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Diamondbacks Betting Picks to Sink Yankees on 4/1

The New York Yankees have gotten off to a hot start, getting a four-game sweep in the season’s opening series. However, the National Leagues representative in the 2023 World Series, the Arizona Diamondbacks, went 3-1 in their opening series, making MLB predictions interesting for Monday’s interleague matchup.

In the opening series, the Yankees made three decent comebacks against the Houston Astros, none bigger than Juan Soto’s go-ahead single in the bottom of the ninth that completed the sweep with a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks got an easier opponent, completing the series win over the Colorado Rockies with a 5-1 victory.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks to Sink Yankees on 4/1
Diamondbacks Betting Picks to Sink Yankees on 4/1


Yankees vs Diamondbacks Game Information

  • Game: Yankees (4-0) vs. Diamondbacks (1-3)
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • Day/Time: Monday, April 1, 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Yankees vs Diamondbacks Live Stream: MLB.tv


Neither of the starting pitchers has started this season, which could affect MLB lines. For the Yankees, Luis Gil will be taking the mound. He missed all of last season with an injury and only got the start due to the team’s lack of depth as a starting pitcher. Ryne Nelson gets the nod for the Diamondbacks, having started 27 games in 2023 with an 8-8 record and a 5.31 ERA.


Yankees vs Diamondbacks Odds and Spreads


  • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Nelson’s last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Nelson’s last 4 starts a home underdog of +110 to +150.
  • Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
  • Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
  • Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
  • Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.


Yankees vs Diamondbacks Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+108)

Despite the Yankees sweeping the Astros, it is also important to note that they were behind in the fifth inning or later in three of the four games. That might shift some MLB odds because the Yankees played from behind throughout that entire series.

While that could be a good experience for the future, the Yankees relied on a bullpen that pitched 15.1 innings and allowed no runs. That bullpen might be under a tougher situation in this opening game against the Diamondbacks. Gil had not pitched in a major league game since his one start in 2022, when he allowed four runs in four innings. The bullpen could be called on early on Monday.

On top of that, the Diamondbacks have gotten off to their own hot start in 2024. They have scored the third-most runs this season (38), but the two teams in front of them have played six games while the Diamondbacks have only played four.


This Diamondbacks have picked up right where they left off, which led to their incredible run through the playoffs and making it to Game 7 of the World Series a year ago. That all started in the opening game, easily beating the Rockies by putting up 16 runs, 14 coming in the third inning. While it was against the Rockies, not a team predicted to do well in 2024, putting up those offensive numbers is still something for MLB betting to pay attention to.

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Yankees vs Diamondbacks Over/Under Pick: Over 10 -110

With two starting pitchers on the mound that could be considered question marks, it makes sense for MLB picks to back the over in this game. Gil struggled in his last appearance, which was also in 2022. Nelson was solid last season but still had a 5.31 ERA.

Furthermore, the Diamondbacks’ offense has found something in the early parts of the season. They have started as one of the hottest lineups in the league, hitting the over in three of their four games. However, the Yankees have yet to hit the over, partly due to solid pitching, against the Astros. Against Nelson, the star hitters for the Yankees should be able to have some success.


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Player Prop Pick: Aaron Judge Home Runs 1+ (+150)

Through the opening four games, Aaron Judge has struggled with a .125 batting average and just two hits. New York’s team’s top player has been Soto, but this feels like a game in which Judge will get back on track. He will be facing a pitcher who struggled last season in Nelson, who gave up a team-high 24 home runs. Given his power, this feels like the game in which Judge gets his first home run.



Yankees vs Diamondbacks Score Prediction

Diamondbacks 8, Yankees 6



Questions Of The Day


When was the last time that the Yankees started 4-0?

This is the first time the Yankees have started a season 4-0 since 2003, when they went 101-61 and lost in the World Series to the Florida Marlins.

Does the Diamondbacks facing a bad team at the start of the season affect betting lines?

Because the Diamondbacks started the season against the Rockies, a team few expect much from, that could be why the Yankees are favored in this matchup.

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