Marlins vs Mets Prediction, Preview, Stream, Odds & Picks, Sept. 27
New York Holding Slim Lead in NL East
Mets One Game Up in Division
The Miami Marlins have long been eliminated from the postseason and look to play spoiler when they open a two-game series against the New York Mets on Tuesday.
New York enters the series with a one-game lead over the Atlanta Braves atop the National League East.
Bolstered by one of the better bullpens in the league, the Mets have won eight out of their last 10 games coming into this date with Miami.
Are they the obvious choice versus the MLB betting odds or is there value with the Marlins for those who bet online?
Let’s check the latest MLB odds, stats, injury reports and MLB lines for the Marlins vs Mets. We’ve plenty of Vegas MLB odds for you to consider.
Marlins Rolling With Lopez
The Mets could be in line for a good outing not just because they’re the better squad here but because of who is on the mound for the Marlins.
Pablo Lopez gets the start with a 9-10 record and 3.88 ERA. However, he’s been unable to help push the Miami Marlins to success lately. In the last 10 games that he’s appeared, Miami has only been able to win two of those outings.
Lopez got a start against the Mets two weeks ago, pitching 3.2 innings and allowing 10 hits and eight runs during a crushing 11-3 loss. It’s definitely clear that the Marlins can’t afford to see another performance like that from him against the Mets.
The question is, what will change? The Mets bat .360 against him as a team along with a .969 OPS. Francisco Lindor is at .360 lifetime against Lopez while Jeff McNeil is at .500. This could spell trouble.
Carrasco Starting for Mets
Carlos Carrasco is set to be starting for New York Mets in this game. Carrasco has been great this season, pitching to the seventh-best record in the league by a pitcher at 15-6. He also sports a solid 3.79 ERA.
He recently pitched against the Marlins during their 11-3 win, lasting six innings and allowing one run during that span.
Pitching at Citi Field has treated Carrasco well in 2022. He’s 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA when in front of his own fans against a 6-4 record and a 4.57 ERA when playing on the road. This points to another edge for the Mets on the MLB odds.
Marlins vs Mets Head-to-Head
The Mets are dominating the season series, winning 12 of 17 matchups.
Marlins vs Mets Game Information
- Game: Marlins (63-90) vs Mets (97-57)
- Location: Citi Field, Flushing, NY
- Day/Time: Tuesday, Sept. 27, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Marlins vs Mets Live stream: MLB.tv
Marlins vs Mets Betting Lines
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total | Team Total |
| Miami Marlins
P. Lopez -R |
+1½ -125 | +180 | 7 -115o | 2½ -120o
2½ -110u |
| New York Mets
C. Carrasco -R |
-1½ +105 | -210 | 7 -105u | 3½ -135o
3½ +105u |
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
The Marlins aren’t expected to win this game, which isn’t much of a surprise. They’re a big underdog in the sportsbook. The last time these two squads met, the Mets blasted them away.
On top of that, Lopez will be starting for the Marlins after allowing eight runs in a little over three innings in the previous contest. The only question here is do you want to lay this type of juice?
If you’re not so inclined to do so, then bet the over in this one as we should see plenty of runs with Lopez on the bump. Otherwise, laying the runline with the Mets might also make sense.
