Best MLB Player Props 7/26: Fire Up Freddy Peralta & Fade Freeland Friday
- The MLB schedule returns in a big way to begin the weekend, offering many enticing betting choices for Friday night, promising an evening filled with excitement and potential wins.
- MLB player props are an exhilarating way to join the action. We’re focusing on two strikeout props and explaining why you should trust the Giants lineup.
- Check out today’s MLB odds, pitchers, and best player prop bets.
As we gear up for another thrilling schedule of MLB games today, kicking off an action-packed weekend, I’m thrilled to share my consistently profitable picks. I’m determined to bring you more winners with a 118-95 record following a 2-0 mini-sweep last night; I’m aiming for a huge Friday with our best MLB bets today.
After yesterday’s small schedule of games, we’re supplied with an outstanding Friday night schedule to kick off our weekend. With many options for MLB player props today, I’ve meticulously and comprehensively narrowed down the best bets for you, ensuring you’re well-informed and prepared for the games.
Best 3 MLB Player Props 7/26/24
1. Cardinals Sonny Gray SP Over 5½ Strikeouts (-143)
I’m firing on a strikeout prop with our first MLB pick tonight. The Cardinals return home for the first time since the All-Star break and will host the Washington Nationals. The Cardinals will send 34-year-old righty Sonny Gray to the bump.
Gray is in his 12th big league season. He finished as the runner-up for AL Cy Young in 2023 and, in his first year in St. Louis, is off to a terrific start in 2024. He has pitched his way into the top 10 in NL Cy Young odds and was one of the biggest All-Star snubs this season.
Sonny Gray, Knee Buckling Sweeper. 🦵 pic.twitter.com/LEZyPC1CSC
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 21, 2024
Gray has been a significant reason behind the Cardinals‘ climb back into the NL Central standings. He has thrown the ball exceptionally well, posting a 10-6 record with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. Gray has a 106 Pitching+ and a 108 Stuff+ this season, inside the top 15 in MLB among qualified starting pitchers. He is in the 71st percentile in WHIFF% and 92nd in K%. Gray has exceeded five strikeouts in 15 of his 18 starts!
He’s posted career-high marks in xERA and K-BB% with St. Louis. Since his disastrous season with the Yankees in 2018, he has finished above the league average in K/BB ratio. He will face a Nats lineup that was just no-hit yesterday by Dylan Cease! The Nats aren’t a team to attack with strikeouts, but Gray finished with six Ks against them on July 5 on the road.
HISTORY!
The final out from Dylan Cease’s no-hitter. pic.twitter.com/FwZsNoTS6S
— MLB (@MLB) July 25, 2024
Washington has the eighth-lowest K % this season, but I trust Gray to stay on track at home. He has been lights out at Busch Stadium with a 2.14 home ERA compared to 5.29 on the road in 2024. I’m riding Gray with confidence at BetUS Sportsbook.
2. Brewers SP Freddy Peralta 7+ Strikeouts (-182)
The Milwaukee Brewers will send their ace, Freddy Peralta, to the rubber Friday night when they battle the Miami Marlins. I’ve always been a massive fan of Peralta and love his pitch arsenal. The Brewers may not have wanted to trade away Corbin Burnes in the offseason, but knowing they had Peralta in the stable made things easier for them. Freddy is 6-5 this season with a 3.88 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP.
Peralta has exceeded this line in 12 of 20 starts and 6 of 9 at home. He has been great against the Marlins’ projected lineup, holding them to a .206 batting average. The Fish have the 12th-highest K % this season and the third-highest in the last month. Miami is sixth in Whiff %. Freddy is in the 91st percentile in both Whiff and K percentages! Fire up Freddy with confidence!
Freddy Peralta’s 7th and 8th Ks. pic.twitter.com/I7dcJSgV6j
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 30, 2024
3. Rockies SP Kyle Freeland 6+ Hits Allowed (-143)
The Rockies will send 31-year-old Kyle Freeland to the rubber on Friday night. Colorado is out of contention already, and they will be one of the sellers at the trade deadline. The Rockies own the third-worst record in the entire league (38-65), behind only the White Sox (27-78) and the Marlins (37-66).
Meanwhile, the Giants are on the outside looking in on the NL Wild Card race and NL West standings, but they are clearly the better squad. San Fran has dealt with a litany of injuries that have thrown its season off course, but it is still battling with a veteran group. They have struggled this month, but a date with Freeland could be just what they need to get the offense clicking.
The Giants are tied with the fifth-best wRC+ against left-handers this season. They are tied with the sixth-highest batting average against lefties (.260). San Fransisco is much better at home, with just a .232 batting average on the road compared to .253 at home.
They faced Freeland in his previous outing, and he posted his second-best stat line of the season, pitching 6 innings and allowing just 5 hits. However, I expect the Giants to climb over that five-hit line at home. The left-hander has finished with at least six hits allowed in seven of his nine starts this season. Freeland has allowed more than five hits in four of his last seven starts against the Giants. He is in the 6th percentile in xBA and 20th in xERA!
It’s been a nightmare season for the Rockies, and we can trust the Giants to continue to battle for a Wild Card spot. Freeland’s numbers are glaringly bad. He was in the 6th percentile in xBA dating back to the start of last season—fade Freeland and watch him allow at least six hits. Include him in your MLB player prop bets tonight.
Questions Of The Day
What is the best MLB player prop pick tonight?
I like Colorado starting pitcher Kyle Freeland to go over the 5½ hits allowed betting line against the Giants.
Which MLB player is projected to record the most strikeouts tonight?
Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta is projected to record the most strikeouts on Friday night when he starts against the Miami Marlins.
