Brewers vs Diamondbacks Series Prediction: Arizona Batting to Outlast Milwaukee Pitching

We’ve got an exciting three-game series coming up with the Arizona Diamondbacks hosting the Milwaukee Brewers. Hats off to both teams (figuratively speaking, since I’m not wearing one), as they’ve both had impressive runs and held strong positions in their divisions. Arizona is the betting favorite with -130 odds to win the series.

But enough with the compliments—we’re not here to pat anyone on the back. Let’s dive into the real deal: To break down the series between the Brewers and Diamondbacks and figure out who’s your “closer” for betting online. (Yep, I’m making that baseball pun on purpose—because, just like a good closer, the right bet can seal the deal.)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Series Betting Preview

Game 1: Pitching Matchup Starts Off Even

Kicking off the series, the pitching matchup might seem like a toss-up when you glance at the season stats for the Game 1 starters: Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt and Milwaukee’s Tobias Myers. Both right-handers are almost mirror images of each other in terms of home runs allowed and walks given up—Pfaadt has 20 homers and 36 walks, while Myers has 17 homers and 33 walks. But here’s where it gets interesting: recent performances might be the game-changer.

Pfaadt’s last outing against the Astros was a wild ride. The 25-year-old faced off against one of the league’s top offenses and, well, let’s just say it wasn’t his best performance. He gave up eight hits, one home run, two walks, and struck out only five in four innings. Ouch.

Brandon Pfaadt just gave up a 3 run Home Run. Time to Answer Back!!pic.twitter.com/b6B8ZRfQBT

— 🌵 Mr. Az (@MrAzSports) September 7, 2024

But don’t let that scare you off just yet—his start before that was a gem. He faced the Dodgers, pitched five innings, gave up eight hits and three runs, but also racked up 10 strikeouts. So, who knows which Brandon Pfaadt will show up?

On the other side, Myers might have five fewer starts this season, but he’s been making a statement. His last start against the Rockies was a showcase of dominance—six innings, four hits, one run, and a whopping 11 strikeouts.

The 11 strikeouts by Tobias Myers tonight was the most by a Brewers rookie since Freddy Peralta struck out 13 in his debut in 2018. Also against Colorado.pic.twitter.com/SL4U5hLYyG

— Hunter Baumgardt (@hunterbonair) September 8, 2024

Sure, the Rockies aren’t quite the offensive juggernaut that the Astros are, so you might argue he had an easier day at the office. But even in his second-to-last start against the Reds, Myers threw five innings, allowed eight hits and three runs, and still managed to collect seven strikeouts.

Game 1 should be an interesting one for MLB betting experts, which is reflected in the odds. Arizona is -106 and Milwaukee -104 in the series opener. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs, making it anyone’s guess who will come out on top. Pfaadt might have a better ERA, but Myers’ recent performances are hard to ignore.

Wings (cont)

Tobias Myers vs COL 7:10 PM ET
114 IP, 3.00 ER, 101 K
Rookie is dealing

Logan Gilbert vs Cardinals 7:15 PM ET
177.2 IP, 3.19 ERA, 181 K
Mariners battling back in the Wild Card

Bailey Ober vs Royals 7:15 PM ET
148 IP, 3.95 ERA, 155 K
AL Wild Card battle pic.twitter.com/wd7TtYiMpI

— Goody Sports (@Goody__Sports) September 7, 2024

Game 2: Pitching Bounce Back—Both Starters Get a Second Shot

Heading into Game 2 of this series, we’ve got a pitching showdown between two starters eager to bounce back from less-than-stellar performances. First up, the Milwaukee Brewers are sending out right-hander Freddy Peralta. Now, before we dive into Peralta’s recent struggles, remember the Brewers’ team ERA is a solid 3.59, ranking third in the MLB, and Peralta’s not far behind with a 3.81 ERA, placing him 36th in the league.

