MLB Predictions 2025: Bet These 5 Teams to Go Under Win Totals

This season, a few MLB teams have win totals set so high that they’ll need everything to break their way — and let’s be honest, it rarely does. Here are five teams we think will fall short of their MLB predictions in 2025.

5 MLB Teams to Go Under Win Totals

1. Atlanta Braves: Under 93.5 Wins (-125)

The Braves are consistently one of the best teams in baseball, but 93.5 wins is a big ask, given the lack of significant offseason upgrades. Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuña Jr. are undoubtedly elite, but both missed significant time in recent seasons and Atlanta’s depth behind them is a concern.

Philadelphia has been closing the gap in the National League East, and a stronger Phillies team could chip away at the Braves’ dominance. Even with a healthy core, Atlanta’s pitching depth took a hit and its bullpen may not hold up over a grueling season.

While the Braves will likely be a playoff contender, asking them to clear their MLB futures odds of 94 wins feels too much in a division as competitive as this one.

2. New York Mets: Under 92.5 Wins (-110)

New York made MLB news headlines when the Mets went all-in on Juan Soto, and while he makes their offense more dynamic, their offseason moves didn’t address glaring pitching concerns. New York’s rotation is stacked with question marks, from Frankie Montas to Sean Manaea, and Clay Holmes’ inconsistency as a closer doesn’t inspire much confidence.

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Experts project the Mets at just 85 wins, which suggests oddsmakers are inflating this line. Adding Pete Alonso back was helpful, but this team feels like a few pieces away from being a 90+ win squad. Soto will carry the offense, but if the rotation falters or the bullpen continues to struggle, the Mets could underachieve in a tough NL East.

3. Los Angeles Dodgers: Under 104.5 Wins (-105)

The Dodgers are fresh off a World Series title and an aggressive offseason, adding Japanese phenom Roki Sasaki and Blake Snell. But let’s be real — 104.5 wins is an absurd number to bet online. Only 42 teams in MLB history have hit that mark, and while LA is stacked, the Dodgers need everything to go perfectly to clear it.

LA’s rotation is elite on paper, but it’s a long season and durability will be key. Even with a deep pitching staff, injuries or regression could derail its chances of hitting this massive total. Plus, the Dodgers’ division isn’t a cakewalk, with the Padres and Diamondbacks ready to compete. Expect LA to win 100 games, but 105 is a stretch.

4. San Diego Padres: Under 85.5 Wins (-120)

The Padres are a prime candidate for regression after a surprising 87-win season in 2024. Losing Soto didn’t hurt them much in 2024, but this offseason’s departures — Ha-Seong Kim, Tanner Scott and Jurickson Profar — leave their roster thin like an Ozempic addict. With Joe Musgrove likely out for the season and trade rumors swirling around Dylan Cease and Michael King, this team feels more like a seller than a contender.

Expert consensus numbers project just 80 wins for the Padres, which seems reasonable given their shaky rotation and middling offense. If San Diego doesn’t start strong, expect them to pivot toward a rebuild midseason, making the under of 85.5 wins set by BetUS sportsbook an easy call.

5. Tampa Bay Rays: Under 80.5 Wins (-115)

The Rays are always tricky to count out, but this season feels like an uphill battle. With the American League East stacked and Tampa Bay moving to a temporary home field, the odds aren’t in their favor. George M. Steinbrenner Field may resemble Yankee Stadium, but the Florida heat will likely turn it into a hitter’s paradise — a nightmare for Tampa’s pitching-heavy approach.

Yes, the return of Shane McClanahan and Drew Rasmussen helps, but betting on multiple injured pitchers to return to form is risky. Their lineup still lacks consistent power, and their defense can only carry them so far. With an early road-heavy schedule and tough divisional matchups, don’t expect the Rays to clear 80 wins in MLB predictions.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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