Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, MLB Prop Bets and Parlay Picks for Wednesday, 5/21

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- Dodgers -135 are the moneyline pick vs Arizona
- Include under 9 runs (+100) in Diamondbacks vs Dodgers picks
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction and Best Bets Today, May 21
My prediction
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Moneyline Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (-135)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost four of their last five in the MLB betting market, and three came against Shohei Ohtani’s old team. They’ve seen Arizona starter Corbin Burnes recently and should make adjustments. The Dodgers rank in the top three in total bases and OPS. Their MLB same game parlay value jumps when paired with props like Freddie Freeman or Ohtani to hit safely. Arizona’s bullpen hasn’t held leads well, and with Burnes walking 22 batters already, L.A. should capitalize.
Bet on Los Angeles Dodgers (-135)
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Over/Under Pick: Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Under 9 (Ev)
Corbin Burnes has a 2.56 ERA and tends to keep the ball in the yard. Dustin May’s 4.43 ERA is inflated, but his 1.28 WHIP suggests he’s not getting crushed. My MLB props today reflect this with both pitchers projected for at least 5 IP. I’m fading the bats just enough for this one to stay under.
Bet on Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Under 9 (Ev)
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My Best Prop Bet
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Player prop pick: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Freeman is hitting .371 with a .671 SLG — one of the best lines in the majors. He’s cleared 1.5 total bases in five of his last seven games and draws a righty in Burnes, who’s allowed a .267 average to lefties. He’s scorching at home and the MLB expert picks today market will be all over him. You can confidently anchor a parlay with this leg as one of my MLB best bets today.
Bet on Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Since Mark Derosa is stirring up the Freddie talk again. Here is how Matt Olson has done since Freddie left.
Yep, the into 1b that has been better than Olson in MLB has been Freeman. That’s it.
Let’s stop pretending like it’s this huge drop-off. pic.twitter.com/opMmeM6fFf
— Sam Peebles (@SPeeblesSports) May 19, 2025
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Game prop pick: Team to Score First – Dodgers (+107)
Dustin May’s splits are better early in games, and the Dodgers have scored first in three of their last four home contests. Arizona, meanwhile, ranks 16th in first-inning runs per game. I like the value here with May at home and Freeman/Ohtani leading off the first. MLB expert picks and parlays often overlook this market, but it’s a sharp play at plus money.
Bet on Dodgers to Score First (+107)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Same Game Parlay Picks Today, May 21
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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers How to Watch
- Game: Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
- Date/Time: Wednesday, May 21, 2025 – 10:10 PM ET
- Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Live Stream: MLB.tv
Get the latest Diamondbacks vs Dodgers betting trends here.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers MLB FAQs
What is the best bet for Diamondbacks vs Dodgers?
The Dodgers’ moneyline at -135 is the best value. Combine that with a Freeman prop for added parlay juice.
Are there any hidden gem MLB best bets today?
Yes, the Dodgers will score first at +107 MLB odds, and under 9 are two value spots worth jumping on.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.