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MLB Prediction and Odds 2025: Hit a Home Run With These 4 Bets

Welcome to 2025 — another year to watch baseballs disappear into the night sky and pitchers shake their heads in despair. The new season is creeping closer and as we defrost from winter, the big question looms: Who’s going yard the most this year?

From reigning home run champs to rising stars, we’re breaking down the top sluggers and the MLB odds of them turning fastballs into souvenirs.

MLB Odds 2025: Hit a Home Run With These 4 Bets
Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees / Sarah Stier / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via Afp

 

MLB 2025 Home Run Leader Odds

  • Aaron Judge +350
  • Shohei Ohtani +400
  • Kyle Schwarber +700
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. +1000
  • Pete Alonso +1000
  • Yordan Alvarez +1200
  • Juan Soto +1200
  • Kyle Tucker +1600
  • Gunnar Henderson +1800
  • Anthony Santander +2500
  • Brent Rooker +2500
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +3300
  • Bryce Harper +4000
  • Jose Ramirez +4000
  • Christian Walker +4000
  • Tyler O’Neil +5000
  • Teoscar Hernandez +5000
  • Rafael Devers +5000
  • Matt Olson +5000
  • Mark Vientos +5000
  • Marcell Ozuna +5000
  • Mike Trout +6600
  • Jake Burger +6600
  • Austin Riley +8000
  • Giancarlo Stanton +8000

 

4 Predictions to Lead MLB in Home Runs

1. Aaron Judge (+350): The Bronx Bombing King

Aaron Judge isn’t just a power hitter — he’s the power hitter. Coming off yet another monster season with the New York Yankees, Judge cranked 58 homers in 2024, proving that the guy doesn’t just hit baseballs – he obliterates them. The man could probably clear Yankee Stadium with a Wiffle bat. Sure, he’s 33, but when you’re built like a skyscraper and have forearms that could arm-wrestle a grizzly, age is just a number.

Health will always be the big “what if” with Judge, but when he’s on the field, he’s a menace. With Yankee Stadium’s short porch practically begging for moonshots, Judge is the safe online bet to lead MLB in bombs yet again. If you’re a pitcher, maybe skip the fastball this year. Or just walk him and save yourself the embarrassment.

 

2. Shohei Ohtani (+400): Baseball’s Unicorn

Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers is out here playing a different sport than the rest of us. Coming off a jaw-dropping 54-homer season in 2024, the man is rewriting what we thought was possible in baseball. Oh, and he casually stole 59 bases, per MLB stats. Who does that? Ohtani will continue to help make Los Angeles the most dangerous city for opposing pitchers.

Even with his less-than-perfect on the mend after elbow surgery, Ohtani’s bat alone is worth the price of admission. He’s got the swing, the swagger and the stats to lead the NL in homers for the second straight year in MLB picks. Whether it’s a 450-foot nuke or a laser into the gap, Shohei’s the unicorn we don’t deserve but desperately need.

 

3. Juan Soto (+1200): The Overhyped Pick

Juan Soto isn’t just a hitter, he’s an artist, and the strike zone is his canvas. After mashing a career-high 41 bombs for the Yankees in 2024, Soto is taking his talents across town to the New York Mets. Sure, Citi Field isn’t homer heaven, but Soto’s swing is special. The dude gets on base more often than most people check on the legality of TikTok, and when he connects, it’s fireworks.

The MLB news of his move to the NL East adds some intrigue, but Soto’s stats make him a risky pick to lead the league in long balls. He’s moving to a less hitter-friendly park across town, and he finished the year 17 home runs short of his former teammate Judge for the crown last year.

 

4. Gunnar Henderson (+1800): Dark Horse, Big Bat

You’ve been sleeping if Baltimore’s Gunnar Henderson isn’t on your betting radar yet. The Orioles’ rising star has the power, speed and “it” factor to crash this party. In 2024, he shared Baltimore’s home run crown with Anthony Santander before falling short. With Santander out of the picture, Gunnar’s ready to take the reins and put the league on notice.

Henderson isn’t just a one-trick pony, either. He can run and field, and he’s got that swagger that screams future MVP. At just 23, his ceiling is so high it might need FAA clearance. Want a sleeper pick to spice up your MLB predictions? Gunnar’s got the juice, and 2025 could be the year he breaks out in a big way.

 

Question of the Day

Who hit the most home runs in 2024?


Aaron Judge led MLB in long balls with 58. Ohtani was second with 54.

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