Brewers vs Cardinals
2:10 PM ET

Freddy Peralta
148.1 IP, 3.70 ERA, 172 K, 1.19 WHIP

Andre Pallante
92.2 IP, 3.80 ERA, 68 K, 1.32 WHIP#MLB pic.twitter.com/KTv7Io2LQy

— Goody Sports (@Goody__Sports) September 2, 2024

But let’s just say things haven’t been going his way lately. In his last start, unlike his impressive 2018 debut against Colorado where he racked up 13 strikeouts, he gave up seven hits, four runs, and three errors, managing only four strikeouts in four innings against a Rockies lineup that’s far from intimidating in the batter’s box.

On the flip side, Arizona is sending out left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez. If you’ve been reading my other articles on the Diamondbacks, you know I’m not thrilled about pitching inconsistent arms against top teams like the Astros, Dodgers, or, in this case, the Brewers.

But at least now we know why Arizona ranks 28th in the MLB with a dismal 1,127 strikeouts—because they keep starting pitchers who haven’t shown much improvement. Case in point: Rodriguez’s last outing against the Astros. He lasted just four innings, allowing seven hits, five runs, three walks, and managed only one strikeout. Minor league assignment, anyone?

We’ve been looking forward to this one.

Welcome back, E-Rod! 🙌 pic.twitter.com/opJNjtzy27

— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) August 7, 2024

Both pitchers are in desperate need of a bounce-back performance after their recent outings. But, if we’re being honest, things seem to tilt in favor of the Brewers when it comes to pitching choices on this one. At least we’ve seen Peralta perform at a higher level and know he’s capable of it, with far more experience on the season in comparison to Rodriguez.

Despite having 14 fewer starts, Rodriguez already has a higher ERA. But who knows, maybe the home field advantage will spark something in the southpaw, giving him a chance to turn things around and keep the Milwaukee batting lineup guessing.

As always, make sure to check the latest MLB news before placing your bets!

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Game 3: A Neck-and-Neck Pitching Duel

To wrap up the series, this pitching duel might be the most evenly matched yet, featuring two right-handers: Arizona’s Ryne Nelson and Milwaukee’s Aaron Civale. Both pitchers have similar records this season. Civale has given up 145 hits and has a 4.57 ERA, while Nelson has allowed 154 hits and has a 4.33 ERA. Civale has 136 strikeouts, and Nelson has 125. Get the picture?

But when you dig a little deeper, there’s nothing to separate them from their recent starts. Civale faced the Giants a few days ago and delivered a performance as thrilling as soggy toast—five innings, three hits, two runs, and only two strikeouts. Not exactly a showstopper, but he definitely held his own.

He is going to DOMINATE.

Aaron Civale Over 15.5 Pitching Outs

❤️ if tailing

Civale just pitched 7 SHUTOUT INNINGS vs the Giants two weeks ago and their lineup hits .118 against Civale all time

Which is why he’s over in 2/2 the last year and 8/10 right road starters are over… pic.twitter.com/5TTAlEO1OB

— Alex Caruso (@AlexCaruso) September 10, 2024

As for Nelson, his last outing against the Astros was less than stellar—four innings pitched, six hits, five runs, and just four strikeouts. While he has a slight edge in strikeouts vs Civale’s last time on the diamond, he allowed more hits. Ultimately, both pitchers’ recent performances were a bit underwhelming. Expect this game to be a bit of a toss-up when it comes to predicting who’ll showout on the mound for the final game of the series.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Series Betting Prediction

Bet on Arizona to Edge Out Milwaukee 2-1

Look, when analyzing the pitching matchups, it might have seemed like I was downplaying the Arizona Diamondbacks, but that’s not the case at all. It’s not like I chose their pitchers for this series; I’m just the guy who writes about it and provides you with the best MLB futures betting.

Having said that, Arizona will still come out on top in this one. The Brewers can definitely hold their own, but Arizona is one of the best batting teams in the league, sitting second in the entire MLB with 1,310 hits and leading with a commanding 764 RBIs on the year.

The Brewers may be among the league’s best in ERA and saves, but Arizona’s bats are just that much hotter and outweigh Milwaukee’s success and power on the mound. So, for my MLB prediction, I’m banking on the Diamondbacks to win this series 2-1.

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Question of the Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.