Returning, Rerouting and Rematch
The New York Mets and Washington Nationals take the field for the second of a three-game District series Tuesday night. It’s the return of Mets’ ace Jacob deGrom and the rerouting (to the San Diego Padres) of Nationals’ slugger Juan Soto. How’s that for deadline-day headlines?
Mets’ “Cy” of Relief
The New York Mets have largely outperformed their preseason odds, 65-37 through the first 102 games and with a 3½-game lead over the second-place Atlanta Braves. What’s been more impressively is they’ve managed to control the NL East all year without Jacob deGrom, who’s missed the entire season due to a stress fracture in his scapula (shoulder blade).
New York, which has won seven games in a row, boasts one of the top offense in the bigs. Led by MLB RBI leader Pete Alonso and former All-Stars Francisco Lindor and Starling Marte, it is ranking fifth in both runs and batting average. On the mound, deGrom is rejoining a pitching staff that sits fifth in ERA and WHIP.
Before being shut down last July, righthander deGrom had been the best pitcher in baseball. The two-time Cy Young winner had an unreal 1.08 ERA and 0.55 WHIP, 146 strikeouts in 92 innings in 2021.
It’s the First Day of Rest of Nats’ Lives
Juan Soto is (reportedly) on the move. As of this writing, both the All-Star outfielder and first baseman Josh Bell-essentially the entire Nationals’ offense-were off to San Diego in what figures to lead to a seismic shift in postseason odds. However, the Washington Nationals see it as the dawn of a new era, that will surely be marred by multiple last-place finishes over the next few seasons. Lefthander Mackenzie Gore and shortstop CJ Abrams are the main players the Nats are supposedly getting in return for soto/Bell.
Washington’s dropped four of its last five. It is 14th in batting average, and even with heavy hitters like Soto and Josh Bell, the Nats are 26th in runs scored this season.
Of course, it would take a reincarnation of the ’27 Yankees to compensate for a pitching staff that ranking dead- last in ERA and quality starts, and second-to-last in WHIP and batting average against.
Righty Cory Abbott, who’s made all of one career start over two big-league seasons, tries to outduel deGrom Tuesday night. In just four innings across three relief appearances this season, he’s surrendered one run and struck out six.
Mets vs Nationals Head-to-Head
New York’s 7-3 victory in Monday’s series opener improved the Mets to 9-2 against Washington Nationals this season. They’ve also won their last five games against the Nats.
As a result, New York is one win away from clinching its fourth series victory over Washington in five seasons.
Mets vs Nationals Game Information
- Game: Mets (65-37) vs Nationals (35-69)
- Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
- Day/Time: Tuesday Aug. 2nd, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Mets vs Nationals Live Stream: MLB.tv
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
|Team||Run Line||Moneyline||Total||Team Total|
|New York Mets
J. deGrom -R
C. Abbott -R
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
As was the case with Max Scherzer as the starter, the New York Mets are again massive favorites, according to the latest MLB lines. New York is an incredible -310 road choice on the moneyline, while underdog Washington is priced at +250. Note without Soto and Bell, Washington may indeed be even larger ‘dogs in this game.
Even after combining for 10 runs Monday, the over/under for Tuesday stands at eight.
Monday night, we recommended the Mets -1½ at -140. Today, -175. As a result, the Nationals are +155 to either win or keep their deficit to one run.
With such large odds for the moneyline and run lines, we are thinking that the best bet is for team over/under. Right now, New York is just -105 to eclipse 5½ runs. Keep in mind that the Nats are using a reliever/opener for the game, so the Mets can definitely tee off against Washington’s bad bullpen.
Take the Mets to go over (all odds/totals for this game are subject to change after finalizing of trades).