Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Picks and MLB Prop Bets Thursday 6/19: Bet Tampa’s ML (-130) in Series Finale

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• Tampa Bay’s moneyline (-130) offers the best value for tonight’s series finale.
• Bet on Drew Rasmussen to go under 5.5 strikeouts.

How about those Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday night, huh? Following Tampa Bay’s 12-run comeback after giving up eight runs in the second inning, all signs today point toward the Rays being one of MLB’s best bets.

With the Orioles continuing to fade away from their preseason MLB futures odds prognostications, and Tampa Bay quietly making a case to give the New York Yankees a run for the AL East divisional lead (the Rays are 1.5 games behind), let’s break down the best bets and MLB props bets today.

Orioles vs Rays Prediction Today, June 19, 2025

My prediction

• Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline (-130)

If there’s anything to learn from last night’s game between both teams, it’s that it pays to back Tampa when playing at home.

It’s borderline baffling that after amassing an eight-run lead in the second inning, the Orioles managed not to score again in the game and lost 12-8.

Looking at Tampa’s record at home, where the team has won 25 out of 46 games, and considering their record after a win stands at 22-18, I say ride the Rays’ momentum and take their moneyline as one of your MLB picks for today.

Bet the Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline (-130)

• Under 8.5 Runs (-110)

Yes, putting up 20 combined runs on Wednesday is something that could make bettors want to chase the total going over once again tonight.

But MLB betting trends don’t lie. Both the Orioles and Rays are riding in the bottom half of the league when it comes to O/U stats, with 38 of Baltimore’s games this season going under while Tampa has 42.

This is one of those MLB matchups where expecting an offensive blowout holds too much risk. So instead, play it safe and take tonight’s game going under 8.5.

Bet the Orioles vs Rays Under 8.5 (-110)

Orioles vs Rays Prop Picks and Best Bets

• Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-154)

Looking at Drew Rasmussen’s latest performances, targeting his under in strikeouts automatically stands out to me.

Even if the Orioles strike out 8.8 times per game on average, Rasmussen comes into tonight’s game having tossed three Ks in each of his last two games, and only having gone over tonight’s expected 5.5 total in three of 14 starts. Even if the over offers plus odds, the safer play here is to go for his under at -154.

Bet Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-154)

• Jonathan Aranda 2+ Hits (+220)

Tampa Bay first baseman Jonathan Aranda is having himself quite the season at the plate.

With a .329 batting average, .417 on-base percentage, 75 hits, eight home runs, and 41 RBIs, Aranda has been making rounds and making the MLB latest news, especially following his performance in the series against Baltimore.

With six hits over the last three games, including three in Wednesday’s epic comeback win, Aranda is offering some top value for MLB prop betting fans.

For tonight, taking Aranda to go for at least two hits at +220 odds offers great value, especially if he’s able to get going quickly against Charlie Morton and Baltimore’s struggling bullpen.

Bet Jonathan Aranda 2+ Hits (+220)

• Orioles vs Rays YRFI (-113)

I know, I’m taking the total going under 8.5 runs in this game. With neither team showing any real signs of offensive prowess, it’s the best move to make.

But, riding on the wave of a 12-run eruption, I like Tampa Bay to come out swinging from the get-go and get at least one run in the first inning.

I don’t trust Baltimore one bit. Haven’t done it all season, and I’m not planning on starting today. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, I’m willing to give the benefit of the doubt, especially at the start of the game.

Bet Orioles vs Rays YRFI (-113)

Get More MLB Game Picks, Expert Analysis and Best Bets

• Orioles vs Rays Same Game Parlay Picks, Thursday, 6/19: Sorry, Charlie – Bet Morton Over 2.5 Runs
• MLB Home Run Props and Picks for Thursday, June 19: Take Walker to Go Deep in Sacramento
• MLB Pitcher Props and Picks for Thursday, June 19: Go Under on Holmes Strikeouts in Atlanta

Orioles vs Rays How To Watch

• Game: Baltimore Orioles (31-42) vs Tampa Bay Rays (41-33)
• Date/Time: Thursday, June 19, 7:35 p.m. ET
• Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
• Orioles vs Rays Live Stream: MLB.tv

Check out the latest Orioles vs Rays betting trends.

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.