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Acuna Tops MLB Picks to Win NL MVP

For the first time since the MVP voting process was created in 1931, Ronald Acuña Jr. in the National League and Shohei Ohtani in the American League secured their MVP titles unanimously in 2023, marking a historic moment in baseball. The off-season MLB news saw significant movements among elite players, further stirring the pot in the betting landscape.

Ohtani, fresh from his reign as the AL MVP, made a high-profile switch to the Los Angeles Dodgers while Juan Soto, a consistent NL MVP contender, took his talents to the New York Yankees in a headline-grabbing trade.

Acuna Tops MLB Picks to Win NL MVP
Ronald Acuna Jr. #13 of the Atlanta Braves - Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images/AF

These significant shifts among critical players have made the 2024 NL MVP race prediction game more fascinating and unpredictable. The MLB Odds offer a glimpse into the potential front-runners and dark horses in this highly anticipated contest.

Join us as we explore the odds of winning the NL MVP, analyze the top contenders, and predict who might emerge victorious in this closely watched-battle.

 

NL MVP Odds

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. +500
  • Mookie Betts +650
  • Shohei Ohtani +650
  • Bryce Harper +1000
  • Freddie Freeman +1000
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. +1000
  • Matt Olson +1400
  • Corbin Carroll +1800
  • Manny Machado +2000
  • Trea Turner +2000

 

 

1. The Favorite

Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta Braves (+500)

The landscape of the NL MVP race has been intriguingly reshaped with Ohtani joining the Dodgers, who now boast three MVP-caliber talents. However, reigning MVP Ronald Acuña Jr. remains a prime candidate after his phenomenal 40-70 season, setting a new benchmark in MLB history.

Acuña capitalized immensely on MLB’s recent changes to base sizes and pickoff rules, shattering his previous best with a career-high 73 stolen bases. Following a 2022 dip in power post-ACL surgery, he rebounded impressively last season, achieving career peaks in maximum and average exit velocities. This surge helped him to hit 41 home runs, even with his career’s lowest launch angle.

Despite a slight preseason injury concern (knee), Acuña’s outstanding performance last year — highlighted by a .337 average, 41 homers, 106 RBIs and a 1.012 OPS — makes a strong case for back-to-back MVP titles. Yet, his preseason injury and current odds (+500) introduce a layer of risk for bettors.

It’s been a while since Miguel Cabrera’s back-to-back MVP wins in 2012-2013, but Acuña’s potential for another groundbreaking season makes him a compelling candidate to repeat. Despite stiff competition and the dazzling entry of Ohtani into the NL, Acuña’s forecasted stats suggest he could feasibly surpass his previous achievements, potentially securing another MVP award and etching his name into the record books with yet another historic season.

The latest MLB news surrounding his offseason injury is also positive. Acuna made some 20 at-bats at the tail end of spring training.

 

2. The No. 1 Contender

Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers (+650)

Throughout the history of baseball, no full-time designated hitter has ever secured an MVP Award. Notable runners-up include Paul Molitor in 1993, Frank Thomas in 2000 and David Ortiz in 2005. However, Ohtani is a unique talent who might change this narrative. Should he clinch the MVP title, Ohtani would join the esteemed ranks of Frank Robinson as the only players to win the prestigious award in both the National and American Leagues (Robinson won it in 1961 and 1966).

The revelation last September that Ohtani would require right elbow surgery, sidelining his pitching capabilities for 2024, initially diminished his prospects of bagging a third career MVP Award. Yet, this development has a silver lining.

With Ohtani now exclusively focusing on his batting, free from the dual demands of being a two-way player, there’s a palpable anticipation surrounding his offensive performance. This concentrated effort on hitting alone may lead to unprecedented results, potentially surpassing the extraordinary statistics he achieved in his previous MVP-winning seasons.

A new and odd gambling-related scandal broke this week, so Ohtani’s MLB betting odds might fall, which is suitable for anyone looking for better value than +650.

 

3. The Longshot

Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+1800)

Following an impressive debut in 2022, Carroll lived up to the high expectations set for him in 2023. While it’s challenging to anticipate more from a player who just notched 25 home runs and swiped 54 bases, considering Carroll is only 23 years old, there’s a distinct possibility for further development, given his exceptional skills in multiple facets of the game. Moreover, history has shown that transitioning from Rookie of the Year to winning an MVP Award is not beyond the realms of possibility — with players like Kris Bryant (2016), Dustin Pedroia (2008) and Ryan Howard (2006) achieving this feat within the last two decades.

Should Carroll elevate his game even further in 2024 and propel the Diamondbacks into playoff contention again, he could find himself on the path to clinching both prestigious awards in succession. His continuous improvement and contribution to the team’s success could position him for significant accolades as he progresses.

 

 

 

Questions Of The Day

 

Who is favored to win the AL MVP?


Despite starting the season not exactly healthy, Aaron Judge is +550 to win the AL MVP now that Ohtani is a Dodger. Juan Soto is +600.

Who is favored to win the NL CY Young?


Based on the Vegas betting odds, Spencer Strider (+450) is the most likely candidate to win the NL Cy Young.

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