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2025 MLB Predictions: Diamondbacks Offer Best Betting Value in NL West

 

The National League West remains top-heavy, with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks positioned as clear-cut playoff teams. The San Diego Padres are on the bubble, but I don’t see them making the cut.

2025 MLB Predictions: Diamondbacks Offer Best Betting Value in NL West
Shohei Ohtani #17 of the Los Angeles Dodgers | Jeremy Chen/Getty Images/AFP

Instead, the Padres will make MLB news headlines by missing out on October ball. The San Francisco Giants could surprise, but their roster still looks too thin to make real noise while the Colorado Rockies … well, we know how that story ends.

With Dodgers (-10000) all but locked into the playoffs, Arizona (-125) presents the best MLB futures betting value in the division.

 

3 NL West Playoff Predictions

1. Los Angeles Dodgers -10000

The Dodgers are prohibitive favorites for a reason. They’ve added more firepower to an already-loaded roster and their pitching rotation is significantly stronger than what they took into last October.

Shohei Ohtani (who returns to the mound in 2025), Roki Sasaki, Tyler Glasnow and Blake Snell ensure that Dave Roberts will have more quality pitching than last season when the Dodgers still won 98 games despite missing half their starters.

Their offense? Borderline unfair. Mookie Betts, Ohtani and Freddie Freeman are all legitimate MVP candidates. Ohtani is an overwhelming favorite in NL MVP odds at +185. If that wasn’t enough, they kept Teoscar Hernández and added Hyeseong Kim, who should improve their infield defense and speed.

The only real concern is how quickly Japanese import Sasaki adapts to MLB hitters and whether Glasnow stays healthy for a full season. But even if one of those two underwhelms, this team still has enough depth to cruise past 100 wins and beat the MLB betting lines on who wins the division.

Prediction: The Dodgers win the division and likely end up with the best record in baseball.

 

2. Arizona Diamondbacks -125

Corbin Burnes signing with Arizona was the biggest shock of the offseason. The Diamondbacks went all-in after last year’s NLCS appearance and they quietly built one of the most complete rosters in baseball in the process.

With Burnes joining Zac Gallen, Merrill Kelly and Brandon Pfaadt, the top of Arizona’s rotation is elite. If Jordan Montgomery or Eduardo Rodríguez bounces back, they could challenge the Dodgers more than expected.

Offensively, they’ll need Corbin Carroll to rebound from a sophomore slump (his .919 OPS in the second half suggests he will). Meanwhile, Ketel Marte remains an MLB MVP odds-caliber talent, and Josh Naylor will help replace the power lost when Christian Walker left in free agency.

While not on the Dodgers’ level, but Arizona’s win total sits around 87.5 MLB games, and I see the Diamondbacks clearing that with a Wild Card berth locked up by mid-September.

Prediction: Arizona finishes second in NL West and secures a Wild Card spot.

 

3. Fade San Diego Padres +105

San Diego didn’t do enough this offseason. While watching the Dodgers and D-backs stack talent, the Padres lost key pieces like Ha-Seong Kim, Tanner Scott, and Jurickson Profar.

Their biggest issue? The rotation. Joe Musgrove is out, leaving Yu Darvish, Michael King and Dylan Cease as their top three. That’s fine, but it’s not enough to compete in this division.

Offensively, Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill are a solid core, but depth is an issue. With five key hitters already over 31, there’s a legitimate age regression risk.

At +105, the Padres have some value to make the playoffs, but I wouldn’t waste an MLB playoff prediction on them. There’s not much value (-135) on betting them to miss the playoffs either. There’s too much risk and not enough firepower to keep up with the best teams in the NL.

Prediction: Padres miss the playoffs.

 

San Francisco Giants (+230 to Make Playoffs)

The Giants are better than last year, but not by much. They added Willy Adames and Justin Verlander, and manager Bob Melvin will help stabilize the clubhouse.

But their ceiling is still .500. Unless Jung Hoo Lee turns into an All-Star immediately and their pitching overperforms, it’s hard to see them competing for a Wild Card spot.

Their odds at +230 make sense, but better longshot online bets exist.

Prediction: Giants finish near .500 but miss the playoffs.

 

Colorado Rockies (+3000 to Make Playoffs)

Let’s keep this simple. The Rockies will not make the playoffs. Their pitching is arguably the worst in baseball, and they haven’t finished above .500 since 2018, per MLB betting trends.

Even if their young hitters take a step forward, it won’t matter when the rotation gives up five-plus runs a game.

Prediction: Rockies finish last. Again.

 

Final Takeaway

The NL West is stacked at the top, but only two teams look like real playoff contenders.

  • Dodgers (-10000): Division winners, World Series favorites.
  • Diamondbacks (-125): Best value bet to make the playoffs.
  • Padres (+105): Too many holes, not enough depth.
  • Giants (+230): Mediocre roster, unlikely to make a run.
  • Rockies (+3000): Don’t even consider it.

 

The best bet here is Arizona at -125. If they stay healthy, the Diamondbacks should easily clear 85 wins and return to October baseball.

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

 

Questions of the Day

How many NL West teams made the playoffs in 2024?


Two, the Padres and Dodgers both made the playoffs in 2024.

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