-9 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +145 or more on the moneyline.
The Pirates have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of its 109 games with a total this season.
The Pirates have an ATS record of 62-47-0 in 109 games with a spread this season.

Probable Starting Pitchers

Dylan Cease (SD)	Pitcher	Bailey Falter (PIT)
11 - 8	W/L	5 - 7
136.2	IP	95.2
3.42	ERA	3.95
0.988	WHIP	1.192
11.5	K/9	6
2.8	BB/9	2.6

Pirates vs Padres Betting Odds

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Pirates vs Padres Player Props

Oneil Cruz Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the San Diego Padres

After going 0-for-5 in his last game, Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the San Diego Padres (who will start Dylan Cease) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday.

Pirates vs. Padres Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Oneil Cruz Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -135)
Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +190)

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Oneil Cruz Betting Stats

In 61.6% of his games this season (61-of-99), Cruz has posted a hit. In 28 of those games (28.3%), he's recorded at least two hits.
Out of the 99 games he has played in this season, he's homered in 17 contests (17.2%), leaving the ballpark in 4.2% of his plate appearances.
Cruz has scored a run in 38.4% of his 99 games this year. That includes more than one run scored in 12.1% of those contests (12).
In 35.4% of his 99 games this season, he has tallied an RBI (35 times). Also, he's notched 16 games with multiple RBI in 2024 (16.2%) and driven in three or more of his team's runs in five contests.
In 76.8% of his contests this year (76 of 99), Cruz has gone down on strikes at least once. In 42 of those games (42.4%), he registered two or more punchouts.

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Dylan Cease

The Padres will send Cease (11-8) to the mound for his 24th start this season.
The right-hander's last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
The 28-year-old's 3.42 ERA ranks 24th, .988 WHIP ranks seventh, and 11.5 K/9 ranks third among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.
In 23 starts this season, he's earned 13 quality starts.
Cease will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.

Bryan Reynolds Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the San Diego Padres

On Tuesday, Bryan Reynolds (.432 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 74 points above season-long percentage) and the Pittsburgh Pirates face the San Diego Padres, whose starting pitcher will be Dylan Cease. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET.

Pirates vs. Padres Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Bryan Reynolds Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -167)
Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -167)

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Bryan Reynolds Betting Stats

Reynolds has collected a hit in 78 of 107 games this year (72.9%), with multiple base knocks in 36 of those games (33.6%).
He has hit a long ball in 16.8% of his games this season (107 contests), going yard in 4% of his trips to home plate.
Reynolds has scored a run in 41.1% of his 107 games this year. That includes more than one run scored in 4.7% of those contests (five).
He has driven in at least one run 40 times this season in 107 games played (37.4%), including 17 games with more than one RBI (15.9%). He has also accounted for three or more of his team's runs in four contests.
Reynolds has fanned 75 times this season in 107 tries (70.1%), including punching out on multiple occasions in 24.3% of games (26 times).

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Date	Opp. SP	H/AB	XBH	HR	RBI	R	K/BB
7/26/2023	Seth Lugo	2-for-4	1	1	1	1	1/0
7/25/2023	Blake Snell	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	2/0
7/24/2023	Yu Darvish	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	2/1
5/29/2022	MacKenzie Gore	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	2/0
5/28/2022	Joe Musgrove	1-for-4	1	0	0	0	2/1

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Dylan Cease

The Padres' Cease (11-8) will make his 24th start of the season.
The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday.
Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 28-year-old ranks 24th in ERA (3.42), seventh in WHIP (.988), and third in K/9 (11.5).
In 23 starts this season, he's earned a quality start in 13 of them.
Cease will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.

Luis Arraez Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

On Tuesday, Luis Arraez (.256 on-base percentage in past 10 games, 81 points below season-long percentage) and the San Diego Padres face the Pittsburgh Pirates, whose starting pitcher will be Bailey Falter. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Luis Arraez Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -417)
Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: -105)

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Luis Arraez Betting Stats

In 76.4% of his 106 games this season, Arraez has recorded a base hit (81 times). He's also collected 41 multi-hit games in 2024 (38.7%).
He has gone deep in three of 106 games in 2024 (2.8%), which is 0.6% of his trips to the plate.
Arraez has scored at least one run 46 times this season in 106 games played (43.4%), including eight times when he tallied multiple runs (7.5%).
He has tallied at least one RBI in 22.6% of his games this year (24 of 106), including more than one RBI in five of them (4.7%).
Arraez has struck out at least once in 19.8% of his games this season (21 of 106), striking out multiple times in three of them (2.8%).

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date	Opp. SP	H/AB	XBH	R	K/BB
3/31/2024	Bailey Falter	1-for-4	1	1	1/1
3/30/2024	Jared Jones	1-for-4	0	0	0/0
3/29/2024	Martín Pérez	0-for-4	0	1	0/1
3/28/2024	Mitch Keller	0-for-6	0	0	1/0
9/29/2023	Osvaldo Bido	1-for-1	0	0	0/0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Bailey Falter

The Pirates will send Falter (5-7) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
The left-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 3.95, a 2.29 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.192.
He has seven quality starts in 18 chances this season.
Falter has started 18 games this season, and he's lasted five or more innings 13 times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.

Bryan De La Cruz Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the San Diego Padres

The Pittsburgh Pirates, including Bryan De La Cruz (batting .244 in his past 10 games, with three doubles, a home run, a walk and seven RBI), battle starting pitcher Dylan Cease and the San Diego Padres at PNC Park, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.

