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Alcantara Could Make Marlins Good Bet vs Tampa Bay

The Miami Marlins will be the favorite in our MLB lines when they host the red-hot Tampa Bay Rays for the opener of a two-game interleague set on Tuesday.

The Marlins have dropped out of National League wild-card position while losing eight of their last 11 games, but are giving 1 ½ runs in the MLB spreads because Sandy Alcantara will be on the mound and they are 38-29 at home.

Alcantara Could Make Marlins Good Bet vs Tampa Bay

The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner boasts three complete games this season, including a victory on July 26 at Tampa Bay when the right-hander allowed one run on five hits. Two of the Rays’ top hitters – Randy Arozarena and Yandy Diaz – are a combined 2-for-17 versus Alcantara.

Tampa Bay is difficult to bet against, though. The Rays have won six of their past seven contests and are 8-1 in the last nine versus the Marlins after last month’s split.

The Rays are +450 to win the American League pennant and Miami is +5000 to win the NL crown.

Rays Have Been Good Moneyline Bet

Tampa Bay has won 11 of its last 15 games after a 7-4 victory over the last-place New York Yankees on Sunday.

The Rays, who have been one of the top offensive teams in the league all season, have also paid off bettors at the sportsbook seven times in their past nine contests.

Brandon Lowe had a big series against the Yankees, going 6-for-12 with a homer and five RBIs, and Tampa Bay could get Diaz back Tuesday. Diaz is batting .359 in August with 11 multi-hit games but has missed the last two games (sore left forearm).

The Rays are +250 to overtake Baltimore in the AL East and +1000 to win the World Series in the Las Vegas MLB odds.

Odds Against Miami for Postseason

The Marlins are just 13-26 since the All-Star break and fell 2½ games back of an NL wild-card spot with just over a month to go.

But the 2-1 victory over Washington on Sunday and Alcantara taking the mound on Tuesday could get them in gear. Jorge Soler belted his team-best 35th homer and pushed his team-leading total to 71 RBIs with three in the series against the Nationals.

“A good win for us that we needed badly,” Miami infielder Luis Arraez told reporters. “It’s been a tough second half for us. Everybody wants to win. We just need to continue playing hard.”

Arraez, the majors’ leading hitter (.350), can raise his level in the final month. Arraez has not had a multi-hit game since Aug. 13 and was back in the leadoff spot Sunday.

Miami is +375 to make the playoffs and -550 to miss the postseason.

Starting Pitchers

Aaron Civale (6-3, 2.59 ERA) vs Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 4.16)

Aaron Civale struggled in his first start but was better in the last three as the Rays paid off on the moneyline in each. The 28-year-old, acquired from Cleveland at the trade deadline, allowed five runs across 16 innings in his past three starts with one win. Civale, who has never faced Miami, boasts a 1.86 ERA on the road in 2023.

Sandy Alcantara is in the midst of his best month, going 2-2 with a 3.03 ERA over five starts. The 27-year-old Dominican has been better at home (3.61 ERA) than on the road (4.61) and is 4-3 with a 2.69 mark in interleague play this season. Alcantara is 2-2 with a 2.90 in five career outings versus Tampa Bay.

Best Bets for Rays vs Marlins

You can make a case for the over with the way the Rays produce runs, but the under is 7-1 in the last eight Miami games. Alcantara and Civale have the ability to keep the score down in this one and give the Marlins a slight edge for a two-run win.

Best Bet: Miami -1½ (+175) and Under 7 ½

Best Prop Bet for Rays vs Marlins

If you’re looking for a strong prop bet, expect Arraez to capitalize on his spot at the top of the batting order by going over 1½ total bases in the series opener.

For those looking for a better return, the odds for a two-run victory by Miami at +700 are pretty good.

Best MLB Prop: Luis Arraez Over 1½ Total Bases (Ev)

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