Best MLB Player Props 7/22: Greene, Houck Top Prop Picks
- Our MLB player props have consistently delivered wins daily, boasting a 111-93 record this season.
- Today, we’re setting our sights on Hunter Greene and Tanner Houck.
- See the MLB odds, pitchers and best player prop bets today at the BetUS Sportsbook.
As we begin the week, we have an exciting schedule of MLB games on Monday night. The All-Star break is behind us and the trade deadline is approaching quickly. I’m ready for blockbuster trades to disrupt the league landscape and cause chaos in the wild-card races. Last month, our MLB picks went 37-18, and as we roll through July and the second half of the season, our overall record stands at 111-93 after splitting our picks on Friday. I’m eager to continue our success the rest of the way, and I’m sure you are too.

I have meticulously analyzed the options for MLB player prop bets today. My thorough analysis, based on specific criteria, ensures you have all the information you need for an exciting day of MLB action, making you feel well-informed and ready to make your bets.
Best MLB Player Prop Today
1. Reds SP Hunter Greene Over 6½ Strikeouts (-126)
Now pitching for the 2024 National League All-Stars: Hunter Greene. ⭐️ pic.twitter.com/M4ureH3L0h
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) July 17, 2024
I’m firing on a strikeout prop with our first MLB pick tonight. I tried to fade the Braves on Friday against Sonny Gray, but we got rained out. He came out on Saturday and punched out 10 Atlanta hitters. The Reds will come to town to begin the week and send their All-Star ace, Hunter Greene, to the mound.
Greene has posted solid numbers in his third big league season. He has done much better keeping opposing hitters in the park but has lost some of his K/9 juice. Still, his 10.28 K/9 is among the league leaders. Greene’s biggest bugaboo has been walks, but he shouldn’t struggle with that tonight because the Braves have a 7.5 BB%–tied with the fifth-lowest in the league.
The Reds are last in the NL Central standings but only four games back in the crazy NL wild-card race. How they perform this next week will likely decide if they buy or sell at next week’s trade deadline.
Greene is tied with Dylan Cease for the best Stuff+ figure in the league at 124. He is in the 83rd percentile in WHIFF% and 82nd in K%. He had two strong starts before the break, striking out 7 against the Tigers and 10 against the Rockies.
Hunter Greene, K’ing the Side in the 2nd.
Starts the game with 6 Consecutive Ks. pic.twitter.com/l4eI65keBk
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 11, 2024
Atlanta will march out a veteran lineup but has struggled to hit for average since losing Acuna Jr. They have the fourth-worst batting average in the league (.230) since Acuna Jr. went down. That’s ahead of only the Mariners (.211), White Sox (.225), and the Angels (.226). The Braves are below the league average in K % at seventh but have the fifth-highest K% since losing Acuna Jr.
The Braves have the fourth-highest Whiff %. I’m riding Greene with confidence at BetUS Sportsbook.
2. Red Sox SP Tanner Houck Over 5½ Strikeouts (-130)
Run it back! We trust Houck in his final start before the break against the Oakland Athletics, and I’m going right back to him in his first start after the break against the reeling Colorado Rockies. Tonight, Tanner Houck will pitch in Coors Field, which is never easy, but I believe he will climb to at least six strikeouts.
Tanner Houck, Filthy 83mph Slider. 😷
6th K pic.twitter.com/j7Gi5qJK0O
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 12, 2024
The 28-year-old right-hander is having the best season of his career. Houck is 8-6 with a 2.54 ERA (4th best in MLB) and a 1.03 WHIP. He has a 109 Stuff+ and a 107 Pitching+, ranking among the best in the bigs. Houck is even in contention in AL Cy Young odds.
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He has exceeded this line in 10 of 18 outings so far. His 8.62 K/9 is among the top 30 in the league. His pitch arsenal is headlined by his outstanding slider, which he throws 42% of the time. This is key because Colorado will run out at least six bats with a K% above 30% against sliders – Michael Toglia 41.4%, Sam Hilliard 40%, Brendan Rodgers 37.9%, Jake Cave 36.6%, Sean Bouchard 36%, Ezequiel Tovar 35.2%, and Jacob Stallings 31%, just to name a few.
The Rockies are much better at home, as you would expect in the high altitude of Coors Field, but they just struck out 12 times against Giants right-hander Hayden Birdsong yesterday! The Rockies have had the second-most strikeouts in MLB over the previous 30 days. Colorado is tied with Oakland with the second-highest K % and has the highest Whiff %. I expect Houck to fan at least six tonight.
Bet On Tanner Houck Over 5½ Strikeouts (-130)
Tanner Houck, 83mph Slider and 89mph Splitter, Overlay.
If anyone asks you why Houck is so tough… pic.twitter.com/aIwCihAYzI
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 7, 2024
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
What is the best MLB player prop bet today?
I like Red Sox starting pitcher Tanner Houck to finish with over five strikeouts against the Rockies.
Which is the best MLB team on the run line this season?
The Kansas City Royals are the most profitable teams on the run line, going 57-43.