Pirates vs. Padres Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Bryan De La Cruz Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -145)
Total Bases Prop: 0.5 total bases (Over odds: -141)

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Bryan De La Cruz Betting Stats

In 76 of 109 games this year (69.7%), De La Cruz has gotten a hit, and he collected two or more knocks in 26 of those contests (23.9%).
In 18 of 109 games this season, he has hit a home run (16.5%). He's gone deep in 3.8% of his trips to the plate.
De La Cruz has scored at least one run in 41 out of 109 games this year (37.6%), which includes two or more runs scored in four of those contests (3.7%).
In 34.9% of his contests this year (38 of 109), he has driven in at least one run. In 10 of those games (9.2%) he recorded more than one RBI, while he was responsible for three or more of his team's runs in four games.
De La Cruz has struck out one or more times 85 times this season in 109 games (78%), including 33 games with more than one strikeout (30.3%).

Last 5 Games vs. Padres

Date	Opp. SP	H/AB	K/BB
5/29/2024	Yu Darvish	0-for-5	2/0
5/28/2024	Matt Waldron	0-for-4	1/0
5/27/2024	Michael King	0-for-3	2/1
8/23/2023	Seth Lugo	0-for-3	1/1
8/22/2023	Blake Snell	0-for-1	0/0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Dylan Cease

The Padres' Cease (11-8) will make his 24th start of the season.
The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 28-year-old ranks 24th in ERA (3.42), seventh in WHIP (.988), and third in K/9 (11.5).
He has 13 quality starts in 23 chances this season.
Cease has five starts in a row of five innings or more.

Jurickson Profar Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

The San Diego Padres, including Jurickson Profar and his .684 slugging percentage over his past 10 games, battle starter Bailey Falter and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Jurickson Profar Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 1.5 hits (Over odds: +186)
Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +110)

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Jurickson Profar Betting Stats

Profar has collected a base hit 83 times this year in 111 games played (74.8%), including multiple knocks on 28 occasions (25.2%).
He has hit a long ball in 18 games this season, going deep in 4.1% of his trips to home plate.
In 41.4% of his 111 games this season, Profar has scored (46 times). Also, he's notched 16 games with multiple runs in 2024 (14.4%).
He has driven in at least one run 41 times this year in 111 tries (36.9%), including plating more than one run in 16.2% of games (18 times) and producing three or more of his team's runs on eight occasions.
In 54 of 111 games this year (48.6%), Profar has been set down on strikes. Plus, 11 of those games (9.9%) included a performance that resulted in more than one strikeout.

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date	Opp. SP	H/AB	XBH	HR	RBI	R	K/BB
5/10/2023	Rich Hill	1-for-4	0	0	1	0	0/1
5/9/2023	Luis Ortiz	2-for-4	2	2	3	3	1/0
5/8/2023	Mitch Keller	0-for-3	0	0	0	0	1/1
4/19/2023	Johan Oviedo	0-for-3	0	0	0	0	2/2
4/18/2023	Vince Velásquez	1-for-5	0	0	0	0	2/0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Bailey Falter

Falter (5-7) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his 19th start of the season.
The left-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.95 ERA this season with 6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 18 games.
He has seven quality starts in 18 chances this season.
In 18 starts, Falter has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 5.3 frames per outing.

Manny Machado Props for Today: Tuesday, August 6 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates

The San Diego Padres, including Manny Machado (.366 batting average in his past 10 games), battle starting pitcher Bailey Falter and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.

Padres vs. Pirates Game Details

Day: Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Venue: PNC Park
TV Channel: SportsNet PT

Manny Machado Props and Betting Odds

Hits Prop: 0.5 hits (Over odds: -278)
Total Bases Prop: 1.5 total bases (Over odds: +100)

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Manny Machado Betting Stats

Machado has a hit in 68.6% of his games this year (72 of 105), and he posted more than one hit in 31 of them (29.5%).
He has hit a long ball in 14.3% of his games in 2024 (15 of 105), which amounts to 3.9% of his trips to the plate.
Machado has scored at least one run in 40 of 105 games this season (38.1%), which includes two or more runs scored in 13 of those contests (12.4%).
He has picked up at least one RBI 36 times this season in 105 games played (34.3%), including 16 times plating multiple runs (15.2%). He has also knocked in three or more of his team's runs in seven contests.
Machado has been set down on strikes at least once 58 times this season in 105 games (55.2%), including 23 games with more than one strikeout (21.9%).

Last 5 Games vs. Pirates

Date	Opp. SP	H/AB	XBH	HR	RBI	R	K/BB
7/26/2023	Johan Oviedo	1-for-4	1	0	1	0	1/0
7/25/2023	Rich Hill	1-for-2	1	1	1	1	0/1
7/24/2023	Quinn Priester	1-for-4	0	0	0	0	1/0
6/29/2023	Luis Ortiz	0-for-5	0	0	0	0	0/0
6/28/2023	Mitch Keller	1-for-4	0	0	0	0	1/0

Opposing Pitcher Stats: Bailey Falter

The Pirates will hand the ball to Falter (5-7) for his 19th start of the season.
The left-hander gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 3.95 ERA, 6 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .244.
He has seven quality starts in 18 chances this season.
In 18 starts, Falter has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 5.3 frames per outing.