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Cleveland Indians vs Los Angeles Angels: Total Runs Pick, May 18th

The Los Angeles Angels host the Cleveland Indians for the second of their three-game series. The Angels won Monday’s game 7-4 but it came at a serious cost as Mike Trout exited the game in the first inning. Both teams are not in the best of shape and the Indians have lost four in a row as their offense continues to struggle. Even without Trout, the Angels have a plethora of sluggers that can drive in runs, but is it enough to get over the 7½ runs in the MLB betting odds

Game: Cleveland Indians (21-18) at Los Angeles Angels (18-22)

Relief pitcher Raisel Iglesias of the Los Angeles Angels celebrates with catcher Kurt Suzuki
Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images/AFP

Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim

Time: 9:38 p.m. ET

Betting Lines

Team Total Odds
Cleveland Indians 7½  -105o
Los Angeles Angels 7½  -115u

 

Indians Pitching

The Indians’ pitching staff is one of the best in baseball, but they are more than just Shane Bieber. Zach Plesac will start for Cleveland on Tuesday and he is coming off an absolute gem against the Seattle Mariners last Thursday. Plesac threw eight innings and allowed two runs on two hits. He was not overpowering and only had two strikeouts, so he is not afraid to pitch to contact. It was in 2019, but the only other time Plesac has pitched against the Angels, he threw a complete-game shutout in Anaheim, maybe. It may be a sign of things to come, especially with Trout out of the lineup.

Angels Offense

Trout exited Monday’s game in the first inning after suffering a strained right calf. Manager Joe Madden said Trout will undergo further evaluation, including an MRI exam, so Los Angeles will know more on Tuesday. It would be safe to say that Trout will not be playing in Tuesday’s game, but the Angels still have Shohei Otani, who leads baseball with 13 home runs, and Jared Walsh (.990 OPS). Even without Trout, the Angels are not lacking in the power department. 

Angels Pitching

Starting for the Angels is Andrew Heaney, who has struggled, a common theme for Los Angeles pitchers. Heaney has a 1-3 record with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 36 IP. The lefty has been good at limiting the hits but has struggled with not giving up the longball, already giving up seven home runs this season. Can Cleveland put more on his tally? 

Indians Offense

The two big boppers for the Indians are Jose Ramirez and Franmil Reyes. Ramirez has been hitting for power and getting on base, leading the team in home runs with 11 and batting average at .262. Ramirez also had 23 RBIs, but the top run producer goes to Reyes with 26 RBIs. Cleveland has been leaning heavily on its pitching and it is showing. The Indians are on a four-game losing streak and constantly in low-scoring affairs. They have the second-worst team batting average at .209 and are  dead last in on-base percentage with .283. The Indians want to slow the game down and make it a pitchers’ duel, because they have shown that putting up crooked numbers is a struggle for them. 

Weather

Per usual, the weather will not be a factor in Southern California. Temperature at first pitch is 68 degrees. 

Line Moves

The line opened up at 8½ with the over having even odds. Now that the Trout injury is well known, along with the offensive struggles of the Indians, it is no surprise that the total moved down a whole run overnight. 

Pick

The injury to Trout really hurts one’s confidence in total runs hitting the over. Not only does it affect the production coming from the Angels but Cleveland’s offense is not going to make up the difference. On the bright side, the Angles have the worst pitching staff in baseball, so if there is a time for the Indians to get things right at the plate, it is this game and in this series. Still, it feels unlikely. With the Trout injury and the lackluster Indians offense, head to the MLB sportsbook and take the under with us. 

Pick: Under 7½ runs

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