MLB Parlay Picks 8/16: Feast on Burger, Strikeout Total

· Aug 16 - 4 minutes read

The combined odds for this parlay are +366
Miami’s Jake Burger has hit 13 home runs since the All-Star break
Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes has a fantastic 11.25 K/9 rate
Check the latest MLB odds and place your bets!

Look no further if you’re hunting for the best MLB parlay picks! We’ve got two red-hot bets for Aug. 16 that will make your bankroll sizzle.

MLB Parlay Picks 8/16: Feast on Burger, Strikeout Total — Jake Burger #36 celebrates with Ali Sanchez #47 of the Miami Marlins | Brett Davis/Getty Images/AFP

First, Jake Burger of the Miami Marlins is smashing the ball like he’s in a home run derby, making his Over 1.5 Total Bases prop a no-brainer. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh Pirates rookie Paul Skenes is set to rack up strikeouts against the Seattle Mariners, who seem to swing at everything but air.

Let’s dive into these juicy MLB odds

2 Best MLB Parlay Picks for Aug. 16

1. Marlins 3B Jake Burger Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Jake Burger has been on an absolute tear lately, making him a prime candidate to go Over 1.5 total bases against the New York Mets and Sean Manaea. Sure, Burger had his four-game home run streak snapped against the Phillies, but let’s not kid ourselves — this guy is still cooking hotter than a July BBQ.

Jake Burger’s last 17 games: .353/.423/.868, 11 HR, 16 RBI, 16 R 🔥@Marlins | #MarlinsBeisbol pic.twitter.com/9BKLk5H0aH

— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) August 14, 2024

Since the All-Star break, Burger has blasted 13 home runs, more than any other player in the league. And he’s not just hitting dingers. He’s been racking up extra-base hits in six of his last seven games. Over the past 18 games, he’s batting a sizzling .361 with a 1.281 OPS, practically turning every at-bat into a fireworks show.

Let’s talk about Sean Manaea, who’s been giving up home runs like they’re going out of style. He’s served up multiple long balls twice in his last six starts. Manaea is the kind of pitcher Burger loves to face — a lefty serving meatballs. And given Burger’s recent form, betting on him to rack up those total bases feels like stealing candy from a baby.

To top it off, Burger has been particularly effective against left-handers this season, which only sweetens the deal. If you’re not betting on him to hit Over 1.5 total bases for your MLB prop picks, you might be missing out.

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2. Pirates SP Paul Skenes Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+112)

Betting on Paul Skenes to go Over 8.5 strikeouts at +112 odds might seem ambitious initially, but when you dig into the stats, it’s a bet worth taking. Skenes has recorded 115 strikeouts in 92 innings this season, translating to an impressive 11.25 K/9 rate. While he’s only surpassed eight strikeouts in four games, two of those performances came after he settled into his role as a strikeout machine in his fourth start of the season.

The key factor here is the matchup. The Seattle Mariners have struck out a league-leading 1,251 times this season, 55 more than the next-closest team, the Colorado Rockies. Their .216 batting average is also the worst in MLB, which means they’re not exactly lighting up pitchers. They’re prone to chasing pitches and are particularly vulnerable to strikeouts.

Wake up babe, Paul Skenes ends the Pirates’ losing streak today pic.twitter.com/VIuV4EU57A

— Platinum Ke’Bryan (@PlatinumKey13) August 16, 2024

Skenes, with his elite strikeout capabilities — 53% of batters with two strikes and a 39% strikeout rate against leadoff hitters — should feast on this strikeout-prone lineup.

Given the lucrative parlay betting odds and Skenes’ ability to exploit teams like Seattle that swing and miss with alarming regularity, betting on him to reach at least nine strikeouts seems like a solid play.