F5 Moneyline Pick: Smart Money on Diamondbacks vs Guardians 8/5
- The Diamondbacks rank second in the MLB in runs per game
- The Diamondbacks are averaging 7.7 runs in their last 10 games
- Cleveland’s Logan Allen has struggled with a 5.46 ERA and 5.54 xERA
- Check the latest MLB odds for the best F5 lines!
Get ready to cash in on the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians matchup on Monday. With Zac Gallen’s solid pitching, Arizona’s offensive firepower and Logan Allen’s struggles on the mound, MLB betting on the Diamondbacks to lead after the first five innings is smart. This bet offers excellent value, and you should confidently take Arizona on the F5 moneyline.
My Best Picks for First Five Innings 8/5
Zac Gallen, starting for the Diamondbacks, is putting together an impressive season. He boasts a 3.56 ERA and 3.37 FIP, indicating strong underlying metrics. Gallen’s ability to combine a 47% ground-ball rate with an above-average barrel rate means he effectively limits hard contact.
This pitch by Zac Gallen made absolutely no sense 🤯 pic.twitter.com/IZsN5zjc14
— Baseball’s Greatest Moments (@BBGreatMoments) July 28, 2024
On the other hand, Logan Allen of the Guardians has struggled significantly, sporting a 5.67 ERA and a 5.54 xERA. Allen’s inability to avoid hard hits and his tendency to hang his curveball make him a liability, especially against a potent Diamondbacks lineup.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks have a clear edge. They rank seventh in wRC+ and sixth in wOBA this season, and they excel against left-handed pitchers, ranking seventh and third in these categories, respectively. In contrast, while productive, the Guardians rank 30th in hard-hit rate, 29th in barrel rate and 28th in exit velocity, indicating a lack of power in their lineup.
Arizona has been on fire lately, averaging 7.7 runs over its last 10 games. This offensive surge and the ability to hit well against left-handed pitching make the Diamondbacks a formidable opponent for Allen.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks have consistently performed well in the first five innings, hitting the F5 Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games and covering the F5 Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games.
I am getting pretty worried about the Guards’ rotation. They need Boyd and Cobb to both get healthy AND be good. I’m already pretty upset I have to watch another Logan Allen start tomorrow.
— Ethan Moses (@mynamesmoses) August 4, 2024
Gallen’s solid performance on the mound, paired with Allen’s struggles and the Diamondbacks’ strong offensive metrics against lefties, creates a favorable scenario for Arizona to lead after five innings. While the Guardians have a strong bullpen, Arizona’s focus on the early innings mitigates the late-game risk and adds value to this BetUS MLB pick.
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Best F5 Pick: Diamondbacks ML -145
Given these factors, betting on the Diamondbacks to be ahead after the first five innings at -140 odds is a sound strategy. Gallen’s reliable pitching and the Diamondbacks’ explosive offense, especially against a vulnerable Allen, make this bet online promising.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Question of the Day
Who has the best bullpen in baseball?
The Guardians’ bullpen has the lowest ERA in the league at 2.60
