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Picks, Prediction for Astros vs Blue Jays on Tuesday, June 6
Houston Rolls to Game One Win
The Houston Astros (36-24) got off to a fast start on Monday, totaling seven hits and six runs in the first inning. The Toronto Blue Jays (33-28) pulled starting pitcher Alek Manoah in the first, but it was too late with a six-run deficit. The Astros coasted to an 11-4 win, covering their fifth consecutive game against MLB spreads. How will the Blue Jays respond after their four-game winning streak was snapped? The sportsbook has tabbed Toronto as the favorite for the second consecutive game.
Highest Run Count
Monday’s 11-run outburst was Houston’s highest total since a 12-run outing on May 22 against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Astros are averaging six runs over the last 10 games. This is a notable improvement compared to their season average of 4.63 runs per game (12th). This hot streak is leading to more bettors eyeing Houston’s futures. According to MLB lines, the Astros are (-160) to win the American League West and tied for the shortest odds to win the World Series (+600).
Gausman Looks to Steady Bullpen
Manoah’s nightmare season continued on Monday. This was his shortest outing yet, pitching under one inning. Fortunately, Toronto’s ace Kevin Gausman will be on the bump for game two. Before Monday’s game, the Blue Jays were allowing only 1.7 runs over a seven-game stretch. They rank sixth in opponent batting average and allowed hits per game. Toronto’s bullpen should have a much better outing. The game’s projected total sits at 7½, compared to Monday’s total of 10.
Starting Pitchers
Hunter Brown (5-2, 3.61 ERA) vs. Kevin Gausman (4-3, 2.76)
Hunter Brown has moved to a full-time starting role after coming out of the bullpen last season. He has pitched well with a 3.61 ERA, 1.235 WHIP and 3.7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. However, Brown comes off his worst start of the season with five allowed runs in about four innings of work. He continues to stack strikeouts with an 8.8 average in the last four games. Taking the over for Brown’s strikeouts is a favorable MLB prediction.
Hunter Brown’s 2 1st Inning Ks. pic.twitter.com/QtPtz4OTny
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2023
Kevin Gausman seems on track for his second All-Star appearance. His 2.76 ERA would be a career-high for his 11-year career. Gausman has also totaled double-digit strikeouts in five of his 12 starts, but the Astros rank sixth in strikeouts per game. Tuesday’s outing could be a low K game for Gausman. In addition, he is averaging one allowed earned run in his last five starts, making the under an intriguing sport bet.
Astros vs Blue Jays Head-to-Head
The Astros are 5-5 in the last 10 meetings, winning three of the last four by an average margin of seven runs. Toronto is 1-1 in Gausman’s last two starts against Houston.
Astros vs Blue Jays Game Information
- Game: Astros (36-24) vs Blue Jays (33-28)
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Day/Time: Tuesday, June 6, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Astros vs Blue Jays Live stream: MLB.tv
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Astros vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
Over/Under Pick
After losing four consecutive games with Gausman on the mound, the Blue Jays have won back-to-back games with the one-time All-Star starting. Opponents are also averaging only one run in Gausman’s last two appearances. The Astros are hitting well but scored only one run on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels. Gausman will keep Houston under wraps.
Pick: Houston Astros Under 3½ (-115)
Moneyline Pick
When held to under four runs, Houston has lost four consecutive games. Brown also comes off an underwhelming start. Toronto ranks second in batting average and hits per game. Brown could have another tough out. Take the MLB odds’ favorite.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (-125)
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