MLB Parlay Picks 8/15: Bet on Holliday Blues for Pivetta, Red Sox

· Aug 15 - 5 minutes read

The combined odds for this parlay are +1236
Baltimore’s Jackson Holliday has hit a home run in five of his last 13 games
Boston’s Nick Pivetta has allowed 2+ home runs in three straight starts
Check the latest BetUS MLB odds and place your bets!

Are you hunting for the best MLB parlay picks for Aug. 15? We’ve got you covered with two compelling bets that promise great value. First up is Orioles second baseman Jackson Holliday, who is primed to hit a home run against Boston Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta at +600 odds.

MLB Parlay Picks 8/15: Bet on Holliday Blues for Pivetta, Red Sox — Nick Pivetta #37 of the Boston Red Sox | Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images/AFP

If you didn’t know, now you know Jackson Holliday is really good at baseball. #Birdland pic.twitter.com/fdVAoWl7a8

— Rick Arnold (@onenastycamaro) August 15, 2024

Holliday has been on fire, hitting the Home Run Over in five of his last 13 games. Our second pick focuses on Pivetta, who will likely allow over 2.5 earned runs. Despite flashes of brilliance, Pivetta’s inconsistency and recent struggles make this a strong bet.

Let’s dig deeper into these two player props for Thursday night.

2 Best MLB Parlay Picks for Aug. 15

1. Orioles 2B Jackson Holliday 1+ Home Runs (+600)

Jackson Holliday is a strong candidate to hit a home run against Red Sox right-hander Nick Pivetta with favorable MLB odds at BetUS of +600. These odds offer great value for a player who has been on fire recently. By hitting the Home Run Over in five of his last 13 games, Holliday is yielding a remarkable 239% ROI (+31.10 units).

Initially struggling when called up in April, Holliday was sent back to the minors after just 10 games. However, since his return on July 31, he has significantly improved. Four of his five home runs since then, with four coming off right-handed pitchers.

His stats since the call-up are impressive: a .343 ISO rate, 11.43% barrel rate and 56% hard hit rate against right-handed pitchers. Additionally, Holliday excels at hitting four-seam fastballs, boasting a 16.67% barrel rate and 75% hard-hit rate against this pitch from righties over the past month.

Jackson Holliday holds the bat in the transverse arch of his hands

Jazz Chisholm Jr. holds the bat in the medial longitudinal arch of his hands.

This means that Jackson uses the same arthrokinematics we all use when we walks forwards & Jazz uses the arthrokinematics we all use… pic.twitter.com/raLtkQBqlX

— Tommy Maestas (@tommym8) August 12, 2024

On the other hand, Nick Pivetta has recently struggled with keeping the ball in the park, allowing two home runs in each of his last three games. His recent performance includes:

August 4 vs. Texas: 4.2 innings, 2 home runs allowed.
July 29 vs. Seattle: 6.2 innings, 2 home runs allowed.
July 24 vs. Colorado: 2.2 innings, 2 home runs allowed.

Pivetta’s susceptibility to giving up the long ball, combined with Holliday’s current form and ability to crush four-seam fastballs, makes this a compelling bet. With Holliday’s hot streak and Pivetta’s recent struggles, betting on Jackson Holliday to hit a home run at +600 offers significant value and a high potential return.

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2. Red Sox SP Nick Pivetta Over 2.5 Earned Runs (-106)

Sticking with the same game and a fade on Boston’s starter Pivetta, I want to add a MLB prop bet on him to go Over 2.5 earned runs allowed against the Orioles offense on Thursday.

While Pivetta has shown flashes of brilliance, throwing at least six scoreless innings in two starts since the beginning of July, his inconsistency makes this bet appealing.

Pivetta has struggled to maintain his form, failing to complete five innings in two of his last three starts. His inability to last deep into games highlights his vulnerability and increases the likelihood of giving up runs.

Pivetta’s recent history of allowing multiple home runs per game further supports this bet. He has given up two home runs in his last three outings, indicating a trend of allowing significant scoring opportunities. Given the Orioles‘ offensive potential and Pivetta’s recent struggles, betting on him to allow over 2.5 earned runs is a strong play.

The -110 odds offer a fair risk-reward balance, making this a compelling bet. The Orioles are too potent offensively for Pivetta to dominate, and his recent form suggests he’ll likely give up more than 2.5 earned runs. This bet aligns with his performance trends and the Orioles’ ability to score, making it a solid choice for bettors.

Bet on This Red Sox Parlay and Win Big!