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Perez Makes Pirates Moneyline Pick vs Mets

After a poor start to the 2024 season, the New York Mets are trying to turn things around. They will now be hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates in Monday’s series opener. The Pirates started the season well, especially on the road, which will affect MLB moneyline betting.

In the last series, the Pirates split a four-game set with the Philadelphia Phillies, going back and forth in each game. On the other hand, the Mets got their first home series win by beating the Kansas City Royals in two of three games.

Perez Makes Pirates Moneyline Pick vs Mets
Perez Makes Pirates Moneyline Pick vs Mets


Pirates vs Mets Game Information

  • Game: Pirates (11-5) vs Mets (7-8)
  • Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • Day/Time: Monday, April 15, 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Pirates vs Mets Live Stream: MLB.tv


Starting pitching will play a significant role in MLB moneyline picks, and the Pirates have the advantage in this game. Martin Perez will take the mound for them, with a 1.89 ERA through three starts. He only allowed one run through eight innings in his last start, with seven strikeouts. The Mets will counter with Adrian Houser, who has allowed six runs through two starts over 10 innings this season.

Pirates vs Mets Odds and Spreads


  • Pirates are 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 33.03% ROI
  • Pirates are 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI
  • Pirates are 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
  • Mets are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -16.22% ROI
  • Mets are 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • Mets are 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -5.16% ROI


Pirates vs Mets Moneyline Pick: Pirates +110

The biggest reason to side with the Pirates for MLB picks is the pitching matchup for the opening game of these three. Perez pitched well in his last outing, allowing just one run and six hits through eight innings while striking out seven. He also threw 100 pitches after having not gone over 86 in his two previous outings. There is a good chance he has another solid game against the Mets despite them finding a rhythm offensively.

On the other hand, Houser could be an unreliable pitcher for the Mets. In his first start of the season, he looked good, going five innings, allowing one run and up three hits, walking three more and striking out three. His second start was much worse. Once again, he went five innings but allowed eight hits and walked two, leading to five runs with only one strikeout.

However, the Mets have been hot over the last 10 games, during which they have a 7-3 record, shifting MLB lines in their favor. Despite that, the Mets have struggled at home (3-6) while the Pirates are 8-3 on the road.

Given that the Pirates have the starting pitching advantage in this game and have had success on the road in the early part of the season, they should be able to start this series with a win. The Mets’ lineup is hot, but Perez should be able to control the game.



Over/Under Pick: Under 8½ (-105)

Even with how hot the Mets lineup has been looking recently, it still makes sense to side with the under for MLB betting in this game. Having Perez on the mound for the Pirates is a big reason. On top of that, the Pirates haven’t been putting up big numbers recently, averaging 4.2 runs over the last seven days.

On the other hand, the Mets are playing extremely well. They have only played five games over the last seven days and scored the third-most runs (36). That could have a chance to lean the game toward the over, but with Perez on the mound, he should be able to keep the Mets lineup in check.



Player Prop Pick: Martin Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-136)

This strikeout line for Perez does not make much sense, given that he has 13 in 14.2 innings in April over just two starts. If the Pirates win this game, Perez’s pitching will play a significant factor in keeping a hot Mets lineup in check. Perez has looked solid, which should remain the case against the Mets in this game, meaning he should clear the over on this strikeout total.



Pirates vs Mets Score Prediction

Pirates 3, Mets 2



Questions Of The Day

Which team has the better bullpen in this game?

Both teams have average bullpens, with the Mets having a slight ERA advantage at 3.34 compared to the Pirates at 3.48.

How has the Mets lineup gotten so hot recently?

Over the last seven days, the Mets have played five games, scoring the third-most runs during that time (36), helped by the best batting average of .326.

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