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Don’t Falter: Fade Starting Pitchers in Friday MLB Player Props

After Thursday’s small slate of games, we have a beautiful schedule of MLB games on tap for Friday. The season is still young, and there is plenty to learn about each team. However, my consistently profitable MLB picks are back to deliver more winners.

Friday’s MLB schedule has 15 matchups, including some marquee showdowns. The Texas Rangers continue their road trip and will take on the Minnesota Twins. The most anticipated series of the weekend is between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres as Juan Soto returns to San Diego for the first time since being traded to the Bronx Bombers in the offseason. With many options for MLB player props today, I’ve meticulously and comprehensively narrowed down the best bets for you.

Don’t Falter: Fade Starting Pitchers in Friday MLB Player Props
Bailey Falter #26 | Quinn Harris/Getty Images/AFP

Here’s a look at some MLB odds to consider!

Best MLB Player Props Today

Pirates SP Bailey Falter Over 5½ Hits Allowed (-126)

This is a ton of juice to be sipping on for a hits-allowed prop, but I’m highly confident this will be cash for us tonight. Pittsburgh will send southpaw Bailey Falter to the bump in their series opener against the Atlanta Braves. Falter has a 3.53 ERA through his first nine starts and has thrown well. He has allowed six hits in two of his previous four starts.

The Pirates are coming off a tough series with the Giants, where their bullpen was heavily utilized. They will be looking to get length out of Falter, which leaves him vulnerable to more batters faced. Falter has made three starts against Atlanta (once last season) with the Pirates, where he allowed four earned runs on eight hits in just four innings. Before that, he started against Atlanta as a member of the Phillies, allowing six earned runs on 10 hits in 3.2 innings!

The Braves have some of the most dangerous hitters in MLB against lefties this season, including Marcell Ozuna (.357, 3 HRs, 42 ABs vs. LHP), Ozzie Albies (.351, 2 HRs, 37 ABs vs. LHP) and Travis D’Arnaud (.385, 4 HRs, 26 ABs vs. LHP). Atlanta owns the seventh-best batting average (.250) and OPS (.730) in baseball.

Not much has changed for this Braves lineup since last season. Atlanta also had the highest batting average and OPS versus left-handed pitchers in 2023. Atlanta has reached double-digit hits in eight of its previous nine meetings with Pittsburgh! Bank on the Braves bats to put up runs early.

Explore the excitement of MLB lines and MLB spreads – your winning play awaits!


Marlins SP Braxton Garrett Over 2½ Earned Runs (-136)

Sticking with our left-handed pitcher theme, we’re fading Marlins starting pitcher Braxton Garrett in his third start of the season. The 26-year-old southpaw has made two starts and has been hit hard in each.

He allowed six runs on seven hits in 4.1 innings in his last outing against the Mets, and in his season debut, he allowed five earned runs on five hits in 5.1 innings. He will face the dangerous and red-hot Arizona Diamondbacks lineup tonight. He made one start at Chase Field last season, allowing four runs on seven hits.

The defending National League champs made a statement this week, taking two of three games against the Los Angeles Dodgers. They continued their ownership over the current World Series favorites, equivalent to Caitlin Clark’s ownership of everyone’s heads across the WNBA!

Kidding aside, the D-Backs have the highest batting average against southpaws this season at .292. They have the second-highest slugging percentage vs lefties. There isn’t a team I trust more against left-handed pitchers right now than the Diamondbacks.



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Athletics SP Ross Stripling Over 6½ Hits Allowed

The Oakland Athletics are coming off a series win against the lowly Colorado Rockies, but they must take on the surging Houston Astros this weekend. The Astros had a worse record than Oakland up until a few days ago; however, they still own one of the most talented lineups in MLB.

Oakland will send veteran righty Ross Stripling to the rubber in tonight’s series opener. Stripling has made 10 starts this season and allowed more than six hits in five of them. He owns a 5.19 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his 10th MLB season.

Stripling is coming off of another poor outing where he pitched five innings and allowed nine hits. Before that, he threw well against this Houston team two weeks ago, allowing just four hits in five innings of work. His last time pitching at home, he went just 1.2 innings and allowed 11 runs on 10 hits against the Rangers.

Houston has the highest overall batting average in MLB (.264). The Astros have been raking over the last two weeks, hitting an MLB-best .282 as a team at home, and they have the most hits overall. Stripling has allowed an opponent batting average of .317. Fade Stripling against the scorching hot ‘Stros.





Questions of the Day

What is the best MLB player prop pick for Friday night?

I like Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Bailey Falter to go over the 5½ hits allowed betting line.

Which MLB player is projected to record the most strikeouts on Friday night?

Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler is projected to record the most strikeouts on Friday night when he starts against the Washington Nationals.

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