3 Dodgers vs Mets NLCS Player Prop Picks: Bet Ohtani, Iglesias 10/16
- Below are the three best MLB bets tonight for the Dodgers vs Mets in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series.
- Glance at the career numbers for Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts when facing Mets starter Luis Severino.
- Lean on a lesser name on the New York side.
- Take a last look at the MLB news pages before making your wagers.
After nailing two of three picks in the Guardians-Yankees affair on Tuesday night, we shift our attention to the senior circuit and another big game in the Big Apple. Citi Field will be rocking as the Mets welcome the Dodgers for a pivotal Game 3 of the National League Championship Series. After crunching some numbers, here are a few quality MLB picks you can take to the BetUS Sportsbook.
3 MLB Picks to Bet in NLCS Game 3
1. Oh-Fer For Ohtani? Bet on Shohei to Steal a Base and Get Some Runs
Not likely. But in one of the more remarkable statistical trends we’ve ever seen, Ohtani is now 0-for-19 with 10 strikeouts with nobody on base this postseason and 6-for-8 with a homer and three walks with runners on. Going back to the regular season, he’s riding a remarkable 16-for-19 with runners in scoring position.
Both trends will have some correction at some point. That first one – the 0-for-19 stat – could be altered in this one, as Ohtani has absolutely owned Luis Severino in their somewhat limited matchups. The Dodgers slugger has a home run, a double, a single and two walks in eight career plate appearances against Severino, part of a 1.792 OPS.
Of course, one of the reasons Ohtani is so good with runners on is because nobody wants to work around him to face Mookie Betts. That will be the case on Wednesday as Betts has also owned Severino, hitting .324 with a homer and six walks in a larger sample size.
This all sets up really well for Ohtani to do damage in either spot. He’s also a great candidate to record his first career postseason stolen base. Severino has allowed three steals in these playoffs – more than any other NL starter – and closer Edwin Diaz has allowed an MLB-high five.
Perhaps putting a pair of Shohei wagers on the same MLB betting ticket will be a winning parlay.
Bet on Ohtani to Have at Least One Stolen Base and at Least Two Runs + RBI (+326)
2. A Sneakt Bet, Go With Jose Iglesias to Get a Hit
If any Jose Iglesias numbers come up among the MLB playoff odds for this game, pounce on them. The veteran infielder hit .400 in 37 home games this season with three of his four home runs and his only stadium concert coming in Queens. He’s hit safely in 10 of his last 12 playoff games (drawing a walk in one of the other two). And he’s a career .400 hitter against Walker Buehler.
Wild sports story
Mets were 11 games under .500 on June 2nd. 16-4 since
Jose Iglesias joined on May 31st, more than a full year removed from playing in the bigs. He’s hitting .406 in June
After the game he’s singing his own song “OMG” … AND IT’S GOOD
pic.twitter.com/ZiqaugxxbD— Jim Costa (@JimCosta_) June 29, 2024
That gives Iglesias plenty of numbers to work with as he sits as a sneaky good option for some damage.
Bet on Jose Iglesias to Have at Least One Hit (No Odds)
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3. Run Around, Bet on Mets vs Dodgers Over
Seven of the Mets nine playoff games so far have finished with at least eight runs between the teams. For the Dodgers, it’s six of seven games with at least eight runs. Just by that logic alone, taking the over at 7½ runs (-115) makes a lot of sense. Throw in the fact that the pitching matchup leaves a little to be desired, and you have the recipe for an easy MLB bet.
Buehler gave up six runs in five innings with ZERO strikeouts at San Diego in Game 3 of the NLDS, a start that ended with a dugout tirade. Including that outing, he has a 5.71 ERA in 17 starts this year as his comeback from Tommy John continues to fall flat.
Walker Buehler visibly frustrated in the Dodgers dugout. pic.twitter.com/0HnEcIWH7a
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) October 9, 2024
As for Severino, he carries a 5.01 ERA in his postseason career into this one. He’s posted a pair of quality starts in these playoffs but has also allowed at least three runs in five straight outings dating back to the regular season.
Bet on Mets vs Dodgers Over 7½ Runs (-112)
Questions Of The Day
How often does a team win a best-of-seven after taking a 2-1 series lead?
The team that wins tonight has a roughly 70% chance of winning the series.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
