All Is Fair in Love and War
Saturday has finally arrived, and while some await Sunday football, you must first focus on a great day of baseball. The New York Mets are up against their NL East foes of the South, the Miami Marlins in game two of a three-game series.
Are the Mets slowing, or are the Atlanta Braves heating up? It is a little of both, as the Mets sit at 87-52, a half-game back of Atlanta. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and are in jeopardy of potentially being a 100-win team that does not win its division. This game has huge implications on the MLB playoff odds.
All eyes for the Marlins point to 2023, as they have one of the worst records this season at 57-80. They are the coldest team in the NL and the only team with fewer than three wins in their last 10 outings. Sure, they will not be making the playoffs, but they have the ability to spoil the hopes of the Mets and send them to the Wild Card
Big Apple, Bigger Bats
Every single game matters at this point in the season. The New York Mets have 23 games left and they cannot afford to lose another game in a series against a 57-win team, let alone potentially lose the series. New York has to tune into the sounds of the trumpet and get back on track.
Carlos Carrasco takes the mound for the Mets. The 35-year-old veteran is 13-6 with a 3.91 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and has 126 strikeouts through 129.0 IP. His ERA rises to 4.76 on the road, where opponents hit .279 against him.
The RHP last pitched against the Miami Marlins on June 30 where he threw 7.2 scoreless frames with seven strikeouts. The MLB free picks like Carrasco, but he is coming off a loss against the Washington Nationals.
Typically being the favorites in the odds, New York is also great at covering the spread. They are 75-64 against the spread in 2022, including 40-29 on the road. Look out, as they have only covered in two of their last six outings.
Welcome to the Pablo Lopez Show
Objectively stating, the Miami Marlins are not a good team. That is, when their two-headed monsters on the mound of Sandy Alcantara or Pablo Lopez are not pitching. The good news for Miami bettors is that Lopez is on the mound, and the MLB lines will reflect that.
The 26-year-old from Cabimas, Venezuela is 8-9 with a 3.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 149 strikeouts through 150.0 IP. Opponents hit .234 against the RHP, but he is not pitching as well as he did in the first half of the season.
Miami has only won one game out of their last seven when Lopez steps on the mound. He has allowed 12 runs against the Mets in two starts this season. Lopez is looking to change that narrative tonight.
Covering the spread is a lot easier as the underdog, but the Marlins still struggle at 64-73. LoanDepot Park has not been too friendly to them either, as they are 23-42 against the spread at home.
Mets vs Marlins Head-to-Head
Tonight will be the 16th matchup between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins. Even after losing last night 6-3, the Mets hold a 10-5 record against their fish friends in Miami.
When betting online, you have to pay attention to the season series between these two teams.
Mets vs Marlins Game Information
- Game: Mets (87-52) vs Marlins (57-80)
- Location: LoanDepot Park
- Day/Time: Saturday Sept. 10, 6:10 p.m. ET
- Mets vs Marlins Live Stream: MLB TV
Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines
|Mets||1½ +105||-157||7 -110o||4½ +115o / 4½ -145u|
|Marlins||+1½ -125||+142||7 -110u||3½ +125o / 3½ -155u|
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
The New York Mets are the favorites on the road against the Miami Marlins tonight. Looking at our sportsbook, you may be surprised that they are not favored by more.
Miami has some enticing odds against the spread tonight. With the over/under low at 7.5, it should be a pitcher’s duel, and that will help this bet. Take Miami +1.5 (-125) over the Mets.
We should have a close game on our hands, and with Pablo Lopez on the mound, the Marlins may not win, but he will pitch well and keep it close. Confidently go with the Marlins spread, even if the odds bounce around prior to first pitch.