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MLB Today: Burnes, Gallen Tempting Prop Picks

Dodgers Chase 11th Win in Row, Series Sweep

The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to make things easy for those setting the MLB predictions as they extended their winning streak to 10 games in routine fashion against the Milwaukee Brewers. Los Angeles now leads the National League West Division by 10 games for the first time this season.

While there is little playoff talk surrounding the other Los Angeles team, American League Most Valuable Player front-runner Shohei Ohtani went deep for just the second time in the last 12 games to give him an American League-leading 42 home runs. Teammate Reid Detmers made some MLB news by taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning in a 2-0 win over the Texas Rangers.

MLB Today: Burnes, Gallen Tempting Prop Picks
Matt Thaiss #21 of the Los Angeles Angels and Reid Detmers #48 | Sam Hodde/Getty Images/AFP

Nine of the 15 teams favored by the MLB spreads on Wednesday came away with victories. The road teams are favored in four of the six games scheduled on Thursday.

According to MLB playoff odds, the Atlanta Braves (+325) have the best odds to win the World Series, followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers at +450 and the Houston Astros at +650.

Thursday’s Best Bets

Winning streaks can’t last forever. While the Los Angeles Dodgers have been impressive in ripping off 10 straight wins, there are reasons why the Milwaukee Brewers lead the National League Central Division and one of them is ace pitcher Corbin Burnes.

Burnes is coming off a shaky outing. Look for him to bounce back and roll with the +110 odds for Burnes to have at least seven strikeouts in a win by the Brewers on Thursday.

Speaking of elite pitchers, Arizona’s Zac Gallen is priced at +140 to go over 18½ outs. He has pitched into the seventh inning in seven of his last 11 starts and could do that versus the San Diego Padres on Thursday.

Paul Goldschmidt of the St. Louis Cardinals is 11-for-17 with three home runs in his career against New York Mets starter Jose Quintana so keep that in mind when seeing that the sportsbook set the odds at +450 for Goldschmidt to hit a home run in the series opener.

Spencer Torkelson of the Detroit Tigers has six home runs in the last seven games after hitting two HRs in Wednesday’s win over Minnesota.

He will be facing Cleveland’s Xzavion Curry, who has surrendered home runs in three of his last five games, so that makes the +230 odds for Torkelson to hit a home run rather tempting.

Cy Young Race Getting Interesting

Blake Snell, who is tied for second according to the MLB betting lines in the National League Cy Young Award odds, had another start worthy of a Cy Young candidate as he allowed three hits and two runs with five strikeouts in six innings to lead the San Diego Padres past the American League-leading Baltimore Orioles 5-2.

Snell is now 9-2 with an ERA of 1.29, 51 hits allowed and 118 strikeouts in 91 innings over his last 16 starts.

Clayton Kershaw, a three-time Cy Young Award winner, surrendered three hits and one run in five innings as the Los Angeles Dodgers extended their winning streak to 10 games with a 7-1 win over Milwaukee. Kershaw is still well back at +7500 in the NL Cy Young odds after missing more than a month with a shoulder issue.

AL Cy Young candidate Kevin Gausman had a more forgettable effort as he allowed five runs over 5⅓ innings in a loss to Philadelphia.

More contenders will take to the mound on Thursday.

NL Cy Young front-runner Zac Gallen leads the Arizona Diamondbacks against San Diego for the start of a four-game series. Gallen is 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA in three starts in August.

Corbin Burnes of the Milwaukee Brewers, the 2021 Cy Young Award winner, had allowed two runs or less in seven consecutive starts before surrendering five runs in his last start. He tries to help the Brewers avoid being swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers.

George Kirby of the Seattle Mariners is tied for fifth with +5000 odds in the AL Cy Young race. Kirby has given up two runs and struck out 19 in 21 innings over his last three starts.

Starting to Heat Up

New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso, who won the 2019 National League Rookie of the Year award after hitting 53 home runs, has 10 homers in his last 22 games after hitting that many out of the park in his previous 48 games.

Alonso is up to 36 home runs despite hitting a career-low .222.

The Mets are 5-2 in the last seven games when Alonso hits at least one home run and 4-13 in the last 17 contests when he is held without a home run.

Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez, last year’s American League Rookie of the Year, has at least two hits in seven of his last 12 games after recording his first four-hit game of the 2023 season.

Rodriguez was batting .204 on May 21 and he is now hitting .261 after going 19-for-50 over his last 11 games. He has seven runs, seven doubles, 15 RBIs and four stolen bases during that stretch.

Seattle is 8-3 over that span and the Mariners are just a game in back of Toronto for the final playoff spot in the American League.

Things Starting to Get Wild

The race for the final playoff spots should be fun to watch.

Not only are Seattle and Boston within one and three games, respectively, of Toronto for the final wild-card spot in the American League, but there are plenty of contenders in the NL playoff chase as well.

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants hold down the top two wild-card slots. The Chicago Cubs are currently holding down the final playoff berth thanks to Christopher Morel‘s walk-off home run on Wednesday to earn the Cubs a split of the two-game series with the Chicago White Sox.

The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins are tied in the standings thanks to having one more win and an additional loss than the Cubs. Arizona is only 1½ games back.

The Cubs and Reds have a four-game series in early September while the Cubs meet Arizona seven times in September.

Arizona and Cincinnati begin a four-game series next week and that is followed by the Reds playing San Francisco three times.

Miami doesn’t play any of the other teams mentioned above for the remainder of the regular season. However, the Marlins have 21 games left against teams currently holding down a playoff spot.

Coming Up Empty

Make it four shutout losses in the last seven games for the New York Yankees.

Three New York pitchers combined to hold the red-hot Atlanta Braves offense to three hits in Wednesday’s game against Atlanta. However, the Yankees managed just four singles and were 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position in the 2-0 loss.

The Yankees struck out 13 times, 10 coming in six innings against starter Charlie Morton, as the Yankees fell under .500 for the first time this season.

Injury Update

Here is a look at the injuries that could impact Thursday’s action.

New York Mets infielder Mark Vientos is questionable for the game with St. Louis with a wrist injury.

For the Cardinals, catcher Willson Contreras (hip), outfielder Lars Nootbaar (abdominal) as well as infielders Tommy Edman (calf) and Nolan Gorman (back) are questionable.

A hip injury has outfielder Lourdes Gurriel questionable for Arizona’s series opener against San Diego.

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