The Milwaukee Brewers should already have the National League Central title in their hands because they are running away with the division. The team is seven games up on the Reds with 59 games remaining, so they are looking to build momentum heading into October.
Atlanta is still in the hunt but needs to rack up wins. The team is 51-52, but only four games back in the National League East.
The first pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is scheduled for 7:20 p.m.ET, just over three hours following the conclusion of the trade deadline. Corbin Burnes will pitch for the Brewers against Touki Toussaint.
The Brewers are favored on the run line with -140 moneyline. The Braves are +125 to win, and the over/under has been set at 8 ½. For more baseball odds and lines, check out BetUS Sportsbook.
Milwaukee is a realistic threat in the postseason because of its ability to keep teams off the scoreboard. The Brewers have won five of their past six, including a sweep of the Pirates. They also went to Chicago in this stretch and outscored the White Sox 14-5 over three games.
The team has a cumulative ERA of 3.27 with 1,032 strikeouts. The Braves have fanned over 100 less batters than the Brewers. Milwaukee is entering this series following a 12-0 win over Pittsburgh.
Manny Pina, one of the Brewers’ hottest batters, spoke to ESPN after hitting two bombs in the contest. He said, “Today was a very good day. Happy for me, for the team, too. Winning, that’s the most important thing. Keep winning, keep getting closer to the playoffs, that’s the goal.”
The Braves are 3-2 in their past five after a massive series against the Mets. They were able to make one game up on New York after this stretch. They capped off the series with a 6-3 win, but they should have earned a sweep.
Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 29, 2021
Atlanta’s offensive inconsistency hurt them throughout the series. They lost 1-0 and 2-1 in this five-game stretch.
The Pitching Matchup
The Braves have an explosive offense behind Freddie Freeman and Austin Riley. The club lost Ronald Acuna Jr. because of a torn ACL, which was devastating. However, they still can hurt opposing pitchers.
Corbin Burnes will be given the task of neutralizing Atlanta’s offense. Burnes is a frontrunner for the National League Cy Young behind Jacob deGrom. He is 6-4 with a 2.12 ERA. He has fanned 146 batters in 102 innings.
Atlanta will have a difficult time scoring on Burnes, so Touki Toussaint must silence Milwaukee’s bats to keep this game close. Toussaint is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA, but he has only thrown 13.2 innings. He has not shown this same dominance over his career, but he is just 25 years old.
Nevertheless, I like Burnes on the bump in this matchup.
The Braves have a superior offense to the Brewers, so you cannot overlook the club heading into the series. However, Milwaukee’s offense has been firing on all cylinders. The Brewers have more momentum than Atlanta.
The Braves need a win, but the Brewers will not make it easy.
I believe Burnes is going to dominate, and the Brewers’ bullpen will keep them off balance. Milwaukee has been hitting the ball, which will be good enough to cover on the run line.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1 ½ (+115)
The Milwaukee Brewers will own the series. The Braves are outmatched on Friday and Saturday. They may find some success on Sunday because they will throw Charlie Morton, who has been efficient in 2021.
On Saturday, Brandon Woodruff will pitch against Kyle Muller. Muller has been successful, but his workload is one-fifth of Woodruff’s this season. Woodruff is also in the Cy Young mix like Burnes.
On Sunday, Brett Anderson will pitch against Charlie Morton. Morton has pitched well, and he is 10-3. Anderson is one of the weakest arms for the Brewers. He is 3-5 on the year, so Atlanta has the edge, but offense will be critical on Sunday. This pitching matchup will yield a lot of runs.