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Strider Heads MLB Picks to Win NL Cy Young

Blake Snell, last year’s National League Cy Young Award winner, recently inked a two-year, $62 million contract with the San Francisco Giants. However, sportsbooks view his prospects for a consecutive win in 2024 as dim. His odds shifted from +2200 to +1800, indicating skepticism regarding a repeat performance.

On the other hand, despite leading last season in strikeouts and wins, Atlanta Braves right-hander Spencer Strider surprisingly wasn’t a top-three finalist for the 2023 award. Yet, this year, Vegas odds seem more favorable towards him. He has matched records set by renowned pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Justin Verlander, delivering five scoreless starts during spring training.

Spencer Strider #99 of the Atlanta Braves / Rich Schultz / Getty Images North America / Getty Images Via Afp

With the 2024 NL Cy Young Award race heating up, let’s delve into the potential contenders and offer some daring predictions for the outcome. First, let’s review the latest MLB odds.

  • Spencer Strider +450
  • Zach Wheeler +800
  • Logan Webb +950
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto +1000
  • Zac Gallen +1200
  • Max Fried +1200
  • Tyler Glasnow +1400
  • Justin Steele +1800
  • Freddy Peralta +1800
  • Aaron Nola +2200
  • Sonny Gray +2500
  • Jesus Lazardo +3000



NL Cy Young Award Favorite: Spencer Strider +450

Despite Blake Snell winning the NL Cy Young honors in 2023, the baseball community’s latest MLB news and rumors essentially center around Strider, who has rapidly ascended to become one of the league’s premier pitchers.

Making a remarkable entrance in the 2022 season, Strider showcased extraordinary skills with a 2.67 ERA and a phenomenal 1.83 FIP, alongside an unprecedented strikeout rate of 38.3% against the batters he faced. Although his efficiency experienced a minor decline in 2023, he still led the major leagues with an astonishing 281 strikeouts and a K/9 rate of 13.5. He also posted the best FIP in the NL at 2.85, which propelled him to a fourth-place finish in the Cy Young race.

Despite this success, Strider faced challenges last season, particularly in maintaining performance levels during subsequent times through the batting order. However, with his powerful and intimidating fastball, if Strider can refine his strategy against batters in the second and third rounds, there’s a strong possibility he could outpace his peers and secure the Cy Young award in 2024. The potential for Strider to take this next step forward is a hot topic of discussion among fans and analysts as they await to see if he can adjust and elevate his game to new heights.

Explore the excitement of MLB Lines and MLB Spreads – your winning play awaits!


NL Cy Young Award Contender: Zach Wheeler +800

Even before the start of the regular season, Zack Wheeler of the Philadelphia Phillies is being touted as a likely candidate for the National League Cy Young Award, albeit somewhat prematurely. According to Vegas betting odds at BetUS Sportsbook, Wheeler is positioned as a preseason favorite. He secures the third spot among National League pitchers, trailing Strider and Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants.

This ranking reflects Wheeler’s impressive performance over the previous two years, culminating in a sixth-place finish in the 2023 Cy Young voting. Notably, his performance metrics have been exceptional: He ranked second in the NL for K/BB ratio at 5.44, third for WHIP at 1.08 and fourth in strikeouts with 212. Furthermore, Wheeler’s contributions were recognized as he led all major league pitchers with a FanGraphs WAR of 5.9, a metric that values FIP over ERA.

Since signing a significant five-year contract worth $115 million with the Phillies after the 2019 season, Wheeler has consistently demonstrated his value as the team’s ace. While he has yet to attain a Cy Young Award, his consistent performance, coupled with health and run support, might make this year the turning point. Phillies enthusiasts know the stability and skill Wheeler brings to the mound every fifth day.



NL Cy Young Award Dark Horse: Yoshinobu Yamamoto +1000

For those scoffing at the idea of Yamamoto winning the Cy Young, consider this: Before joining the Dodgers, he became one of Japan’s most dominant pitchers. The 5-foot-10 Yamamoto played for the Orix Buffaloes, a Nippon Professional Baseball league team. Last season, he won the Japanese pitching triple crown by leading the league in wins, strikeouts and ERA.

Now, I realize he’s been a disaster so far in spring training, but that should only move his odds further into the value zone as we inch closer to Opening Day. He also got crushed by the Padres in Korea, lasting just one inning and giving up five runs on four hits.

But I have faith in the guy’s ability to rebound. With his current Vegas betting odds at +1000, I will take a pass, but after his laughable “regular season” debut on Thursday, I expect the odds to improve regarding value. If they shift enough, I might sprinkle a half-unit on him.



Questions of the Day

Who is a longshot worth a bet online to win the NL Cy Young Award?

At +1400, Tyler Glasnow, now a member of the Los Angeles Dodgers, is a solid underdog bet to shine in LA and win the NL Cy Young Award in 2024.

Which contender is the riskiest bet to win the NL Cy Young?

With zero pitches thrown during the MLB regular season, Yoshinobu Yamamoto at +1000 is a very high-risk, high-reward bet online.

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