MLB Odds Shift Suggests Aaron Judge Is a Lock to Win AL MVP
- Aaron Judge’s AL MVP odds spiked to around -3000 last week and it sits at -4000 today
- He’s now hit 50+ home runs in three seasons
- Bobby Witt is the only guy who can even think of challenging Judge’s MVP run.
With so much baseball left to be played and several talented players in the American League, it’s unusual for a player to see his MLB betting line jump as much as Aaron Judge did last week.
Juan Soto, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton going back-to-back-to-back feels like a video we’ll be watching for a long time pic.twitter.com/zSktT9Me31
— Talkin’ Yanks (@TalkinYanks) August 25, 2024
Judge had been favored to win the award for most of the summer, but after a historic week at the plate, we regret to inform you that his AL MVP odds shifted so much that there is little betting value left. At least you can still enjoy the show that has been Judge’s post-April performance.
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A Historic Season and Super Short Odds
Aaron Judge’s 2024 season is one for the ages, and at this point, you’d have a better chance of seeing Bigfoot riding a unicorn than someone else winning the AL MVP. With MLB betting odds around -4000, Judge is practically a lock for the award, but even if the value isn’t there for betting, the sheer spectacle of his performance this year is worth every penny of your attention.
The Yankees’ captain smashed his 50th and 51st home runs on Sunday, marking the third time in his career that he’s reached the 50-homer milestone. To put that in perspective, the only other players in MLB history to hit 50 or more home runs in three or more seasons are Babe Ruth, Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa, and Alex Rodriguez. Not bad company, right? And what’s more, Judge is the first to do it in three of his first nine seasons, like hitting the trifecta in baseball immortality. He’s also the second to do it without any performance enhancements. The first if you consider beer, cigars, and hot dogs performance-enhancing.
May we interest you in all 50 Aaron Judge homers? 👀 pic.twitter.com/k9mZz9PgB2
— MLB (@MLB) August 25, 2024
But what really sets Judge apart isn’t just the number of home runs—it’s how he got there. After a sluggish start to the season, where he hit a pedestrian .200 with six home runs after 34 games, Judge turned into a human wrecking ball. Since then, in 95 games, he’s belted 45 homers and driven in 104 runs. His slash line during that period? An absurd .383/.512/.865 with a 1.377 OPS.
We’re talking about numbers that would make even video game players say, “That’s a bit much, don’t you think?”
Judge’s dominance extends beyond just the last few months. Over his past 100 games, he’s hitting .378 with 45 homers and 106 RBI—a feat so rare it’s never been done before in MLB history. That’s right, no one else has ever hit .375 or better with at least 45 homers and 100 RBI over a 100-game span. It’s almost as if Judge is playing in an entirely different league, one where the laws of physics are merely suggestions.
Aaron Judge is quite literally in a league of his own. Best player in baseball and it’s not even relatively close. pic.twitter.com/Vx2bV0xLq2
— Andrew (@AndrewwM_) August 25, 2024
Should You Bet on Bobby Witt Jr to Win MVP?
Now, let’s not completely dismiss Bobby Witt Jr., who’s having a phenomenal season in his own right. Witt is undoubtedly an MVP-caliber player with a .347 average and an 8.4 WAR. But Judge’s OPS+ of 230 is 55 points higher than Witt’s 175. That’s like comparing a jet to a paper airplane. Plus, the Royals are barely clinging to the final Wild Card spot, while Judge’s Yankees are firmly in the postseason picture. Unless Judge gets injured very soon the MVP award is his to lose. Even if he goes down, he’s done enough that Witt won’t just walk away with the MVP.
Bobby Witt fans getting multiple Aaron Judge HR notis a day pic.twitter.com/g06PkVDTjG
— Rambo 🏹 (@chesportsguy) August 25, 2024
So, while the MLB lines might not be enticing enough for a wager, sit back and enjoy the ride. Aaron Judge is putting together one of the greatest seasons in baseball history, and watching him do it is worth every moment.
Bet on Aaron Judge or Bobby Witt Jr to Win AL MVP
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Question of the Day
Who has the most MVP awards in MLB history?
Barry Bonds won seven MVP awards, including back-to-back wins in 1992 and ‘93 and every MVP from 2001-2004. He did have some help, but his talent at the plate was legendary before his “growth spurt.”
