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Astros vs Yankees Series Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

AL Championship Series Rematch

The last time the Houston Astros and New York Yankees got together, a spot in the World Series was on the line. Not much is at stake this time around, especially for the Yankees. NY is 3½ games out of the last playoff spot in the American League, while Houston could move into first place in the AL West Division. MLB odds had the Astros and Yankees as the No. 1 and No. 2 options to win the World Series. The Astros are still among the top contenders, but the championship odds for the Yankees have gone from +750 to +3000.

When looking at MLB predictions, the Astros are favored to take the series opener despite some recent struggles by starting pitcher Cristian Javier. The starters for the Astros in the third and fourth games in the series have not been announced.

Astros vs Yankees Series Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Nestor Cortes Jr. #67 of the New York Yankees poses for a portrait during MLB Players Weekend/Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Houston is second in the AL with 31 road wins. The Yankees have struggled to win on the road but are 33-26 at home, something to consider in MLB live betting.

In MLB news, Yankees pitcher Domingo German will miss the rest of the season as he entered a treatment program for alcohol abuse. German threw a perfect game earlier in the season. Meanwhile, the Yankees will get Nestor Cortes back, who hasn’t pitched since May 30.

When looking at MLB picks, Houston (+650) is tied with Tampa Bay for the best odds to win the World Series among AL teams. Despite trailing the Texas Rangers for much of the season, Houston (-110) has the best odds to win the AL West Division title. The Yankees were the preseason favorite to win the AL East title. Those odds have tumbled to +5000.

Starting Pitchers

  • Thursday: Cristian Javier (7-2, 4.33 ERA) vs Clarke Schmidt (7-6, 4.39)
  • Friday: Hunter Brown (7-7, 4.12 ERA) vs Luis Severino (2-5, 7.49)
  • Saturday: TBA vs Nestor Cortes (5-2, 5.16 ERA)
  • Sunday: TBA vs Carlos Rodon (1-4, 6.29 ERA)

Astros: Not Stopping Chas

The names of Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, and even Jeremy Pena come to mind when thinking about the best Astros hitters. Even key offseason acquisitions and former AL MVP Jose Abreu and Kyle Tucker are considered key pieces of the star-studded lineup. However, outfielder Chas McCormick might be the team’s most dangerous hitter right now.

McCormick is batting .389 over the five games and has eight home runs since the start of July, hitting a pair and driving in all three runs in a 3-2 win over Cleveland on Wednesday. Six of his last 10 hits have gone for extra bases.

Even with McCormick’s impressive numbers, five of the Astros’ last six road games finished under the MLB betting lines total.

Yankees: Judge Ready to Cut Loose?

Since coming off the injured list after missing nearly two months with a toe injury, reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge is batting .333 in five games. However, only one of his five hits has gone for extra bases.

Judge hit an AL record 62 home runs a season ago, two against the Astros. Will he be ready to start sending balls out of the park again?

When the Yankees faced Houston in the AL Championship Series, it was not the best four games of his MLB career, going 1-of-16 with four strikeouts. Perhaps he will have more luck this time around.

Judge is priced at -130 by the Las Vegas odds to go over 1½ total bases in the series opener, even though he is 0-for-7 in his career against Cristian Javier.

Astros vs Yankees Head-to-Head

The Astros have won five of the last seven games at Yankee Stadium.

Houston has won the last seven meetings with the Yankees, with four matchups finishing as one-run affairs.

Five of the last seven meetings finished under the MLB odds total.

In the seven regular-season games against the Yankees in 2022, Alex Bregman hit .375 with two doubles, two home runs, and eight RBIs. Yordan Alvarez hit .313 with two home runs and six RBIs. For the Yankees, DJ LeMathieu batted .300 with two home runs and a .462 on-base percentage.

Astros vs Yankees Series Information

  • Game: Astros (62-47, second in the AL West) vs Yankees (56-52, fifth in the AL East)
  • Day & Time: Thursday, 7:15 p.m. ET; Friday, 7:05 p.m. ET; Saturday, 1:05 p.m. ET, Sunday, 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
  • Astros vs Yankees Live stream: MLB.tv

Astros vs Yankees Series Betting Lines

Astros vs Yankees Series Picks and Prediction

With the Astros yet to name starting pitchers for Saturday and Sunday, the odds could shift in this series.

The Astros have 30 home runs, 11 more than the Yankees, since the MLB All-Star Game. The Yankees are striking out every 3.6 at-bats during that stretch, so the all-or-nothing approach at the plate has been an issue.

It is hard to know what to expect from Cortes on Saturday. He hasn’t pitched in the majors since late May and wasn’t throwing well when he was in the New York rotation.

The teams are 22 games over .500 when listed as the favorite and 33-34 as underdogs. The Astros have the second most road wins in the AL, with the Yankees 33-26 at home this season.

The Astros are 31-22 against the spread on the road, with the Yankees covering in just 28 of 59 games at home

Houston is 7-3 over the last 10 games, while New York has split its last five games. This feels like a series where each team gets a couple of wins.

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