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Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers: Total Runs Pick

The Detroit Tigers are playing host to the Cleveland Indians in the second of a four-game series. Game one ended with Cleveland edging out a 6-5 victory. In the American League Central, both teams are looking up at the Chicago White Sox. The Indians trail Chicago by 1½ games with a 25-20 record and the Tigers sit in a tie for fourth place at 18-29. Monday’s game cleared the over, but what about Tuesday? Let’s take a look at both teams and make a bet on the MLB run totals.

Game: Cleveland Indians (25-20) at Detroit Tigers (18-29)

Location: Comerica Park

Rene Rivera of the Cleveland Indians hits an RBI-single against the Detroit Tigers
Duane Burleson/Getty Images/AFP

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Betting Lines

Team Total Odds
Cleveland Indians Over 9 -105
Detroit Tigers Under 9 -115

Indians Pitching

Cleveland will have the clear pitching advantage on Tuesday. We have seen this matchup twice this season, with Aaron Civale coming out on top both times. The Cleveland righty threw at least seven innings in both starts and limited the Tigers to three runs on April 4 and one run on April 10. Civale has a 6-1 record with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP, so he has been good all year, not just against the Tigers.

Tigers Offense

Detroit’s lineup has been regarded as one of the worst in the majors, but recently they have stepped up their game and they could carry their weight when it comes to covering the total. Detroit’s .229 team batting average is better than the Indians’ .214 average. The average shows that the Tigers have picked things up, but they still have the lowest total in the American League, with 168 runs scored.

The Tigers do not have a single player that is carrying the offense, which could be a reason why they do not rank highly in team totals. Jeimer Candelario leads the team with a .281 batting average and 48 hits, Robbie Grossman leads Detroit with 21 RBIs and a .384 OBP while Wilson Ramos has the most home runs with six.

Tigers Pitching

Tarik Skubal is on the mound for Detroit. He has already faced the Indians twice and it truly was a story of two different starts. On April 4, Skubal threw 5.1 innings and limited the Indians to four hits and two runs, but on April 10 the Detroit lefty only lasted four innings and gave up six runs on five hits. The April 4 start was at Comerica Park, so maybe this is the outing to put more stock in. Overall, Skubal’s numbers are not great with a 1-6 record and a 5.45 ERA. He is susceptible to giving up runs, but the question is, how many?

Indians Offense

The Cleveland offense has not been that great this season, but it has been helped by its stellar pitching. When they face Detroit, the Indians bats seem to come alive. In the April 4 and April 10 games, Cleveland scored a combined 20 runs, even with a solid start from Skubal. In Monday’s game, they won 6-5 and that was good enough to cover.

Franmil Reyes and Jose Ramirez have been the two offensive weapons for Cleveland. Reyes leads the team with a .257 batting average and 29 RBIs. Ramirez can get on base and hit for power with his team-best 12 home runs, .344 OBP, and 41 hits. If Cleveland is going to score runs in this game, one or both, of these players needs to have some key hits and drive in runs.


It is going to be hot in Detroit with temperatures in the mid-80s and partly cloudy by first pitch. No sign that the tarp will be brought out in this one.

Line Moves

The line in this game has been pretty steady at nine runs, with the vigorish moving slightly toward the under.


These teams have played plenty of times this season and we have a lot of history to work with. Both of the totals went over when these two pitchers squared off in early April. The Indians are not playing their best ball but they were able to get the win on Monday, and the Tigers have stepped it up in the last week. We expect this one to be similar to the other games at the start of the season, so in the MLB sportsbook we are going to take over nine runs.

Pick: Over 9 Runs

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