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Red-Hot Baltimore Orioles Face Struggling New York Yankees

Monday MLB Underdog Value Bet

If you’ve been betting on baseball over the weekend, you likely noticed how big of a disappointment the New York Yankees were. They lost twice in their three-game series with the Toronto Blue Jays and while that normally wouldn’t be the end of the world, they closed at around -180 in the two losses, which means those losses were quite costly to bettors. Now the Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles, who won all three of their games to start their season. Is there value with the O’s as a dog here or should bets risk it with the Yankees once more?

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, April 5th, 2021 – 6:35 p.m. ET

Gleyber Torres connects Orioles vs Yankees
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images/AFP

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY

Baseball Odds:

Baltimore Orioles

The New York Yankees are supposed to have the electric offense? Turns out it’s the Baltimore Orioles who have the power. They piled up double-digit runs on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox en route to a series sweep.  They have a regular-season win total of 65 but they’ve already collected three wins, giving the Red Sox an 0-3 start for the first time since Harry Truman was President.

On Monday, the O’s will put Jorge Lopez on the mound as he’ll be making his first start of the season. He made six starts last year, posting an ugly 6.69 ERA with a shaky 1.43 WHIP. One of his decent starts last season was against these very same Yankees as he lasted five innings while giving up three hits and three runs. He induced 10 ground balls in that game, a season-high, and he’ll need more of the same on Monday. The more the Yankees big bats pounding the balls into the ground, the better the results should be for Baltimore.

New York Yankees

The Yankees are just 1-2 on the season, so it’s not as if it’s a disaster, but this is not the start this team was hoping to have. Taking a look at their performance through three games, the bats were nowhere to be found. They’ve scored just eight runs so far and when you consider how much they’re paying their roster, that’s not good enough. Five of those runs came in the win and they had just three in the two losses. The failure on Friday was bad as they stranded 10 runners on base, and had their potential game-winning run thrown out at the home plate in the bottom of the ninth.

On Monday, the Yankees will put Jordan Montgomery on the mound. He made 10 starts last season and went 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA. Montgomery faced Baltimore once last season, lasting 5.2 innings while giving up just one run (not earned) and three hits. There he struck out nine and walked just one. With an outing like that and some help from the Yankees bats, the Baltimore Orioles might just get the win.

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles +190

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