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Houston Rides Pitching To Series Win Over Toronto

After a horrible opening series to the season for the Houston Astros, they close out their second with the third game against the Toronto Blue Jays. Here’s a free MLB pick that the Astros will win the game and the series.

The Astros took out their frustrations on the Blue Jays in the opening game, winning 10-0 as Ronel Blanco threw a no-hitter. In the second game, the Blue Jays got their revenge. The game was a pitcher’s duel until Davis Schneider’s two-run homer in the ninth gave the Blue Jays a 2-1 win.

Houston Rides Pitching To Series Win Over Toronto
Houston Rides Pitching To Series Win Over Toronto


Blue Jays vs Astros Game Information

  • Game: Toronto Blue Jays (3-3) at Houston Astros (1-5)
  • Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston
  • Date/Time: April 3, 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Blue Jays vs Astros Live Stream: MLB.tv


The starting pitchers in this matchup had opposite performances in their first outing of the season, which could affect the best MLB bet today. Toronto’s Chris Bassitt pitched five innings in his first outing, giving up five runs, four of which were earned, and a home run. However, he did strike out six.

On the other hand, Cristian Javier will start on the mound for the Astros. Despite the Astros losing in his first appearance of 2024, Javier pitched six scoreless innings with six strikeouts, allowing five baserunners through four hits and a walk.


Blue Jays vs Astros Odds and Spreads


  • The Astros are 7-1 in Javier’s last eight starts with four days of rest.
  • The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last five when their opponent scores two runs or fewer in their previous game.
  • The under is 3-0-1 in Javier’s last four starts after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game.
  • The Blue Jays are 6-0 in Bassitt’s last six starts during the third game of a series.
  • The over is 5-0 in Bassitt’s last five starts as an underdog.
  • The Blue Jays are 6-1 in Bassitt’s last seven starts when their opponent scores two or fewer runs in their previous game.
  • The over is 5-0 in Bassitt’s last five starts as a road underdog.
  • The Astros are 1-10 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.


Blue Jays vs Astros Moneyline Pick: Astros -140

Based on the starting pitcher’s last appearance, it makes sense why MLB lines are siding with the Astros in this series finale. Javier pitched great in his first appearance of the season, shutting out the Yankees through six, but the Astros’ bullpen gave up six runs. There is a good chance he will have a similar performance against the Blue Jays.

Bassitt’s last outing was a little more complicated. Four runs came off a grand slam, while the fifth was a runner that got on base because of an error. None of that is an excuse for a poor start, but it could be part of why this matchup hits the under for MLB picks.

But to stay focused on the moneyline, Bassitt struggled enough for an Astros’ offense trying to put the previous series behind them to succeed. That was noticeable in the first game of the series, in which the Astros scored 10 runs, compared to 11 against the Yankees through four games.



The Astros’ lineup immediately struggled in the second game, only scoring a run, but the pitching was solid, holding the Blue Jays scoreless through the opening 17 innings of this series. On offense, there is some hope with Jose Altuve having hit a home run in two of the previous three games.


Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under Pick: Under 8½

The starting pitchers are the key to why this game should be an under for MLB betting. Javier looked great in his first start, only throwing 90 pitches. There is a good chance that Javier will get a longer leash in this game, especially if he pitches like he did in the last outing. Bassitt is a solid pitcher but ran into trouble in two innings in his previous start.

In addition, the Blue Jays’ offense has been erratic, scoring eight or more runs in two of their first six games and two or fewer in the other four. The Astros have also only hit the over once this season, in the opening win of this series.



Blue Jays vs Astros Player Prop Pick: Cristian Javier 5+ Strikeouts

The Astros’ starting pitching has been successful in the first two games against the Blue Jays. Blanco dominated the opening game by pitching a no-hitter with seven strikeouts, and Framber Valdez struck out five in his 7⅔ innings in the second game. Javier had six strikeouts in his first appearance this season, and given what the Astros starters have done against the Blue Jays, he should be able to keep that going.



Blue Jays vs Astros Score Prediction

Astros 4, Blue Jays 2



Questions Of The Day


How deep is each pitcher going to go in this game?

Cristian Javier only pitched 90 pitches in six innings in his last outing, but if he keeps throwing the ball well, he should have more room to stay in the game. Chris Bassitt wasn’t great in his first appearance, but it was his first outing, so he may settle into this game.

When do the Blue Jays play their home opener?

The Blue Jays play their home opener on April 8 versus the Seattle Mariners.


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