F5 Pick 8/7: Phillies Value Bet to Strike Early vs Dodgers
- Dodgers righty Gavin Stone has allowed at least four runs in four of his last five starts
- Phillies hitters have a .410 average and .439 OBP against Stone
- The Phillies beat LA on the F5 ML on Wednesday
- Check the latest MLB odds for the best F5 lines!
The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers, the two best teams in the National League, face off in the rubber match of their three-game series on Wednesday night in Los Angeles. Philly beat LA 6-2 on Tuesday night, cashing both full-game bets and first-five-inning wagers with a 1-0 lead heading into the sixth.
With the MLB odds set at +121 at BetUS for the Phillies to beat the Dodgers on the First Five Innings (F5) moneyline, there’s a compelling case to back Philadelphia in this crucial game.
Best Picks for First Five Innings 8/7
Tyler Phillips and Gavin Stone, two young pitchers, will be taking the mound. Despite his promising start to the season, Stone has struggled recently for the Dodgers, allowing at least four runs in four of his last five starts, which has increased his ERA from 3.03 to 3.63. This provides a golden opportunity for the Phillies’ offense to capitalize early in the game.
Tyler Phillips, Dirty 82mph Curveball. ⚒️ pic.twitter.com/J9oiSGCUXT
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 21, 2024
The Phillies have a formidable offense and won’t let Stone off with a warning tonight. They rank fifth in the league with a .256 batting average and a .327 OBP. Key players like Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been in excellent form. Bohm is on an eight-game hitting streak and hitting .298 on the season. Harper has hit 25 home runs, placing him sixth in the league, and Schwarber is on a six-game hitting streak.
Phillies hitters have a strong track record against Stone, hitting .410 with a .439 on-base percentage in 39 career at-bats. Every Philly who has faced Stone has a hit against him, and seven out of nine have RBIs.
Phillies are now 3-7 since rumors surfaced that Alec Bohm is dating analyst Erin Dolan pic.twitter.com/iF7revVCiC
— Talkin’ 215 (@Talkin215) July 28, 2024
Additionally, the Phillies have excelled in the First Five Innings (F5) bets:
- F5 Moneyline: 60 wins in their last 98 games (+19.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- F5 Run Line: 60 covers in their last 96 games (+17.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- F5 Team Total Over: 57 hits in their last 95 games (+11.70 Units / 10% ROI)
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Best F5 Pick: Phillies F5 ML +121
While the Dodgers have a powerful offense and are closing in on the top spot in the NL, their current gap is partly due to inconsistent pitching from their young starters like Stone. In addition, the Dodgers are only hitting the Over 48-52% of the time, indicating a propensity for low-scoring stretches, particularly early in games.
With the Phillies’ recent success in F5 bets, combined with Stone’s struggles and the Phillies’ robust offense, this bet online aligns perfectly with both historical data and current form
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
Question Of The Day
What team has the best average in baseball?
The San Diego Padres team is hitting a combined .265 this season which ranks them atop the MLB.
