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MLB Pitcher Props and Picks for Thursday, 6/12: Go Low on Lugo vs Bombers
- Make bank with our MLB picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.
- Framber Valdez under 1.5 earned runs is an appetizing MLB pitcher prop.
- Don’t expect much from Will Warren, bet him under 4.5 strikeouts.
Top 3 Pitcher Prop Picks
1. Seth Lugo Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110) Yankees vs Royals 7:40 P.M. ET
Lugo’s K-per-nine rates over the last seven years look like this: 11.7 … 11.5 … 10.7 … 9.6 … 8.6 … 7.9 … 6.9. He’s had some role changes and team changes in there, but it’s a pretty clear decline in that category. The Yankees are whiffing less and less these days, and Royals starter Kris Bubic managed just three in Wednesday’s matchup. Lugo has gone under this number five times already. This is among the best strikeout props today.
Seth Lugo, 3378 RPM Buzzsaw Curveball. 🌪️ pic.twitter.com/uh4mKbhWtP
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 7, 2025
Bet on Seth Lugo Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110)
2. Framber Valdez Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+106) White Sox vs Astros 8:10 p.m. ET
Valdez gave up four runs in five innings at Chicago earlier in the year. Since then, he’s gone 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA in six starts, winning many MLB picks made in his name. He also sports a 2.20 ERA at home. While the White Sox got to him at home in that previous encounter, they can be easy picking at times; no team has a lower OPS.
Framber Valdez’s 18 Swings & Misses on Curveball last night. 😳 pic.twitter.com/sc1qyWGVsr
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 6, 2025
Bet on Framber Valdez Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+106)
3. Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+104) Yankees vs Royals 7:40 p.m. ET
Warren has failed to get through six innings in each of his last five outings, going just four innings in one of them and recording only four outs in another. The Royals put a lot of balls in play. That might help to keep his pitch count down, but only if the Yankees are standing in the right spots. Opponents are hitting a solid .276 against Warren on the road, so we expect the bases to get busy at some point.
Bet on Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+104)
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MLB Props FAQs
Which pitcher had the most strikeouts in Wednesday’s action?
Philadelphia’s Jesus Luzardo fanned 10 Cubs in a six-inning gem.
Which team has put the ball in play the most?
Toronto leads the majors in batted balls, followed by Kansas City and the Cubs.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
