Mets Trying to Hold Off Braves in NL East
Pitching matchups don’t get much better than the one set in Monday’s series opener with Max Scherzer expected to get the ball for the Mets and Corbin Burnes scheduled to start for the host Brewers.
Scherzer has spent some time on the injured list but his return could be coming at the perfect time as the Mets lead the defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves by a game in the National League East standings.
There was a time when Milwaukee was running neck and neck with the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL Central. However, Milwaukee is eight games out of first place and if the playoffs started today, the Brewers wouldn’t be one of the wild card teams. They are two games behind.
The Mets (+550) trail only the Los Angeles Dodgers among National League teams in the odds to win the World Series. The Brewers are well back at +8000.
Mets Dialing Long Distance
Things are getting interesting in the Mets’ quest to win the division title. While starting pitching is the calling card for the team, over the last week the New York hitters have gotten into the act.
The New York Mets have 10 home runs over the last seven games. Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, Tomas Nido, and Eduardo Escobar have each hit a pair of homers during that stretch. That power being shown by the Mets hitters has overcome some inconsistency at the plate as the Mets are hitting .246 during that stretch of games.
Alonso has RBIs in six straight games. However, those games are against the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates. It could be much more challenging facing Burnes on Monday. The Mets finished off a four-game sweep of Pittsburgh with a 7-3 win on Sunday.
Off to Milwaukee with a W! ✈️ pic.twitter.com/oIGJMSC7ji
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 18, 2022
The MLB betting lines total has gone over in five of the last six road games for the Mets.
Adames Heating Up for the Brewers
When the Milwaukee Brewers traded for infielder Willy Adames during the 2021 season, he was a revelation with 26 doubles, 20 home runs, and a .285 batting average in 99 games with Milwaukee. This year has been more of a struggle for Adames.
The good news for the Brewers is he is trending in the right direction. Over his last five games, Adames is 10-for-22 with three home runs, three doubles, and 11 RBIs.
The Brewers need all the help they can get with the bats as the Brewers are batting .235 as a team since the All-Star Game. Over the last seven days, only Adames and Christian Yelich are hitting better than .300. The Brewers scored eight runs on Sunday, but gave up 12 in a loss to the Yankees.
The Las Vegas odds total has gone over in four of Milwaukee’s last six games.
Mets vs Brewers Head-to-Head
Milwaukee has won five of the last seven games against the Mets
After a stretch of five consecutive games that were decided by either one or two runs, five of the last seven matchups were decided by at least four runs.
The Mets won the most recent meeting 5-4 in June.
The Brewers have just one home run against the Mets this season and it came off the bat of Yelich. Jeff McNeil is batting .400 against Milwaukee in 2022.
Mets vs Brewers Game Information
- Game: Mets 93-55 (first in the NL East) vs Brewers 78-68 (second in the NL Central);
- Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee
- Day/Time: Monday Sept. 19, 7:40 p.m. ET
- Mets vs Brewers Live Stream: MLB.tv
Take a Look at Other Analysis, Picks & Predictions for Mets Games
- Mets vs Brewers Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks, Sept. 20
- Pirates vs Mets Predictions Game Preview, Odds, Stream, Picks, Sep 17
Mets vs Brewers Betting Lines
|New York Mets
M. Scherzer -R
|-1½ +170||+102||6½ -110o||3½ Evo
C. Burnes -R
|+1½ -200||-112||6½ -110u||3½ +110o
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
Burnes is one of the top pitchers in baseball when he is on. He has been struggling recently with a 5.25 ERA over his last six starts. While Scherzer is a bulldog, he hasn’t pitched since Sept. 3 and could need to shake some rust off. Could the hitters get the better of the two former Cy Young Award winners?
There is little margin for error for either team with the pennant races in full swing. The Mets will be making the postseason but they want to do so as division champions while the Brewers need to start stringing wins together to have a chance to reach the playoffs.
Three of the last four games between the teams had at least eight runs. The total is at seven and that has to do with who is set to start. With how Milwaukee has been playing, it is hard to pick them even if the Brewers are playing at home.
“The odds and predictions in the article are based on time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.”