NL East Rivals Square Off in Philly
The Philadelphia Phillies get another crack at the New York Mets after losing two of three last week against their NL East rivals. Time is running out for the Phillies to make a move in the division, considering they are 10.5 games behind the Mets as of Friday. While Philly struggles against the Mets, it’s now or never for them to turn their luck around.
Mets Are Coming Off Disappointing Series
The New York Mets are one of the most impressive teams in the MLB, but they were beaten up by the Braves to start the week. The Mets’ trip to Atlanta did not go as planned, and the Mets lost three of four and ceded precious games in the NL East race. This is about when the Mets traditionally fall apart during a good season so they need to rebound against Philly this weekend.
The good news is the Mets enter this series on a 6-1 tear in their previous seven games against the Phillies. The Mets beat division rivals at a 70.2% rate and traditionally play the Phillies hard. New York struggled on the road against the Braves earlier this week and can’t afford to give up much more ground.
But Chris Bassitt (10-7) has been fantastic for New York in his last few starts and has already shut down the Phillies once this year. Bassitt enters this game with a 3.27 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 135 innings. While those numbers won’t win him any awards, Bassitt turned a corner in August. In his last three starts, totaling 20 innings, Bassitt did not surrender a single earned run. He struck out 17 and walked four in that span.
Moreover, in 16⅔ innings against the Phillies, Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA and .180 OPS. He fanned 16 Phillies in that time while walking six.
Phillies With Rest Advantage
While an extra day off doesn’t sound like an advantage, the stats tell a different story. When Philly has one day off before a game, they cover 54.5% of the time. But, with a rest advantage, the Phillies are 3-0 SU and ATS. While this isn’t a large sample size, it’s worth noting that the Mets are .500 with a rest disadvantage.
But, a few extra winks won’t be enough for the Phillies to overcome the first-place Mets. Luckily, it’s Aaron Nola’s turn in the rotation. Nola (8-9) has been fantastic for the Philadelphia Phillies with a 3.07 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 152 ⅔ innings. He’s cracked his pitching up to 11 so far in August with a 1.29 ERA in two starts. His last start, against this Mets team, was one of his best of the year. Nola held the Mets to four hits and one run over eight innings. He struck out eight and issued just one free pass along the way.
Nola gives Philly a great chance to take Game 1, but we’re not in love with their -123 ML odds.
Mets vs Phillies Head-to-Head
Friday marks the 16th game that the Mets and Phillies will play this season. The Mets have dominated this series with an 11-4 record and are 6-1 in their last seven games. Philly’s struggles extend to spread betting with a 4-11 record ATS.
Mets vs Phillies Game Information
- Game: Mets (76-43) vs Phillies (65-52)
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Day/Time: Friday, August 19, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Mets vs. Phillies Live Stream: MLB.tv
Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines
|New York Mets
C. Bassitt -R
|+1½ -190||+108||7½-115o||3½ -115o
A. Nola -R
|-1½ +160||-118||7½-105u||3½ -120o
Mets vs Phillies Prediction
We will take a chance fading both of these phenomenal offenses in this series debut. Nola and Bassitt are trending upwards, and we’re not about to bet against these two with the total sitting pretty at eight runs.